Apprehensive-Counsellor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-15 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-0

Sports

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+51	$50	96¢	$50	$-0	06-14 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by April 30?	10	$1.5K	797	797	+0	open	—	03-27 10:56
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	7	$693	366	366	+0	open	—	03-15 18:07
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$681	360	360	+0	Yes	$-0	03-17 03:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$655	340	340	+0	open	—	03-18 02:11
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$633	333	333	+0	open	—	03-22 00:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$520	272	272	+0	open	—	03-31 08:12
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$433	227	227	+0	No	$-0	03-31 17:15
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$366	193	193	+0	open	—	03-10 08:44
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	3	$354	184	184	+0	open	—	03-10 21:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$351	184	184	+0	open	—	03-13 16:53
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$348	183	183	+0	open	—	03-12 06:41
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$344	177	177	+0	open	—	03-12 14:25
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	3	$341	174	174	+0	open	—	03-16 06:11
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$338	177	177	+0	open	—	03-15 23:43
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$337	177	177	+0	open	—	03-17 10:46
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$331	178	178	+0	open	—	03-18 21:34
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$331	172	172	+0	open	—	03-13 09:09
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$330	170	170	+0	open	—	03-13 03:38
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$323	171	171	+0	open	—	03-21 02:06
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$323	167	167	+0	open	—	03-24 17:20
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$323	165	165	+0	open	—	03-21 09:05
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$317	162	162	+0	open	—	03-25 12:50
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$317	164	164	+0	open	—	03-19 03:45
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$315	162	162	+0	open	—	03-20 18:56
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$315	163	163	+0	open	—	03-20 08:37
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$306	157	157	+0	open	—	03-22 07:30
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$304	156	156	+0	open	—	03-30 02:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	3	$296	152	152	+0	open	—	04-25 00:59
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$293	151	151	+0	open	—	03-30 10:50
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$292	150	150	+0	open	—	03-29 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 22:07:55	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x92f437…
06-15 16:03:39	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x391b3f…
06-14 19:55:28	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x296956…
06-14 19:22:03	will czechia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149712	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe59a20…
06-14 12:17:34	will czechia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149712	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8ae1f1…
06-14 05:55:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0xc28802…
06-13 21:55:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xab421c…
06-10 23:52:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x061f39…
06-10 19:50:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x75f175…
06-10 10:15:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x50b7b8…
06-10 06:13:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x110149…
06-09 18:15:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x5abdd0…
06-09 10:10:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x078da0…
06-09 09:05:22	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xdf8242…
06-07 08:50:12	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x1a524d…
06-07 08:13:22	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x994685…
06-07 03:09:52	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xb5201e…
06-04 11:28:34	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xfb88ad…
06-04 04:24:06	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xee3a27…
06-03 20:07:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x5f84d6…
06-03 14:03:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x2f777e…
06-02 17:33:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x81d7df…
06-02 12:31:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x28371a…
05-22 10:32:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xcaf05c…
05-21 14:25:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0xddf831…
05-21 09:12:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	63	92¢	$58	0x357c6f…
05-19 16:35:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0xfd7fa3…
05-19 09:32:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x4085ae…
05-16 06:38:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0x3544e8…
05-16 00:38:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x1f3067…
05-15 07:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x32a6ae…
05-12 11:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xad45d8…
04-28 02:51:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$49	0xf1b01d…
04-27 22:18:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x8ed88e…
04-25 00:59:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0xd63a09…
04-24 18:58:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0x359388…
04-24 18:57:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xbf65fc…
04-21 19:01:42	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x5e7779…
04-21 14:56:24	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf82607…
04-13 14:58:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x005047…
04-13 07:34:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xe17165…
04-11 08:27:59	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x387316…
04-11 01:53:11	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x430f48…
04-10 07:15:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0xc539e7…
04-10 01:58:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x720e07…
04-10 01:06:55	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0xa758f5…
04-09 20:53:53	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0x3b7aad…
04-09 11:55:35	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0xc08cf6…
04-09 04:22:17	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x148b7b…
04-01 01:36:27	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x13817f…
03-31 17:51:45	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x0ea3b9…
03-31 17:15:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0xf167c9…
03-31 08:22:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0xd82122…
03-31 08:12:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x219183…
03-31 03:54:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xd519c4…
03-31 03:08:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	59	98¢	$57	0x199010…
03-30 22:59:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$57	0x777bc0…
03-30 10:50:44	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	151	98¢	$148	0xf722f5…
03-30 03:42:30	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	151	96¢	$144	0xb34c4e…
03-30 02:26:44	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	156	97¢	$152	0x6d9134…
03-29 19:19:08	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	156	97¢	$152	0xef9b96…
03-29 08:04:58	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0x9e61d4…
03-28 23:08:08	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x0696b9…
03-27 10:56:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	154	96¢	$149	0xafc8e1…
03-27 03:22:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	154	97¢	$149	0xd8e84a…
03-26 21:59:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	157	97¢	$152	0x48d24d…
03-26 15:07:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0x1517eb…
03-26 13:56:23	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	163	97¢	$158	0x3868a1…
03-26 04:52:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	163	97¢	$158	0x722c6d…
03-26 03:51:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	158	96¢	$152	0xb7369e…
03-25 20:04:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	158	96¢	$152	0xea22e9…
03-25 12:50:53	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	162	98¢	$159	0x72e704…
03-25 06:28:09	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$159	0xda3f30…
03-24 23:28:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	164	96¢	$157	0xcd3731…
03-24 18:58:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	164	96¢	$157	0xf99b9c…
03-24 17:20:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	167	96¢	$160	0x4104c8…
03-24 09:07:23	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x13e78f…
03-23 17:40:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	159	95¢	$151	0xcb253e…
03-23 08:53:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	159	94¢	$149	0x1c8b47…
03-22 07:30:05	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	157	97¢	$153	0xd3b369…
03-22 01:19:03	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$153	0x6353ed…
03-22 00:16:33	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	169	95¢	$161	0x8273cc…
03-21 19:58:45	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	169	95¢	$161	0xc335a7…
03-21 09:05:15	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	165	98¢	$161	0xcd7a5f…
03-21 03:31:43	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$161	0x96a34d…
03-21 02:06:33	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	171	95¢	$162	0x7c9706…
03-20 20:00:05	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	171	94¢	$161	0x480786…
03-20 18:56:05	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	162	97¢	$158	0x56c32a…
03-20 10:23:29	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	162	98¢	$158	0x792b79…
03-20 08:37:57	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	163	96¢	$157	0x0d1260…
03-20 00:19:37	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	163	97¢	$158	0x876135…
03-19 12:02:19	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	164	95¢	$155	0x551e83…
03-19 04:14:51	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	164	95¢	$156	0x5c39ad…
03-19 03:45:09	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	164	96¢	$158	0xe5cbfc…
03-18 22:28:05	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	164	97¢	$159	0x5a47f3…
03-18 21:34:59	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	178	93¢	$166	0xbeaace…
03-18 16:15:21	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	128	93¢	$120	0x2ca0e6…
03-18 16:02:53	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0xaa203c…
03-18 15:32:03	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe74e42…
03-18 02:11:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	172	96¢	$166	0x0d86de…