Muffled-Numismatist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

41 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$84

$84 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 05:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$18	0	43	-43	Down	+$13	05-04 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$8	0	9	-9	Down	$-1	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	4	$8	17	22	-5	Up	$-5	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	5	$6	9	5	+4	Up	$-0	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-0	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$3	8	0	+8	Down	$-3	05-05 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$3	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-05 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$3	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$3	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$3	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$3	0	6	-6	Down	$-0	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	3	6	-3	Up	$-1	05-05 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$1	0	2	-2	Down	$-0	05-05 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 05:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x6de353…
05-05 05:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x852fe0…
05-05 04:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3ed074…
05-05 04:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3a42be…
05-05 04:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5f3f9e…
05-05 04:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x5027ae…
05-05 04:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x44ceba…
05-05 04:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xf26d6f…
05-05 04:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xb41f35…
05-05 04:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xd34e09…
05-05 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x51ae89…
05-05 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xd54877…
05-05 03:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x94f891…
05-05 03:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x33bd9b…
05-05 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xe89144…
05-05 03:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x957260…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x0417d5…
05-05 03:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xad74d7…
05-05 03:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2c2e26…
05-05 03:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x6eca0c…
05-05 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xd039a6…
05-05 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x5c77ac…
05-05 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xccab9b…
05-05 02:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x45a621…
05-05 02:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe86584…
05-05 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xcf3917…
05-05 02:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa5b5e0…
05-05 02:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x708c7c…
05-05 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa70d97…
05-05 01:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x87af62…
05-05 01:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcf0e14…
05-05 01:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x45e433…
05-05 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x18ca82…
05-05 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d5801…
05-05 00:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x053716…
05-05 00:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x4b1a85…
05-04 22:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xa63c19…
05-04 22:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0xb3dd97…
05-04 22:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xac77a0…
05-04 22:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xe8d01e…
05-04 22:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaaaa92…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	19	$536	98	05-05 05:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	18	$6.15K	168	05-05 05:10
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	16	$800	70	05-05 05:00
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	15	$3.57K	123	05-05 05:10
Lucky-Incidence 0x5bea…9f47	15	$733	44	05-05 05:00
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	14	$3.17K	62	05-05 05:10
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	14	$755	34	05-05 05:10
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	14	$699	32	05-05 05:10