Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
897
lifetime
Volume
$4.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$67
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 06-13 07:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
46% 0% $-0
Other
40% 100% +$0
Crypto
10%
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40 $34 84¢ $33 $-1 06-13 06:35
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? Yes +11 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 06-12 18:40
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +7 $6 88¢ $6 $-0 06-13 03:50
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -6 $-5 78¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 16:16
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 $-0 06-13 06:39
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +9 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 06-12 12:11
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes -11 $-3 21¢ $-2 +$0 06-13 07:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -0 $-0 47¢ $-0 +$0 06-10 20:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -0 $-0 48¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 19:10