Dearest-Translation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

Trades

19,123

lifetime

Volume

$971.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

74% 33% +$1,128

Other

20% 67% +$618

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$13

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	659	$58.6K	99,968	97,516	+2,452	open	—	03-26 15:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	786	$57.0K	156,111	151,994	+4,118	open	—	05-31 15:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	256	$46.0K	29,892	30,046	-154	open	—	01-30 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	803	$33.8K	53,890	51,422	+2,468	Yes	+$1,827	04-30 05:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	759	$28.4K	39,659	37,496	+2,163	open	—	06-13 12:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	456	$25.9K	60,455	59,387	+1,068	open	—	06-13 16:07
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	85	$25.0K	13,600	15,081	-1,481	open	—	01-25 10:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	170	$22.7K	29,098	30,043	-945	open	—	03-01 01:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	285	$21.6K	31,692	31,775	-84	open	—	06-30 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	272	$19.5K	29,034	29,887	-853	open	—	05-10 11:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	251	$18.1K	37,286	36,429	+857	open	—	02-28 06:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	214	$17.7K	35,486	35,118	+368	open	—	08-08 04:22
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	399	$17.0K	61,066	61,820	-754	open	—	08-12 07:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	482	$16.8K	76,068	72,812	+3,257	open	—	03-31 15:15
Iran leadership change by March 13?	106	$15.5K	14,081	12,224	+1,856	open	—	03-13 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	108	$15.4K	13,457	14,211	-754	open	—	04-06 16:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	246	$13.8K	19,660	20,825	-1,165	open	—	04-06 15:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	163	$13.7K	22,702	22,275	+427	open	—	03-19 08:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	282	$13.6K	55,365	51,903	+3,462	open	—	05-26 18:51
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	146	$12.9K	13,476	17,191	-3,715	open	—	04-30 12:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	288	$12.8K	38,111	33,335	+4,776	No	$-564	05-06 09:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	237	$12.5K	17,510	17,752	-242	open	—	05-29 05:53
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	180	$11.1K	13,460	10,460	+3,000	open	—	04-07 15:11
iran leadership change by march 31	106	$10.6K	24,141	22,563	+1,577	open	—	03-18 05:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	89	$10.5K	7,464	6,597	+867	open	—	01-30 14:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	183	$10.4K	25,489	25,474	+16	open	—	05-10 13:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	38	$10.1K	5,606	5,307	+299	open	—	01-22 14:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	121	$10.1K	25,281	22,781	+2,500	open	—	08-14 02:46
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	151	$9.1K	17,448	18,135	-687	open	—	03-13 12:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	183	$8.6K	22,011	22,691	-679	open	—	06-18 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 02:46:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0xdbd9a3…
08-13 17:25:25	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xa56a57…
08-13 17:23:30	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xe0525a…
08-13 17:22:21	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3983c1…
08-13 17:19:46	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0xb2037f…
08-13 17:16:19	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x3562c6…
08-13 17:16:18	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x52ca79…
08-13 17:04:19	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x81b66a…
08-13 17:04:13	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xc26058…
08-13 17:02:55	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x38b98f…
08-13 16:02:09	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x5f4378…
08-13 15:21:22	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xad179d…
08-13 15:21:22	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0xa8c706…
08-13 15:18:10	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd7eeed…
08-13 15:04:55	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xfc7e4b…
08-13 15:02:27	will the next google gemini flash model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xec83bc…
08-13 14:44:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x9eff51…
08-13 14:06:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd590d0…
08-13 14:01:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x066c51…
08-13 13:41:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x99956e…
08-13 11:14:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x725a43…
08-13 09:31:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	195	43¢	$84	0x481f7d…
08-13 09:23:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x85bf32…
08-13 08:42:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	191	43¢	$82	0xb2f6ad…
08-13 08:42:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xf580c1…
08-13 08:15:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6ee609…
08-13 08:08:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,038	16¢	$166	0xa286fd…
08-12 23:32:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	881	15¢	$132	0xd06f74…
08-12 23:20:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xdad361…
08-12 22:35:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x963354…
