Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
440
lifetime
Volume
$3.48K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$235
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-08 12:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
35%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +150 $86 66¢ $98 +$13 07-01 16:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +1,000 $42 $46 +$4 07-07 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 $18 42¢ $42 +$24 06-18 07:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +600 $31 $25 $-6 07-01 11:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $24 10¢ $19 $-5 07-02 05:13
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $2 $2 +$0 07-08 12:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $-21 15¢ $1 +$23 07-01 11:51