Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,074
lifetime
Volume
$4.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$91
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 07-06 10:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
46% 0% $-0
Other
40% 100% +$0
Crypto
9%
Tech
4%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +37 $32 88¢ $33 +$0 07-06 02:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -19 $-14 89¢ $-16 $-2 06-24 07:40
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes -39 $-8 30¢ $-11 $-3 07-06 02:31
Waymo IPO before 2027? No -11 $-11 96¢ $-11 $-0 07-06 02:31
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -8 $-6 76¢ $-6 $-0 07-06 02:31
Remote IPO before 2027? No -7 $-6 82¢ $-6 $-0 07-06 02:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 07-06 02:31
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -1 $-1 83¢ $-1 $-0 07-06 02:31
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 $-0 07-06 02:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -0 $-0 60¢ $-0 $-0 06-10 20:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -0 $-0 66¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 19:10