Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$945

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

439

Trades

2,584

lifetime

Volume

$110.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-15 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

49% 30% +$153

Politics

45% 20% -$902

Sports

3% 17% -$112

Tech

2% 20% -$41

Crypto

1% 35% -$41

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	91	$10.3K	13,956	14,507	-550	No	+$35	01-16 15:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	71	$4.7K	4,345	4,457	-111	Yes	-$77	01-24 16:07
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	91	$4.1K	5,315	5,458	-143	No	+$18	01-22 12:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	23	$3.4K	3,056	3,056	+0	No	-$20	01-17 16:32
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	24	$3.3K	9,080	8,938	+143	No	-$76	01-14 18:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	15	$2.9K	4,899	4,899	+0	No	-$15	01-16 08:10
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	22	$2.8K	3,026	3,226	-200	No	+$76	01-19 14:51
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	46	$2.7K	2,159	2,159	-0	Yes	-$10	01-18 21:11
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	26	$2.7K	3,465	4,465	-1,000	No	+$292	01-04 16:51
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	18	$2.1K	2,960	2,960	+0	No	-$17	01-19 15:19
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	26	$2.0K	3,046	3,046	+0	Yes	-$14	01-25 12:18
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	11	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$46	01-08 12:44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	11	$1.8K	2,102	2,102	+0	Yes	-$17	01-10 10:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.8K	4,300	4,300	+0	Yes	-$43	01-07 11:06
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	37	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$2	04-05 13:26
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	13	$1.5K	1,840	1,940	-100	No	-$41	01-22 12:25
will mike tomlin be fired by february 28	8	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Yes	-$3	01-05 07:10
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	21	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$12	03-23 17:29
maduro mugshot released by monday	21	$1.2K	1,644	1,684	-40	No	-$26	01-04 21:12
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	46	$1.1K	796	958	-162	No	-$51	01-19 13:03
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	57	$1.1K	1,234	1,900	-666	Yes	-$470	01-05 06:48
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	2	$991	1,000	1,000	+0	Howard Bison	-$1	03-17 19:07
mlb chc cle 2026 04 05	4	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	Chicago Cubs	-$30	04-05 18:19
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	3	$892	750	750	+0	Yes	-$7	01-07 19:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	12	$878	928	928	+0	Yes	-$2	02-16 11:59
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	7	$866	502	502	+0	No	$0	01-04 15:32
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$790	500	500	+0	Yes	+$0	01-09 12:24
hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	12	$776	800	800	+0	Yes	-$18	03-19 15:27
cs2 b8 3dmax 2026 04 06	4	$774	1,000	1,000	+0	3DMAX	-$26	04-06 10:02
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	4	$770	500	500	+0	No	+$0	01-04 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 12:04:24	Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x4ce2d5…
07-26 11:46:43	Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x482cc5…
07-23 18:38:57	Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xa3ad6f…
07-23 18:38:55	Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xba2c3f…
07-23 17:12:31	Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x5a2c09…
07-23 16:32:09	Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x2bd972…
07-23 16:32:01	Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0x645acd…
07-23 02:20:21	Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc0f675…
07-23 00:14:21	Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x00f585…
07-22 22:49:34	Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?	Yes	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xcd1c64…
07-21 07:10:00	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$29	0xf15c17…
07-21 07:08:36	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$26	0x8eb59f…
07-21 07:08:12	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0xa0f823…
07-21 07:08:03	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xfcab02…
07-21 07:01:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xa8a0ba…
07-21 07:01:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x719066…
07-20 20:33:36	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x2395e9…
07-20 16:48:30	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xe45bd8…
07-20 16:38:10	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xa03415…
07-20 15:06:22	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x67b775…
07-20 15:02:40	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x04dda6…
07-20 14:52:54	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x089cd0…
07-20 13:52:52	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xf0a2e3…
07-20 13:20:30	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x0dacfc…
07-20 13:11:21	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x16f273…
07-20 13:11:19	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x97f2aa…
07-20 12:34:04	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0xeb5007…
07-20 12:34:04	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 54 million and 58 million?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x0977ca…
07-20 12:30:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	91	32¢	$29	0xb5f6a0…
