Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$111

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-05 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% $0

Other

26% 56% -$2

Sports

11% 71% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	+3	$1	99¢	$3	+$2	07-28 09:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-3	-$2	84¢	$-2	$0	07-01 21:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+2	$2	96¢	$1	$0	09-07 23:41
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+5	$2	22¢	$1	$0	09-08 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	11	$23	21	21	+0	No	-$1	07-26 12:14
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	3	$8	5	5	+0	Under	+$2	09-06 16:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$7	7	7	+0	No	-$2	04-24 22:54
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?	3	$7	4	4	+0	Grüne	+$1	09-06 05:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	07-28 05:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	3	$6	7	7	+0	No	$0	08-25 06:29
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	3	$4	6	3	+3	open	—	07-29 08:43
Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	2	$3	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	09-06 15:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	09-03 09:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-24 09:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	10-05 23:59
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$3	12	0	+12	Lakers	-$3	04-25 02:46
epl sun not 2026 04 24 sun	2	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	04-24 18:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-24 13:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	07-01 21:52
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$2	0	2	-2	No	$0	05-18 05:15
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$2	2	0	+2	Celtics	+$0	04-24 23:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	09-07 23:41
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	09-08 06:36
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	09-06 16:25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	04-25 07:58
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	09-06 06:45
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$1	2	0	+2	Baltimore Orioles	+$1	04-24 23:12
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	09-06 16:13
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-06 16:21
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$1	2	0	+2	Cleveland Guardians	+$0	04-24 23:31
mlb mia col 2026 07 01	1	$1	3	0	+3	Colorado Rockies	+$1	07-02 00:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-24 10:48
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-18 12:15
mlb pit phi 2026 07 01 total 8pt5	1	$1	3	0	+3	Over	+$1	07-01 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 23:59:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0d89e3…
09-08 06:36:49	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbb8fee…
09-07 23:41:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x491616…
09-06 16:25:34	Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe7ed21…
09-06 16:21:01	Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x85357e…
09-06 16:13:22	Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$1	0x69baf1…
09-06 16:06:43	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	Under	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0655a8…
09-06 15:31:03	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	Under	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x6e1a10…
09-06 15:30:39	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x8cd01d…
09-06 15:27:09	Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x44d766…
09-06 06:45:03	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x3a1c20…
09-06 06:27:03	Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x29e7bd…
09-06 05:20:04	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?	Grüne	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xe6596d…
09-04 12:50:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x493412…
09-03 09:50:52	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x11b6a2…
08-25 08:04:30	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?	Grüne	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xaf4b7f…
08-25 08:03:52	Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to Grüne or BSW?	Grüne	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xcfe814…
08-25 06:29:19	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0xfa068e…
07-29 08:43:32	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x4c017b…
07-28 09:38:19	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x6d11bd…
07-28 05:32:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x415def…
07-26 12:36:54	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x863163…
07-26 12:14:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x3e4be2…
07-26 01:53:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xe1ee6f…
07-26 00:05:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xa24ce7…
07-25 23:28:22	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x3a1cbc…
07-25 23:24:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xe2cd92…
07-25 23:12:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x95ab5b…
07-25 19:42:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xe2f3a7…
07-11 00:26:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x7b7142…
07-10 23:56:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x1af31c…
07-10 23:45:23	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x74e704…
07-10 15:29:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x3a0f69…
07-02 16:08:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcf93aa…
07-02 16:05:20	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x49a699…
07-02 16:05:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x65e1b1…
07-02 16:05:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf15e89…
07-02 00:59:32	mlb mia col 2026 07 01	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x61d047…
07-01 23:18:59	mlb pit phi 2026 07 01 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x12c38e…
07-01 21:52:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xb38f93…
07-01 08:14:41	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x57ad9d…
05-24 10:48:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x617809…
05-24 09:50:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x67c980…
05-20 11:45:26	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x6486f4…
05-20 06:25:05	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x8753b2…
05-18 12:15:35	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xc04830…
05-18 05:15:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x1f5c52…
04-25 22:50:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x7806b6…
04-25 07:58:46	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x4a3a60…
04-25 03:24:58	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xa6793d…
04-25 02:46:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xb80bf4…
04-25 02:46:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x99ca85…
04-24 23:31:10	Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x0a4cac…
04-24 23:28:48	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf243ab…
04-24 23:12:58	Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x960be9…
04-24 22:54:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xc88490…
04-24 18:49:18	epl sun not 2026 04 24 sun	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5bb3b3…
04-24 18:38:56	epl sun not 2026 04 24 sun	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xcc59e1…
04-24 14:24:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xcadf81…
04-24 14:23:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xdfbcd6…
04-24 13:26:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4e680f…
04-24 13:24:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x931ddc…
04-24 11:53:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xae3a6f…