Realized P&L (90d)
+$50
Unrealized P&L
-$449
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
16
16 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.68K
$5.68K lifetime
Avg / trade
$355
Open exposure
$2.33K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Politics
36% 100% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +7,443 $718 $540 $-179 05-10 05:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $530 40¢ $400 $-130 05-07 07:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 $-380 78¢ $-388 $-8 05-06 11:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +2,000 $400 16¢ $310 $-90 05-07 08:29
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? Yes -2,827 $-201 10¢ $-269 $-67 05-10 01:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -400 $-332 66¢ $-262 +$70 05-06 11:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +500 $160 22¢ $108 $-52 05-07 07:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +50 $42 84¢ $42 +$0 05-09 17:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes -94 $-20 16¢ $-14 +$5 05-09 03:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? Yes -39 $-3 $-1 +$1 05-08 15:22