Chilly-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.2%

Resolved

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$434

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-01 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

38% 0% $-0

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

24% 100% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-05 08:39
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	01-14 03:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 03:15
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-26 10:12
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 06:09
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-02 03:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:59
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 07:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 06:58
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 04:20
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 03:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 06:46
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 07:13
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 07:57
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 07:02
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:36
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-31 07:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 08:03
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:28
Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above $1.65B?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 07:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 06:26
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 06:08
bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 02:38
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 06:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-25 07:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-07 07:41
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 03:03
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 06:50
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 09:28:20	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa431db…
08-01 09:18:48	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xff9185…
07-31 07:35:23	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xaafc4e…
07-31 07:28:18	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7e8604…
07-31 07:17:45	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd94f5d…
07-31 07:11:23	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x211556…
07-30 08:37:11	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x671c99…
07-30 08:23:24	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x92e062…
07-30 08:18:18	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa4e37f…
07-30 08:13:44	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5a1459…
07-28 10:18:40	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9c707b…
07-28 10:06:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a59fa…
07-28 07:47:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x508092…
07-28 07:40:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac3b4f…
07-27 06:50:58	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7cb7fd…
07-27 06:44:24	Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb15272…
07-27 06:40:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x551bf9…
07-27 06:34:30	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260715004553751	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c4d39…
07-25 07:57:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1fa500…
07-25 07:51:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3687a2…
07-25 07:47:42	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x901ad8…
07-25 07:42:15	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe91ed4…
07-24 07:51:27	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa7b51b…
07-24 07:46:42	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x08e603…
07-24 07:41:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbef0b7…
07-24 07:27:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef17dc…
07-23 07:48:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x37c107…
07-23 07:41:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a9c87…
07-23 07:36:36	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0a5f40…
07-23 07:29:03	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc6b121…
07-22 07:28:28	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71beca…
07-22 07:19:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d86b1…
07-22 07:13:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xef2f23…
07-22 07:00:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb97fd8…
07-21 06:54:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe5a0f2…
07-21 06:49:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x043720…
07-20 07:51:34	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x26326f…
07-20 07:41:04	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xce54a0…
07-20 07:35:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x642ff1…
07-20 07:30:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc7e918…
07-18 07:37:46	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xaf874b…
07-18 07:25:21	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1f57b5…
07-17 07:03:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd7b298…
07-17 06:57:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x341d60…
07-17 06:52:33	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x005732…
07-17 06:43:21	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x645bd0…
07-16 08:11:41	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0bdcc5…
07-16 07:38:16	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x013769…
07-15 08:01:58	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4aa45d…
07-15 07:51:32	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e156a…
07-14 07:37:28	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x16b454…
07-14 07:28:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcbd1e0…
07-14 07:16:44	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xad30cf…
07-14 07:04:28	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbd66b0…
07-13 07:43:50	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc188b3…
07-13 07:40:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc678a3…
07-13 07:28:58	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3b5769…
07-13 07:19:41	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x28b0ef…
07-11 07:53:26	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x28e89d…
07-11 07:46:44	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70cb99…
07-11 07:38:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4eee0b…
07-11 07:34:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa92569…
07-09 07:06:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5ccef4…
07-09 06:54:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1427a5…
07-09 06:49:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2c2c6e…
07-09 06:43:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc0ebfc…
07-08 07:20:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe4af2b…
07-08 07:10:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x857991…
07-08 07:07:05	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1fd616…
07-08 06:58:28	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe61507…
07-07 07:41:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04ec28…
07-07 07:33:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5554f…
07-07 07:30:26	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7145c7…
07-07 07:21:35	will trump praise mark rutte by july 31 20260626214328039	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x17b861…
07-04 07:03:29	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9a4cf1…
07-04 06:56:04	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x52e427…
07-04 06:53:38	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x675df0…
07-04 06:49:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x41a058…
07-02 06:52:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0ff45e…
07-02 06:40:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9fe366…
07-02 06:35:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9cafb…
07-02 06:29:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x984f2e…
07-01 06:16:10	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x883cf9…
07-01 06:08:31	over 8m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67dc84…
07-01 06:04:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb75a5f…
07-01 03:51:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x938c57…
06-30 06:37:56	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x24f4a2…
06-30 06:30:52	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x47727e…
06-30 06:25:25	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1e6bc2…
06-30 06:20:47	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0a7c75…
06-29 07:36:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x90cfb6…
06-29 07:29:35	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x28fdda…
06-27 07:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa59e2e…
06-27 07:17:04	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xfeb3c1…
06-27 07:10:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a93e0…
06-27 07:05:40	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9d00a7…
06-26 08:07:17	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb08e14…
06-26 07:53:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f5d6a…
06-25 06:50:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe6395…
06-25 06:49:34	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1e9e28…