Dearest-Translation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$208

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

497

Trades

22,070

lifetime

Volume

$1.13M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$2.39K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Politics

71% 57% +$16,089

Other

22% 48% -$630

Sports

3% 49% +$537

Crypto

3% 67% +$2,626

Tech

0% 43% -$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No		+2,824	$1,897	70¢	$2.0K	+$65	10-27 09:32
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+10,000	$283	4¢	$425	+$142	10-26 08:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	879	$63.4K	115,310	112,444	+2,865	Yes	+$3,453	06-13 16:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	659	$58.6K	99,968	97,516	+2,452	No	+$147	03-26 15:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	799	$57.8K	159,593	155,067	+4,526	No	+$1,485	05-31 15:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	256	$46.0K	29,892	30,046	-154	No	+$338	01-30 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	803	$33.8K	53,890	51,422	+2,468	Yes	+$1,827	04-30 05:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	790	$30.2K	41,473	40,069	+1,404	Yes	+$2,089	06-13 12:28
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	85	$25.0K	13,600	15,081	-1,481	No	+$18	01-25 10:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	170	$22.7K	29,098	30,043	-945	Yes	-$299	03-01 01:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	287	$21.6K	31,746	31,775	-29	No	+$907	06-30 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	321	$21.3K	36,257	36,257	+0	No	+$21	06-18 10:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	250	$20.1K	40,961	40,961	+0	open	—	09-09 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	272	$19.5K	29,034	29,887	-853	No	+$382	05-10 11:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	251	$18.1K	37,286	36,429	+857	Yes	+$943	02-28 06:53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	406	$17.2K	62,021	62,021	+0	Yes	+$59	08-12 07:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	482	$16.8K	76,068	72,812	+3,257	No	-$163	03-31 15:15
Iran leadership change by March 13?	106	$15.5K	14,081	12,224	+1,856	No	+$274	03-13 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	108	$15.4K	13,457	14,211	-754	Yes	-$233	04-06 16:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	288	$14.0K	56,572	52,203	+4,369	No	+$152	05-26 18:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	199	$13.8K	43,981	43,981	+0	No	-$372	08-22 11:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	246	$13.8K	19,660	20,825	-1,165	Yes	-$609	04-06 15:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	163	$13.7K	22,702	22,275	+427	No	-$142	03-19 08:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	239	$13.2K	18,010	18,752	-742	No	+$714	05-29 05:53
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	146	$12.9K	13,476	17,191	-3,715	Yes	+$1,609	04-30 12:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	288	$12.8K	38,111	33,335	+4,776	No	-$564	05-06 09:04
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	180	$11.1K	13,460	10,460	+3,000	Yes	+$1,955	04-07 15:11
iran leadership change by march 31	106	$10.6K	24,141	22,563	+1,577	No	-$194	03-18 05:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	89	$10.5K	7,464	6,597	+867	Yes	+$605	01-30 14:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	183	$10.4K	25,489	25,474	+16	No	+$368	05-10 13:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	38	$10.1K	5,606	5,307	+299	No	+$89	01-22 14:04
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	87	$9.3K	16,959	16,959	+0	No	-$61	08-25 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:33:59	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,495	9¢	$135	0x7f83a2…
10-27 09:32:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xeaf628…
10-27 09:32:00	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xea74f3…
10-27 09:20:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	77	38¢	$29	0xa3ac32…
10-27 08:46:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x89f1b8…
10-27 08:19:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe5398…
10-27 07:59:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x223bd4…
10-27 07:50:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0xb11c37…
10-27 07:48:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0x0c524c…
10-27 07:48:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	578	16¢	$94	0x2c46cd…
10-27 07:48:02	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	73¢	$63	0xe1a7b1…
10-27 07:47:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	272	73¢	$199	0xf54d06…
10-27 07:34:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	88	13¢	$11	0x6725cc…
10-27 07:02:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	81	13¢	$11	0xd10461…
10-27 03:35:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x07818a…
10-27 01:25:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x8e1ccb…
10-27 01:06:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe57e07…
10-26 23:52:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe7865d…
10-26 23:14:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xe4c957…
10-26 23:14:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0xab8b0b…
10-26 23:09:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x863383…
10-26 23:08:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x89590b…
10-26 17:59:06	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xa43d74…
10-26 17:54:15	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,372	14¢	$192	0x6368ba…
10-26 17:33:18	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,372	13¢	$178	0x018952…
10-26 17:00:33	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x9d39f7…
10-26 16:59:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	80¢	$91	0xab5fe2…