07-20 12:27:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xd23dcb…
07-20 11:50:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	93	33¢	$31	0x6eedff…
07-20 11:45:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x790e53…
07-20 07:33:34	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xe070d4…
07-20 07:33:16	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	198	12¢	$23	0x9089a4…
07-17 11:20:19	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x9f30ac…
07-17 11:20:19	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	62	17¢	$11	0x8d0039…
07-17 11:20:19	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x22e582…
07-17 08:11:31	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x14e294…
07-17 07:50:12	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x1b505f…
07-17 02:24:22	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x97aed1…
07-17 01:28:20	trump alleges georgia foreign election interference by july 16 20260714172332153	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x55bbc8…
07-16 20:28:37	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x0e9622…
07-16 20:27:32	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x95e6af…
07-16 14:31:11	Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xdd54de…
07-15 23:12:53	Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x9b3c16…
07-15 07:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	384	1¢	$3	0xf2ef3a…
07-15 07:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	369	1¢	$3	0xbfb755…
07-15 07:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,136	1¢	$10	0x31a1f4…
07-15 07:56:29	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	585	1¢	$5	0xee4834…
07-15 07:56:29	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	409	1¢	$4	0xbb2b67…
07-14 21:12:20	Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x2c4589…
07-14 21:06:16	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,127	1¢	$21	0xcd0162…
07-14 21:06:14	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	386	1¢	$4	0xf502df…
07-14 21:06:14	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	1¢	$4	0x2e5451…
07-10 15:34:16	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$24	0xd33c16…
07-10 14:00:47	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$26	0x1675a2…
07-10 13:56:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	210	11¢	$24	0xe178d1…
07-09 11:11:11	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x408371…
07-09 08:55:26	Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x01e3ca…
07-09 08:20:43	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x1ad213…
07-09 08:19:07	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x41851c…
07-09 07:40:59	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xab3874…
07-09 07:39:26	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x9c8e63…
07-09 07:37:08	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5b5600…
07-08 14:39:29	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0x974b36…
07-08 14:39:20	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	515	1¢	$5	0x38194e…
07-08 14:39:20	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	885	1¢	$8	0x2360f1…
07-08 13:32:50	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x420338…
07-08 13:16:26	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x1a9d4b…
07-08 13:02:37	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x96ae4f…
07-08 12:10:32	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x49bfb6…
07-08 11:48:19	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0xa39784…
07-08 08:41:28	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	1¢	$14	0xb08efd…
07-08 08:36:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xde6f82…
07-08 08:36:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xb9c309…
07-08 06:24:47	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x912176…
07-08 00:48:22	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x523141…
07-07 11:11:05	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	No	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x98ca60…
07-07 00:07:07	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	No	BUY	296	7¢	$21	0x1d8a3c…
07-06 23:37:11	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x7f47bc…
07-06 18:09:49	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	12¢	$16	0xb162d9…
07-06 18:08:34	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xba9c71…
07-06 18:04:38	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xd46b93…
07-06 17:59:17	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x4e24b5…
07-06 16:52:01	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x2c2bed…
07-06 16:51:49	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$19	0x545637…
07-05 23:08:01	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x1e3ff7…
07-05 18:31:20	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	SELL	1,000	2¢	$19	0x54aab0…
07-05 17:30:47	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	484	2¢	$9	0x196120…
07-05 16:49:47	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xc0e017…
07-05 16:38:14	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xad5c7b…
07-05 16:29:11	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xae49ad…
07-05 16:24:52	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x738ec6…
07-05 16:19:07	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x68de72…
07-05 16:05:58	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	183	2¢	$3	0x2d0376…
07-05 15:54:25	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x66f174…
07-05 15:34:47	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8abb64…
07-05 15:07:23	lol t1 fur 2026 07 06	FURIA Esports	BUY	255	2¢	$5	0x838912…
07-05 14:28:32	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x7857ad…
07-05 11:53:29	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x36132f…