Dearest-Translation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.60K

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

Trades

17,542

lifetime

Volume

$911.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$689

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-24 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

76% 33% +$1,128

Other

19% 67% +$618

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$13

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+1,572	$530	36¢	$574	+$44	07-24 01:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+163	$97	64¢	$104	+$7	07-24 12:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	-1,797	$-1,557	1¢	$-12	+$1,546	06-30 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	659	$58.6K	99,968	97,516	+2,452	open	—	03-26 15:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	786	$57.0K	156,111	151,994	+4,118	open	—	05-31 15:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	256	$46.0K	29,892	30,046	-154	open	—	01-30 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	803	$33.8K	53,890	51,422	+2,468	Yes	+$1,827	04-30 05:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	759	$28.4K	39,659	37,496	+2,163	open	—	06-13 12:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	456	$25.9K	60,455	59,387	+1,068	open	—	06-13 16:07
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	85	$25.0K	13,600	15,081	-1,481	open	—	01-25 10:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	170	$22.7K	29,098	30,043	-945	open	—	03-01 01:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	285	$21.6K	31,692	31,775	-84	open	—	06-30 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	272	$19.5K	29,034	29,887	-853	open	—	05-10 11:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	251	$18.1K	37,286	36,429	+857	open	—	02-28 06:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	482	$16.8K	76,068	72,812	+3,257	open	—	03-31 15:15
Iran leadership change by March 13?	106	$15.5K	14,081	12,224	+1,856	open	—	03-13 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	108	$15.4K	13,457	14,211	-754	open	—	04-06 16:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	246	$13.8K	19,660	20,825	-1,165	open	—	04-06 15:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	163	$13.7K	22,702	22,275	+427	open	—	03-19 08:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	282	$13.6K	55,365	51,903	+3,462	open	—	05-26 18:51
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	146	$12.9K	13,476	17,191	-3,715	open	—	04-30 12:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	288	$12.8K	38,111	33,335	+4,776	No	$-564	05-06 09:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	237	$12.5K	17,510	17,752	-242	open	—	05-29 05:53
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	180	$11.1K	13,460	10,460	+3,000	open	—	04-07 15:11
iran leadership change by march 31	106	$10.6K	24,141	22,563	+1,577	open	—	03-18 05:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	89	$10.5K	7,464	6,597	+867	open	—	01-30 14:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	183	$10.4K	25,489	25,474	+16	open	—	05-10 13:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	38	$10.1K	5,606	5,307	+299	open	—	01-22 14:04
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	151	$9.1K	17,448	18,135	-687	open	—	03-13 12:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	183	$8.6K	22,011	22,691	-679	open	—	06-18 10:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	235	$8.6K	32,738	28,666	+4,072	open	—	04-19 12:33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	169	$8.0K	27,415	29,050	-1,635	open	—	04-28 18:25
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	2	$8.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	03-17 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 16:24:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	423	2¢	$10	0xae2f6d…
07-24 16:22:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x14a293…
07-24 16:09:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xd6efd8…
07-24 15:56:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	71	2¢	$2	0x0764da…
07-24 15:54:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	264	2¢	$6	0x4e8fb5…
07-24 15:40:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	165	2¢	$4	0xbc50bd…
07-24 15:30:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	500	2¢	$12	0x8d7151…
07-24 15:17:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	362	2¢	$9	0xad199a…
07-24 15:15:07	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2pt5t cny 20260722211138917	No	SELL	240	26¢	$62	0xf7c60d…
07-24 15:06:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xc9c95e…
07-24 14:49:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x87e54a…
07-24 14:40:27	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2pt5t cny 20260722211138917	No	SELL	101	25¢	$25	0x19b6cd…
07-24 14:38:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x00cf45…
07-24 14:26:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x96ad69…
07-24 14:14:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	375	5¢	$19	0xfad369…
07-24 14:09:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x59f539…
07-24 14:09:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x103deb…
07-24 14:07:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x579b50…
07-24 14:03:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xc684b6…
07-24 13:42:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	571	5¢	$29	0x028707…
07-24 12:36:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	424	62¢	$263	0xce29c6…
07-24 12:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xab5369…
07-24 12:29:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x766a42…
07-24 12:29:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	298	7¢	$21	0xd78ae2…
07-24 12:25:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	400	6¢	$24	0x737a94…
