Dearest-Translation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$260

Hit rate

20.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

351

22,502 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$7.47K

$1.14M lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$351

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Politics

71% 56% +$15,991

Other

22% 48% -$1,566

Crypto

4% 67% +$2,626

Sports

3% 49% +$537

Tech

0% 43% -$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	+200	$180	95¢	$191	+$11	11-05 09:47
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	+1,821	$316	8¢	$137	-$180	11-08 10:53
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+700	$102	2¢	$14	-$88	11-04 17:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+200	$12	5¢	$9	-$3	11-05 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	879	$63.4K	115,310	112,444	+2,865	Yes	+$3,453	06-13 16:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	659	$58.6K	99,968	97,516	+2,452	No	+$147	03-26 15:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	799	$57.8K	159,593	155,067	+4,526	No	+$1,485	05-31 15:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	256	$46.0K	29,892	30,046	-154	No	+$338	01-30 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	803	$33.8K	53,890	51,422	+2,468	Yes	+$1,827	04-30 05:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	790	$30.2K	41,473	40,069	+1,404	Yes	+$2,089	06-13 12:28
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	85	$25.0K	13,600	15,081	-1,481	No	+$18	01-25 10:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	170	$22.7K	29,098	30,043	-945	Yes	-$299	03-01 01:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	287	$21.6K	31,746	31,775	-29	No	+$907	06-30 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	321	$21.3K	36,257	36,257	+0	No	+$21	06-18 10:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	250	$20.1K	40,961	40,961	+0	open	—	09-09 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	272	$19.5K	29,034	29,887	-853	No	+$382	05-10 11:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	251	$18.1K	37,286	36,429	+857	Yes	+$943	02-28 06:53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	406	$17.2K	62,021	62,021	+0	Yes	+$59	08-12 07:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	482	$16.8K	76,068	72,812	+3,257	No	-$163	03-31 15:15
Iran leadership change by March 13?	106	$15.5K	14,081	12,224	+1,856	No	+$274	03-13 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	108	$15.4K	13,457	14,211	-754	Yes	-$233	04-06 16:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	288	$14.0K	56,572	52,203	+4,369	No	+$152	05-26 18:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	199	$13.8K	43,981	43,981	+0	No	-$372	08-22 11:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	246	$13.8K	19,660	20,825	-1,165	Yes	-$609	04-06 15:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	163	$13.7K	22,702	22,275	+427	No	-$142	03-19 08:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	239	$13.2K	18,010	18,752	-742	No	+$714	05-29 05:53
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	146	$12.9K	13,476	17,191	-3,715	Yes	+$1,609	04-30 12:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	288	$12.8K	38,111	33,335	+4,776	No	-$564	05-06 09:04
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	180	$11.1K	13,460	10,460	+3,000	Yes	+$1,955	04-07 15:11
iran leadership change by march 31	106	$10.6K	24,141	22,563	+1,577	No	-$194	03-18 05:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	89	$10.5K	7,464	6,597	+867	Yes	+$605	01-30 14:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	183	$10.4K	25,489	25,474	+16	No	+$368	05-10 13:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	38	$10.1K	5,606	5,307	+299	No	+$89	01-22 14:04
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	87	$9.3K	16,959	16,959	+0	No	-$61	08-25 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 12:11:28	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,000	27¢	$1,071	0xfcf7ec…
11-08 10:53:51	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x95360f…
11-08 10:13:15	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x72ae38…
11-08 10:12:42	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x93fa21…
11-08 07:47:25	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2a5014…
11-07 15:52:46	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,300	7¢	$91	0x461762…
11-07 15:35:30	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	8¢	$117	0x8e5667…
11-07 08:34:54	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,000	21¢	$210	0x7da33e…
11-07 08:29:07	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xeef698…
11-06 15:23:19	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x6b1a26…
11-06 15:21:09	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	420	22¢	$92	0xf8afc2…
11-06 15:05:13	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xb9edee…
11-06 15:02:09	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x7fd48c…
11-06 14:23:42	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x3b7d6f…
11-06 14:11:40	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	8¢	$29	0x8280a4…
11-06 13:37:57	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	508	8¢	$41	0xad383f…
11-06 13:29:34	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xe01aea…
11-06 13:21:12	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x1bf18a…
11-06 13:21:10	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x55f0bf…
11-06 12:59:18	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	8¢	$22	0xd4d9dc…
11-06 12:58:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	SELL	603	44¢	$268	0xad7556…
11-06 12:42:36	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	8¢	$7	0xb70556…
11-06 12:42:36	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	8¢	$11	0x97624e…
11-06 11:04:07	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xcce940…
11-06 11:03:39	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x319bde…