08-12 22:09:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	89	15¢	$13	0x37b944…
08-12 07:58:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xacab6a…
08-12 07:39:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x1b3e63…
08-12 07:32:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	491	16¢	$79	0x4ad4ff…
08-12 07:08:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2,573	1¢	$36	0x211c65…
08-12 07:06:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	4,000	2¢	$76	0xb39b70…
08-12 07:06:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x3f11fb…
08-12 07:06:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x9f9f71…
08-12 07:06:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	548	2¢	$10	0x7a97ad…
08-12 07:06:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	317	2¢	$6	0x1bb33a…
08-12 07:06:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	7,000	2¢	$106	0x541786…
08-12 06:40:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3,461	2¢	$55	0x0b4f63…
08-12 06:22:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$16	0x0fca67…
08-12 06:09:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xf79d6a…
08-12 04:13:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5,000	2¢	$105	0x0a3907…
08-12 00:20:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$60	0x88306e…
08-11 21:02:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,000	4¢	$80	0x51cff0…
08-11 20:52:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x87d98e…
08-11 19:50:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	188	18¢	$34	0x66c74f…
08-11 18:06:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0xd142ae…
08-11 18:00:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xe057e4…
08-11 17:30:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x8c0246…
08-11 17:13:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xb8238f…
08-11 16:47:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x955043…
08-11 16:47:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x76f51a…
08-11 16:47:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x23f517…
08-11 16:47:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	80	18¢	$14	0xdc5887…
08-11 16:47:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x437cf4…
08-11 16:28:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x2ef975…
08-11 16:26:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xfac81a…
08-11 16:14:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x0a1c19…
08-11 16:07:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	556	18¢	$100	0x64ab64…
08-11 15:59:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0x110b93…
08-11 15:59:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	111	18¢	$20	0x95bc95…
08-11 15:51:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	399	18¢	$72	0xb9535a…
08-11 15:42:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x4f46c3…
08-11 15:31:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,169	7¢	$82	0x389c43…
08-11 15:24:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	693	6¢	$42	0x4cdb9e…
08-11 14:34:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	193	6¢	$12	0xdbaaf0…
08-11 13:08:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x591a02…
08-11 12:54:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	8¢	$40	0xb970f0…
08-11 12:46:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0x0f6c73…
08-11 12:40:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	331	6¢	$20	0x4879e2…
08-11 12:32:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	927	6¢	$56	0xfabd87…
08-11 12:28:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	267	6¢	$16	0x1ce6a5…
08-11 12:27:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0xa976f6…
08-11 12:26:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0x7e5782…
08-11 12:24:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	167	6¢	$10	0xae8c38…
08-11 12:23:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xdbb827…
08-11 12:23:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	93	6¢	$6	0xcc812f…
08-11 12:23:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xbfa311…
08-11 12:23:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x7bf5f6…
08-11 12:23:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	498	6¢	$30	0x5b3311…
08-11 12:23:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	381	6¢	$23	0xb14dfa…
08-11 12:00:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0x935ff4…
08-11 11:58:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x3378e7…
08-11 11:07:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,500	5¢	$75	0x5e7360…
08-11 11:06:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	5,000	16¢	$800	0x74add8…
08-11 11:04:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0xa8d24b…
08-11 09:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	2,000	14¢	$280	0xa2cdfc…
08-11 09:12:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2,000	8¢	$160	0x30b16b…
08-11 07:58:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xc94e97…
08-11 03:32:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xb676d6…
08-11 03:02:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5,000	7¢	$350	0x0be80a…
08-11 00:42:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	467	7¢	$33	0x793b61…
08-11 00:40:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	533	7¢	$37	0x563497…
08-10 22:24:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x03c720…
08-10 20:14:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x92bdb8…
08-10 17:57:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x04ed6b…
08-10 14:51:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,500	7¢	$175	0x720227…