Webbed-Fill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$329

Unrealized P&L

+$209

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

675

lifetime

Volume

$6.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$609

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

60% 34% -$44

Other

39% 46% -$277

Crypto

1% 25% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+210	$106	84¢	$177	+$72	10-24 05:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+150	$110	74¢	$110	+$1	10-26 08:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+80	$28	92¢	$73	+$45	09-10 00:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+300	$52	24¢	$72	+$20	09-20 19:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+200	$42	29¢	$57	+$15	09-09 11:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+216	$47	18¢	$40	-$7	10-25 16:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	+375	$30	8¢	$32	+$2	08-31 04:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+24	-$21	88¢	$21	+$42	09-25 04:52
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-300	-$20	4¢	$-11	+$9	09-16 02:32
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+10	$8	99¢	$10	+$2	10-23 07:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	-200	-$20	1¢	$-3	+$17	05-02 21:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-30	-$6	6¢	$-2	+$4	05-03 03:55
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$13	2¢	$1	-$12	10-23 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	8	$680	560	350	+210	open	—	10-24 05:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$473	500	500	+0	Yes	+$193	02-28 19:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$436	1,100	884	+216	open	—	10-25 16:55
maduro out by february 28 2026	17	$298	325	565	-240	Yes	-$32	01-03 07:56
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	10	$257	320	438	-118	Yes	+$15	01-03 06:43
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	21	$209	800	800	+0	No	-$29	01-09 09:42
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	5	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-03 21:57
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	5	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-30 02:38
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$168	200	200	+0	No	+$124	03-26 11:43
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	13	$167	170	170	+0	Yes	+$45	02-28 07:22
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	22	$156	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$58	02-28 20:11
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	3	$150	200	0	+200	No	-$150	09-13 18:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$143	150	70	+80	open	—	09-10 00:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	15	$127	426	126	+300	No	-$23	01-30 14:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	12	$121	129	129	+0	Yes	+$64	03-04 18:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$110	150	0	+150	open	—	10-26 08:46
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	4	$108	350	0	+350	No	-$108	09-13 18:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	53	$105	2,097	2,100	-3	No	-$11	01-22 16:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$87	50	50	+0	No	+$12	04-02 05:16
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	3	$85	105	26	+79	Yes	+$41	09-12 16:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	78	$81	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	08-23 21:29
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	10	$81	350	0	+350	No	-$81	09-13 18:06
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	8	$80	220	220	+0	No	+$10	01-15 05:07
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	7	$69	650	247	+403	No	-$45	01-23 20:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	10	$69	1,299	800	+499	No	-$10	01-22 14:36
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	5	$68	40	30	+10	open	—	10-23 07:01
will donald trump say oil during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 738	7	$67	40	40	+0	Yes	+$6	01-03 16:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	26	$64	820	243	+577	No	-$17	06-17 17:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$61	900	0	+900	Yes	-$61	04-05 07:24
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	10	$58	600	0	+600	No	-$58	01-24 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:46:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0xb3c72f…
10-25 16:55:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	19¢	$14	0x8f6be2…
10-24 05:53:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	82¢	$172	0x48a781…
10-24 05:50:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	82¢	$115	0x34cff7…
10-23 16:54:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc496aa…
10-23 16:51:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x82891a…
10-23 16:40:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x734c80…
10-23 16:36:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5b594c…
10-23 07:01:35	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa720e7…
10-22 14:32:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x8e4058…
10-22 10:26:50	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xee153f…
10-20 13:28:32	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x8bd936…
10-19 11:37:32	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x4ca8cf…
10-18 16:18:00	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2350f7…
10-17 19:34:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xbe21e4…
10-16 19:32:41	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xafc80f…
10-16 12:45:10	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xe7884c…
10-15 11:22:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x293d34…
10-07 05:37:06	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xe2661b…
10-06 05:57:43	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x4ecc8f…
10-06 05:48:22	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xd64701…
10-06 05:48:18	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xb75f18…
10-06 05:48:15	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x470267…
10-06 05:48:10	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x4d32df…
10-06 05:48:04	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x747929…
10-06 05:48:00	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xb7b163…
10-06 05:47:55	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xea747a…
10-06 05:47:52	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x31f868…
10-06 05:47:49	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x78a241…
10-06 05:22:10	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x218fda…
10-03 06:09:15	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0xdb6d27…
10-03 06:09:15	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x467668…
10-03 06:07:29	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x82c50d…
10-03 06:07:29	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x087d43…
10-03 06:07:29	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x077823…
10-03 01:15:17	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x20e1d8…
10-01 20:03:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xe70e09…
10-01 19:49:20	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xca2562…
09-28 12:11:50	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x57f143…
09-28 08:14:11	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x6af975…
09-27 09:02:00	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x21b9ff…
09-26 20:03:23	Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x9c4e34…
09-25 04:52:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x2527d2…
09-20 19:25:40	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x33349d…
09-19 14:03:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0x5e7026…
09-18 05:15:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$26	0xb9cadc…
09-16 02:32:10	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	397	4¢	$15	0xed5fd0…
09-16 01:39:37	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x27fe0c…
09-15 06:43:18	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x3fd933…
09-13 18:06:34	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xccdc5f…
09-13 18:06:10	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xb1dbe4…
09-13 18:05:25	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	34	31¢	$11	0xe8add6…
09-13 18:05:24	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xb98369…
09-13 18:05:24	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	205	31¢	$64	0x71e2a6…
09-13 18:04:28	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xabea44…
09-13 18:04:27	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbca349…
09-13 18:04:27	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x62d70c…
09-13 18:01:30	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	155	75¢	$116	0xc136f6…
09-13 18:01:13	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xfd3aea…
09-13 18:01:13	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xaa201a…
09-13 18:01:13	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x348353…
09-13 18:01:12	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x845810…
09-13 17:52:03	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x03d49d…
09-13 17:52:01	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd91c50…
09-13 17:52:01	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	270	1¢	$2	0x1d613d…
09-13 17:31:52	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x17306c…
09-13 17:25:51	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x62d468…
09-13 17:01:16	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf70b3d…
09-13 08:24:01	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf5d36d…
09-13 05:53:03	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x354eb2…
09-12 16:46:57	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0xc01c34…
09-12 02:25:55	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x6d4968…
09-11 14:56:37	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x544718…
09-11 12:49:16	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x471dd0…
09-11 00:51:00	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	883	1¢	$6	0xd0572c…
09-11 00:30:48	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x9ef4dc…
09-10 23:06:12	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$1	0x2b0c3c…
09-10 23:06:12	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x185b5d…
09-10 22:56:00	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	242	1¢	$2	0xd06ae5…
09-10 22:56:00	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x09a3dc…
09-10 18:17:09	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdcf252…
09-10 18:17:09	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcf6e86…
09-10 18:17:09	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbbd0ed…
09-10 18:17:09	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b2b99…
09-10 18:17:09	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x245fc8…
09-10 09:27:19	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x9d50b3…
09-10 08:43:54	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xf94c36…
09-10 08:43:54	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x094e74…
09-10 08:22:19	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x2aa950…
09-10 07:47:27	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x2c1c23…
09-10 03:10:27	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x62ecd4…
09-10 00:36:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x617405…
09-09 20:49:48	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2470f9…
09-09 16:10:31	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x4e5a43…
09-09 13:21:06	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x731157…
09-09 13:14:45	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x4546cc…
09-09 11:21:52	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x6dc810…
09-09 11:21:52	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	133	21¢	$28	0x38e0f7…
09-09 11:21:52	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x232245…
09-09 11:21:51	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x407518…