11-06 10:48:34	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x94719b…
11-06 07:22:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$12	0xb7c901…
11-06 07:20:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x30cf07…
11-06 07:10:13	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$89	0x2c5428…
11-06 04:27:28	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	312	22¢	$69	0x6797ec…
11-05 23:10:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	66	36¢	$24	0xa66429…
11-05 19:29:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x29346c…
11-05 18:29:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x2655b9…
11-05 18:27:52	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x867421…
11-05 18:27:16	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	421	31¢	$131	0x9ff3a3…
11-05 16:58:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	118	4¢	$5	0x54215d…
11-05 16:55:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	382	4¢	$17	0xdc77c5…
11-05 16:19:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	761	4¢	$30	0x040543…
11-05 16:17:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0xec1499…
11-05 16:16:36	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	30¢	$301	0x59fc7b…
11-05 16:04:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	11¢	$10	0x7c37ea…
11-05 16:02:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xf03410…
11-05 16:02:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	11¢	$7	0xa91914…
11-05 16:02:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	11¢	$10	0xdf5fab…
11-05 15:12:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0xf88002…
11-05 13:26:16	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	430	5¢	$23	0x589f3b…
11-05 13:07:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x5189d4…
11-05 12:33:46	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xcd5955…
11-05 12:22:25	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	31¢	$155	0x2dab6c…
11-05 11:58:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xef035f…
11-05 11:58:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xe3fd51…
11-05 11:58:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	435	5¢	$22	0xc1965c…
11-05 11:58:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x540ead…
11-05 10:25:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	175	6¢	$10	0xe61dfb…
11-05 09:51:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	179	6¢	$10	0x886270…
11-05 09:49:37	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	536	6¢	$30	0x1e2cb0…
11-05 09:47:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xb65e33…
11-05 09:45:30	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x6dd0ca…
11-05 09:18:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x12e73d…
11-05 09:18:52	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb571dc…
11-05 09:18:52	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	144	6¢	$8	0x6f3d9b…
11-05 09:18:52	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3e5b9f…
11-05 09:18:52	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x23c2f4…
11-05 09:18:52	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0x077054…
11-05 08:29:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x4f8cfc…
11-05 07:10:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x1f163d…
11-05 06:20:31	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$29	0x0e3e27…
11-04 19:56:22	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2b4b72…
11-04 19:48:48	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x512316…
11-04 19:32:30	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	31¢	$144	0xf4b14a…
11-04 18:32:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xdb2ff8…
11-04 18:32:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x82fdbb…
11-04 18:28:58	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0xa3bb58…
11-04 17:07:36	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x110cb5…
11-04 13:43:01	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	451	3¢	$12	0xd3537c…
11-04 13:41:09	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0x31bb84…
11-04 13:35:07	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x661b7e…
11-04 13:34:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x7c111e…
11-04 13:33:54	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	2¢	$3	0x5f7284…
11-04 13:33:00	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$9	0x5f41ef…
11-04 13:32:43	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x09c873…
11-04 13:32:18	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xa8dfcd…
11-04 13:31:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xa3aae8…
11-04 13:31:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	2¢	$8	0xfed21d…
11-04 13:30:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0xa3ff2a…
11-04 13:30:12	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x30c7d7…
11-04 13:29:49	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	2¢	$8	0xf1ac95…
11-04 13:29:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x528bb6…
11-04 13:21:39	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	845	3¢	$23	0x5634b1…
11-04 13:05:33	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	3¢	$22	0x76e8b6…
11-04 13:00:25	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	122	7¢	$9	0x9b6cff…
11-04 12:55:37	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa5336e…
11-04 12:33:43	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x456ce0…
11-04 12:33:43	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,697	0¢	$2	0x29daa5…
11-04 12:17:49	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x82d4e7…
11-04 11:40:42	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x0b7088…
11-04 11:34:33	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf4f333…
11-04 10:35:27	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x0688d9…
11-04 10:34:54	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,019	8¢	$81	0x3f0f03…
11-04 10:19:10	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	201	9¢	$18	0xe08e41…