Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

196

Trades

1,390

lifetime

Volume

$5.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$103

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 07-06 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Politics

45% 49% -$92

Other

40% 62% +$20

Crypto

7% 25% -$21

Tech

5% 47% -$28

Sports

2% 57% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	-64	-$21	82¢	$-53	-$32	05-16 02:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	-29	-$12	92¢	$-27	-$15	06-02 19:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-23	-$19	86¢	$-20	-$1	07-06 02:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-3	-$2	81¢	$-3	-$1	06-14 22:00
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	07-06 02:31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	-0	$0	95¢	$-0	$0	04-30 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	55	$384	237	237	+0	open	—	07-06 02:31
will canada strike iran by march 31	82	$374	192	192	+0	No	$0	03-09 20:38
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	35	$213	110	110	+0	No	+$0	03-12 19:24
netanyahu out by march 31 854	28	$166	85	85	+0	No	$0	03-16 12:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$161	147	147	+0	Yes	-$8	04-04 22:27
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	21	$116	66	57	+8	No	+$0	03-16 13:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$100	53	53	+0	Yes	$0	03-02 22:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	29	$100	67	60	+7	No	+$1	04-23 05:42
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	26	$98	55	53	+2	No	+$1	06-14 03:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	40	$98	61	61	+0	open	—	06-24 07:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	21	$80	46	46	+0	No	+$1	04-05 17:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$76	95	79	+17	No	+$54	06-01 13:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 08:30 UTC	8	$72	64	38	+27	Down	+$3	02-15 08:43
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	10	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	05-16 07:59
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	13	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-09 23:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	9	$62	34	34	+0	open	—	05-08 07:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 08:45 UTC	54	$61	70	69	+1	Up	-$9	02-15 08:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	3	$61	34	34	+0	No	+$1	03-11 10:15
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	9	$59	93	93	+0	No	-$1	07-06 10:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 08:30 UTC	21	$58	74	43	+32	Down	-$22	02-15 08:34
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	5	$53	54	54	+0	No	+$4	03-07 20:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$51	29	29	+0	No	+$1	04-14 23:51
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	12	$48	29	29	+0	No	+$0	04-04 17:59
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	8	$48	25	25	+0	No	$0	03-14 03:04
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	11	$48	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-06 10:05
will oman strike iran by march 31	5	$47	25	23	+3	No	$0	03-15 12:24
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	7	$47	79	79	+0	No	-$1	05-07 02:03
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	12	$47	31	30	+0	No	+$10	03-28 13:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$46	32	27	+5	No	-$2	05-22 22:02
will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	3	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$1	03-15 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 10:06:16	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x02fef1…
07-06 10:06:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xe60dfb…
07-06 10:05:52	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf95646…
07-06 10:05:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xeb67d6…
07-06 10:05:52	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xea86c7…
07-06 10:05:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd49974…
07-06 10:05:40	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd9e995…
07-06 10:05:40	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x437e58…
07-06 10:05:38	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe651f6…
07-06 10:05:38	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0xc21e3b…
07-06 10:05:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x7032b5…
07-06 09:50:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa4c00d…
07-06 08:05:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x1d5037…
07-06 07:46:02	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x216912…
07-06 06:19:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7d01f6…
07-06 05:31:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1869e4…
07-06 05:30:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0b8391…
07-06 04:12:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6bcf71…
07-06 03:12:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x0468b8…
07-06 02:31:22	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xe049c9…
07-06 02:31:22	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x648d2e…
07-06 02:31:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x3b4aba…
07-06 02:31:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xd9ffd8…
07-06 02:31:20	Remote IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xcdc19d…
07-06 02:31:20	will elon musk attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204742	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa08b67…
07-06 02:31:20	Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x61a456…
07-06 02:31:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x3a7143…
07-06 02:31:20	Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1f9856…
07-06 02:31:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0xf78adb…
07-06 02:31:19	Waymo IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xe6192f…
07-06 02:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd927ae…
07-06 02:31:19	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xa17f87…
07-06 02:31:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x94df20…
07-06 02:31:19	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x7f393c…
07-06 02:31:19	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x7c81fa…
07-06 02:31:19	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x77f116…
07-06 02:31:17	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	21¢	$8	0x5dd51b…
07-06 02:31:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x0bf622…
07-06 00:37:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x75d3e4…
07-03 05:31:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x77f86e…
07-03 05:31:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x67b0f9…
07-03 05:31:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xd09a37…
07-03 05:28:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xb2d815…
07-03 05:26:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x6fbe0b…
07-03 05:22:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x304c78…
07-03 05:19:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xfcb275…
07-02 18:30:28	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xfedfba…
07-02 17:32:26	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xc6830f…
07-02 17:32:04	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xa5751a…
07-02 15:44:08	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x150d83…
07-02 13:57:17	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x1a8254…
07-02 13:55:53	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x745c39…
07-02 12:31:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x9ea5ac…
07-02 12:20:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xf95d45…
07-02 12:20:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xb9b282…
07-02 12:20:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb2ac32…
07-02 12:20:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xad3752…
07-02 12:20:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x454e43…
07-02 12:04:01	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x93877d…
07-02 12:00:58	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x44eed6…
07-02 11:58:04	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xfa41f6…
07-02 11:51:58	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x5981c5…
07-02 11:23:38	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xb43cd3…
07-02 08:20:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x414532…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xc20240…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x78a797…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x39c3f4…
07-02 04:22:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x771544…
07-02 04:22:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x99d76c…
07-02 04:17:52	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x648449…
07-02 04:17:52	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x276c3d…
07-02 04:17:50	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x56f152…
07-02 04:05:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x3c17e3…
07-02 03:58:13	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2b1859…
07-02 02:11:50	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdfd93b…
07-01 21:38:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xdfa1d2…
07-01 09:25:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6b5a7f…
07-01 08:31:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd84216…
07-01 08:31:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3a4885…
07-01 03:13:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xba2d66…
06-30 02:52:13	Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6009b8…
06-30 02:21:38	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x1baed3…
06-28 20:23:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xa7187d…
06-26 17:08:08	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xef4dec…
06-26 05:57:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x3f4aa4…
06-25 02:57:02	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1f03a6…
06-24 19:06:17	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x52ce61…
06-24 19:06:01	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0x6b1ed5…
06-24 07:40:29	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xb7145d…
06-24 07:22:07	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x0318f5…
06-24 07:22:05	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xde05da…
06-24 07:22:05	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x6c1177…
06-24 07:20:08	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xf59fcc…
06-24 07:20:08	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe5a6d4…
06-24 07:20:08	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x728983…
06-24 07:20:08	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x37e89d…
06-24 06:54:25	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x5e747a…
06-24 06:54:25	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x383b39…
06-24 06:07:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x5d63da…
06-24 05:44:49	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xf9b4cf…