10-26 16:57:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfed93e…
10-26 16:41:50	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,243	11¢	$137	0xacb84e…
10-26 16:32:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	969	5¢	$48	0xdd8be4…
10-26 16:26:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x23daa2…
10-26 16:24:06	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x091642…
10-26 16:18:23	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	15¢	$31	0xaef1cc…
10-26 16:18:23	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	293	15¢	$44	0x318e46…
10-26 16:00:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x4c516a…
10-26 15:58:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x41602e…
10-26 15:53:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	474	7¢	$33	0xee745b…
10-26 15:45:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xdf58b8…
10-26 15:40:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	296	6¢	$18	0x7eacec…
10-26 15:31:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0x5895c1…
10-26 15:17:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x724813…
10-26 15:17:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x986868…
10-26 15:14:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6cb872…
10-26 15:13:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x427e45…
10-26 15:10:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0xda7079…
10-26 15:03:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	321	7¢	$22	0x7d2b21…
10-26 15:01:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0ba97e…
10-26 14:58:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xd393be…
10-26 14:42:56	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xc82e65…
10-26 14:41:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	179	7¢	$13	0xc38b8a…
10-26 14:37:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	313	6¢	$19	0x542699…
10-26 14:33:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0x7d27a7…
10-26 14:13:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	187	6¢	$11	0x3fcb31…
10-26 12:34:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0xcdacff…
10-26 12:02:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0x9f4041…
10-26 09:23:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	400	14¢	$56	0xb676ad…
10-26 09:22:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x125bb5…
10-26 09:16:05	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	67¢	$42	0x52ed94…
10-26 08:56:15	Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	969	5¢	$51	0x6652e9…
10-26 08:21:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	416	6¢	$25	0xcb6f77…
10-26 08:21:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3f754b…
10-26 08:21:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	67¢	$99	0x2aaa7c…
10-26 08:17:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x45bc50…
10-26 08:10:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	242	6¢	$15	0xdcaab1…
10-26 08:06:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	124	6¢	$7	0x43a17b…
10-26 08:01:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x7cb27a…
10-26 07:58:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	67¢	$35	0x823d96…
10-26 07:45:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xff72dc…
10-26 07:43:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x87ca2f…
10-26 07:02:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x502200…
10-26 06:51:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0xc5d888…
10-26 06:46:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x34a51a…
10-26 06:40:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	928	8¢	$74	0xece426…
10-26 06:40:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x50742f…
10-26 06:34:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa0ab58…
10-26 06:23:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xb2c449…
10-26 05:57:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	928	8¢	$74	0x0b632a…
10-26 05:56:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0cdc9d…
10-26 05:55:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$77	0xfbf3c0…
10-26 04:52:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xb71a2a…
10-26 04:28:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	134	79¢	$106	0xfea1b7…
10-26 04:15:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0xc4db0c…
10-26 03:55:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	76¢	$251	0x1c5eb2…
10-25 07:07:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$439	0x2a8722…
10-24 15:42:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x08eeec…
10-24 15:19:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	254	2¢	$5	0x26ca6c…
10-24 15:18:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0x400847…
10-24 15:07:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	431	2¢	$9	0x3472f9…
10-24 15:05:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	361	2¢	$6	0x183855…
10-24 15:03:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	2,347	2¢	$42	0x71a195…
10-24 14:11:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	185	17¢	$32	0x731611…
10-24 14:11:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	235	17¢	$40	0x326cb3…
10-24 13:50:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x03f1f6…
10-24 12:10:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x54470b…
10-24 11:43:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	688	3¢	$18	0x0680ef…
10-24 11:42:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	308	3¢	$8	0x8e778b…
10-24 11:32:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x08ac1f…
10-24 11:31:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xbf9685…
10-24 09:52:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	1,500	3¢	$48	0xbd32ac…
10-24 09:40:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	1,188	3¢	$38	0x5cc407…