Realized P&L (90d)
-$186
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
91.3%
Resolved (90d)
711
Trades (90d)
961
24,036 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$11.9K
$422.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$144
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 11-03 03:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 87% +$3,261
Other
1% 73% -$165
Politics
0% 56% +$8
Sports
0% 80% +$15
Tech
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-24 02:57
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 11-03 03:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 11-03 03:47
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 10-17 03:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 11-03 03:47
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-24 02:57
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado by November 30? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 11-03 03:48
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-17 03:53
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-24 02:57
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-24 02:56
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 10-17 03:52