07-24 12:21:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x0d6689…
07-24 12:21:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x5711bd…
07-24 12:20:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	234	6¢	$14	0xf57a6e…
07-24 12:14:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x23fa89…
07-24 12:14:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0xed88a4…
07-24 12:13:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x3184bb…
07-24 12:07:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0xa9bc86…
07-24 11:59:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	116	6¢	$7	0xac61bd…
07-24 11:55:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0xba03db…
07-24 11:50:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	770	5¢	$38	0x473c6a…
07-24 11:44:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x2b11b6…
07-24 11:44:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	221	5¢	$11	0x7d63f5…
07-24 11:14:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xffd42f…
07-24 11:13:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	195	62¢	$121	0x67d358…
07-24 11:13:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x4bd84e…
07-24 11:09:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x704852…
07-24 10:58:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x47e5a5…
07-24 10:57:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x0e8d0c…
07-24 10:11:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xf723a4…
07-24 10:02:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0x73c479…
07-24 09:57:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	399	6¢	$24	0x3446a8…
07-24 09:20:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	76	63¢	$48	0x4257b5…
07-24 09:19:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	104	6¢	$6	0xbf2f41…
07-24 09:16:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x19e98d…
07-24 09:00:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xc492af…
07-24 08:48:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x915c9d…
07-24 08:47:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x56f198…
07-24 08:45:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xb89ada…
07-24 08:43:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	224	6¢	$13	0x143e47…
07-24 08:41:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x04609e…
07-24 07:20:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x6c3d42…
07-24 07:12:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x9e3309…
07-24 07:10:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	179	5¢	$9	0x88c860…
07-24 07:10:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	260	5¢	$13	0xecdd63…
07-24 07:10:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x05f0f5…
07-24 07:04:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2e7b11…
07-24 07:03:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x875ac7…
07-24 07:03:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x3b68ab…
07-24 07:03:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x51ae01…
07-24 07:03:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd030b8…
07-24 07:03:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xb9c582…
07-24 07:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x73844e…
07-24 07:03:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x9707e0…
07-24 07:03:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xc1b776…
07-24 07:03:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xf9d279…
07-24 06:55:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x7dc20f…
07-24 06:47:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	139	7¢	$10	0x80b5dc…
07-24 06:44:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	179	6¢	$11	0xe346d1…
07-24 06:44:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	321	6¢	$19	0x6738fb…
07-24 06:39:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	124	8¢	$10	0x0843c1…
07-24 06:39:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x4c95ee…
07-24 06:38:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	129	7¢	$9	0xfc29a0…
07-24 06:29:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0xb7f1b9…
07-24 06:23:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	280	6¢	$17	0x1c522c…
07-24 06:16:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x5f7fd6…
07-24 06:11:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	220	6¢	$13	0xc81728…
07-24 06:10:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	79	63¢	$50	0x3deb61…
07-24 06:06:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x20f645…
07-24 05:48:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x82c64c…
07-24 05:45:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xffc202…
07-24 05:44:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0xb2b643…
07-24 05:44:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xa78cfb…
07-24 05:38:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x6fe724…
07-24 05:37:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	81	63¢	$51	0xd96030…
07-24 05:27:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	200	10¢	$19	0xcba9c7…
07-24 05:25:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	203	9¢	$18	0xcda2ed…
07-24 05:25:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x5c943e…
07-24 05:23:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	429	7¢	$30	0x43ed97…
07-24 05:22:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0xb61a93…
07-24 05:20:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	286	7¢	$20	0x37f3d0…
07-24 05:20:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x45d424…
07-24 05:19:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x909146…
07-24 05:12:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x15dbad…
07-24 05:10:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x802f17…
07-24 05:05:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	79	63¢	$50	0x608d34…