Realized P&L
-$42
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
554
Trades
871
lifetime
Volume
$9.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$65
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Sports
46% 64% -$210
Other
45% 61% +$165
Politics
8% 78% +$5
Crypto
1% 0% -$3
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +121 $30 18¢ $22 -$8 09-07 18:47
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -22 -$20 98¢ $-21 -$1 07-09 13:12
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -19 -$12 40¢ $-8 +$4 10-27 15:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $17 10¢ $6 -$11 09-18 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $10 16¢ $4 -$6 09-05 15:58
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 09-21 16:43
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 09-07 18:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +20 $3 5¢ $1 -$2 07-17 14:15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 06-07 01:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 10-14 20:11