Mammoth-Trooper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$6.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-17 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 55% +$122

Politics

16% 100% +$1,328

Other

7% — —

Sports

2% 50% +$145

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes		-314	$-21	4¢	$-13	+$8	06-10 20:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$181	180	180	+0	open	—	05-24 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$152	213	160	+54	open	—	05-15 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	7	$134	141	141	+0	open	—	05-15 01:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$110	1,438	0	+1,438	Yes	+$1,328	04-30 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$107	270	74	+196	open	—	05-31 21:34
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	3	$105	260	0	+260	open	—	05-29 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$103	83	83	+0	open	—	05-16 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$99	88	88	+0	Down	+$59	05-12 23:13
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	3	$99	148	148	+0	open	—	05-23 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	7	$91	119	101	+19	open	—	05-15 00:58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$89	71	71	+0	open	—	05-24 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$88	78	78	+0	open	—	05-15 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	6	$83	162	60	+102	open	—	05-15 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$82	69	69	+0	open	—	05-31 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$81	113	113	+0	Up	+$31	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	6	$80	151	70	+82	open	—	05-31 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$77	115	67	+48	Down	+$7	05-12 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$75	129	86	+43	Down	+$47	05-12 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	6	$72	70	70	+0	Up	+$22	05-12 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$72	77	77	+0	open	—	05-15 02:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	3	$70	210	0	+210	open	—	05-29 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$70	136	0	+136	open	—	05-16 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	8	$70	251	0	+251	open	—	05-15 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	7	$69	79	79	+0	Up	+$19	05-11 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$68	87	87	+0	Up	+$18	05-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$68	125	125	+0	Up	+$18	05-11 21:43
btc updown 5m 1781520300	3	$65	45	91	-45	open	—	06-15 10:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$65	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	04-29 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$63	78	65	+13	Down	+$12	05-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$61	146	44	+102	open	—	05-29 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 16:47:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	9,000	0¢	$18	0x04173b…
06-17 16:47:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0x403656…
06-17 16:47:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7,500	0¢	$15	0xc0a0e9…
06-17 15:00:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x6f0685…
06-17 14:59:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x388d65…
06-15 10:49:21	btc updown 5m 1781520300	Up	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0x5aafd1…
06-15 10:48:42	btc updown 5m 1781520300	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf038c5…
06-15 10:48:31	btc updown 5m 1781520300	Down	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x280e25…
06-15 09:47:42	btc updown 5m 1781516700	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf2519c…
06-12 17:58:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x679587…
06-12 17:57:28	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$9	0x518835…
06-12 16:12:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbf5a2f…
06-12 16:12:06	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x37415a…
06-12 16:12:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x8c4d0d…
06-10 20:58:06	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xbf63be…
06-10 20:50:19	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	314	7¢	$21	0x0ac394…
06-10 20:49:48	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xb7f48f…
06-10 12:35:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	645	2¢	$16	0xb44db6…
06-10 12:35:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	126	18¢	$23	0x44eb57…
06-08 10:41:00	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	194	13¢	$25	0xd48531…
06-05 09:17:06	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0xb05dd6…
06-03 10:11:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	645	3¢	$20	0x62455c…
06-01 13:14:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	6¢	$20	0xe69fa5…
05-31 22:28:15	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0xff390e…
05-31 22:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8e3105…
05-31 22:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x513b02…
05-31 22:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	23	75¢	$17	0x80b5a3…
05-31 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x3e7e46…
05-31 21:58:53	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	512	2¢	$12	0x1309ad…
05-31 21:53:19	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	835	3¢	$25	0x058fae…
05-31 21:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3c2512…
05-31 21:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x762d2b…
05-31 21:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x8b91bd…
05-31 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0xd40aa1…
05-31 21:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	74	84¢	$62	0x7493ed…
05-31 21:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x765c94…
05-31 21:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x498a52…
05-31 21:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	145	15¢	$22	0x4bd3db…
05-31 21:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x26a029…
05-31 21:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0x78ecc6…
05-31 21:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	44	34¢	$15	0xe631ab…
05-31 21:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x10304b…
05-31 21:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0x891383…
05-31 21:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x317cc3…
05-29 18:55:36	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x2a8809…
05-29 18:41:46	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	125	59¢	$74	0x118b53…
05-29 18:38:58	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc31877…
05-29 18:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x261a17…
05-29 18:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xb58415…
05-29 18:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	44	59¢	$26	0x94e023…
05-29 18:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x86d86d…
05-29 18:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x28e8ee…
05-29 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xcac8ff…
05-29 14:58:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xe224d1…
05-29 14:55:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x489e4e…
05-28 14:18:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	144	14¢	$20	0x7bc9b2…
05-28 14:15:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x366616…
05-28 14:15:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0x5f054e…
05-28 14:15:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x30bdf6…
05-27 21:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc1a667…
05-27 21:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa2a458…
05-27 21:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8e7595…
05-27 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x08c557…
05-27 21:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3e2778…
05-27 20:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x84a21d…
05-27 17:42:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	243	3¢	$7	0x0519ab…
05-24 21:03:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	115	23¢	$26	0xb171d8…
05-24 20:27:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xae6c27…
05-24 20:16:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	180	84¢	$151	0x6e0f58…
05-24 17:33:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	71	97¢	$69	0x2dacfe…
05-24 08:41:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	104	14¢	$15	0x550432…
05-23 22:16:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xcbc87e…
05-23 22:11:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	148	43¢	$64	0x9af169…
05-23 22:11:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	180	17¢	$30	0xea0e86…
05-22 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8b21b7…
05-20 14:24:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	26¢	$19	0xef0e46…
05-20 14:19:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xbafb16…
05-20 14:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	77	7¢	$5	0x8f4550…
05-20 14:17:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0xa68546…
05-18 21:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x4cfcb2…
05-18 21:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd363b7…
05-18 12:03:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x725e72…
05-17 16:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6535b0…
05-17 15:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	74	30¢	$22	0x0a6dd2…
05-17 15:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x339ec8…
05-17 15:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xab5b6c…
05-17 15:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x083ad2…
05-17 15:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xeff1c4…
05-17 14:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1edb32…
05-17 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9e7dbc…
05-16 00:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3835e7…
05-16 00:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0e4698…
05-16 00:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xfa45f3…
05-16 00:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x00b17f…
05-16 00:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xfaaa97…
05-16 00:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0a4c49…
05-16 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfe129e…
05-16 00:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x5c1099…
05-16 00:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x08222b…
05-16 00:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa72ccf…