Yearly-Fusarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-25 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 97% +$4

Other

36% 69% -$15

Politics

18% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	08-25 05:18
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	08-25 05:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 01:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	$0	05-18 01:19
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	-$1	05-21 01:22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	05-19 01:24
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	-$1	05-17 04:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$1	05-19 01:29
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-01 23:52
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-01 23:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 3	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-01 23:48
Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-20 03:37
bitcoin above 80k on february 10	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-09 01:59
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-09 02:00
will claude 5 be released on february 10 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-09 02:00
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 16 22	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-21 03:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 10	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-09 01:59
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-17 04:17
bitcoin above 58k on march 3	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	03-01 03:49
will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-01 03:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-01 03:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-01 03:49
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	03-01 03:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-28 13:55
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-15 02:16
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-28 13:54
will ethereum reach 2400 march 30 april 5	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-03 01:45
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-28 13:55
bitcoin above 66k on april 18	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-15 02:17
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-03 01:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	-$7	04-28 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-28 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 05:18:07	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf195a6…
08-25 05:18:00	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fade9…
07-26 03:09:51	bitcoin above 60k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2b363…
07-26 03:09:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea5d54…
06-20 03:37:22	Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x107f3b…
06-20 03:36:47	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa087d2…
05-22 01:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0x000b01…
05-21 01:25:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xa2696f…
05-21 01:22:34	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	1,001	100¢	$999	0x894287…
05-20 01:17:42	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xd98c8d…
05-19 01:29:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xd99f54…
05-19 01:24:29	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,014	98¢	$999	0xdfaabb…
05-18 01:21:24	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,014	99¢	$1,000	0xa64e3e…
05-18 01:19:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x9bc89c…
05-17 04:17:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xa67688…
05-17 04:17:17	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6b3d6…
05-17 04:15:27	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	1,001	100¢	$999	0x548ec5…
05-16 04:07:04	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x1f0d58…
04-28 13:56:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x2728be…
04-28 13:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb8a829…
04-28 13:55:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd522b1…
04-28 13:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3b882e…
04-28 13:54:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x473176…
04-28 13:54:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9092ab…
04-15 02:17:18	bitcoin above 66k on april 18	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x86aa8b…
04-15 02:16:58	bitcoin above 82k on april 17	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1aaf69…
04-15 02:16:48	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8fa3da…
04-15 02:16:16	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6e7081…
04-15 02:16:08	will bitcoin dip to 62k april 13 19	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2ca641…
04-15 02:16:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k april 13 19	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x43a1cf…
04-03 01:51:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x75ba1d…
04-03 01:51:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0d1aff…
04-03 01:48:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 160 179	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4a3a3c…
04-03 01:45:47	will ethereum reach 2400 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa1adb0…
04-03 01:45:09	will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc1298d…
04-03 01:44:25	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa0db82…
03-21 03:12:23	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf90f60…
03-21 03:12:11	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 23	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9f363…
03-21 03:11:23	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 16 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a3cef…
03-21 03:11:11	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 16 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbdbcd0…
03-21 03:11:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4b5ed…
03-21 03:06:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e560e…
03-21 03:02:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x033abd…
03-21 03:02:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37e161…
03-01 03:50:51	will bitcoin dip to 58k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x97ce74…
03-01 03:49:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x76b65d…
03-01 03:49:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x277b7d…
03-01 03:49:35	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8b3f49…
03-01 03:49:29	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x50aa60…
02-09 02:00:41	will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf2cde2…
02-09 02:00:19	will claude 5 be released on february 10 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc2331b…
02-09 01:59:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 10	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbda09…
02-09 01:59:31	bitcoin above 80k on february 10	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x747553…
01-29 06:31:54	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 200 219	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x318062…
01-21 12:40:32	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6dca7e…
01-21 12:24:56	will xai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf90184…
01-21 12:19:30	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90214f…
01-21 12:19:02	will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xabb8e2…
01-21 12:06:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe2485a…
01-01 23:52:25	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x597a05…
01-01 23:48:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 3	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xec8a0e…
01-01 23:46:23	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf74e04…