Fancy-Language — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

603

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-14 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

34% 100% +$1

Other

30% 40% +$2

Sports

27% 100% +$15

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes		+4	$1	21¢	$1	$-0	06-16 15:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	5	$157	101	101	+0	open	—	02-04 15:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$57	31	38	-7	open	—	02-03 16:53
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	03-07 07:02
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	02-03 16:53
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	02-14 03:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-20 17:34
will trump visit greenland by march 31	4	$38	24	24	+0	open	—	01-22 11:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	01-30 00:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$35	26	26	+0	open	—	04-03 20:18
will trump say stagflation this week february 8	3	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	02-04 15:10
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	3	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	01-10 21:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 03:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	01-30 11:21
nhl ana mon 2026 03 15	4	$23	36	15	+21	open	—	03-16 00:09
Will Trump say "Pig" in May?	3	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-29 17:04
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	01-05 02:49
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	02-25 03:04
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	03-14 14:12
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-07 07:02
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	01-24 20:08
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	01-24 20:08
will f u skrillex you think ur andy warhol but ur not 3 skrillex win best danceelectronic album at the 68th annual grammy awards	2	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	01-30 21:47
nhl fla mon 2026 01 08	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	01-09 02:11
will bugonia be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	01-18 01:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$18	30	30	+0	open	—	01-17 18:46
will maybe happy ending original broadway cast win best musical theater album at the 68th annual grammy awards	2	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	01-30 21:44
will trump say gay in june	4	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	06-19 11:20
will taylor swift perform at the 2026 grammy awards	2	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	01-30 00:47
btc updown 5m 1781126400	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	06-10 21:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$15	8	14	-6	open	—	05-25 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:02:28	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716378	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x196b44…
07-14 19:01:56	will the announcers say var during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716373	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe149c4…
07-14 19:01:20	will the announcers say nutmeg or nutmegs during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716377	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x8eea35…
07-09 16:23:44	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420731	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf0bf30…
07-09 16:23:02	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420749	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x71b772…
07-06 21:11:41	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348886	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x42665e…
07-06 21:11:22	will the announcers say var during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348894	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa68be1…
07-06 21:11:10	will the announcers say red devil during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348898	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2d863c…
07-06 21:10:52	will the announcers say ronaldo during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348907	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x33778b…
07-06 21:10:41	will the announcers say nutmeg or nutmegs during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348904	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x862c05…
07-06 21:09:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xc5f455…
07-06 21:07:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xa12df9…
07-03 20:33:44	will the announcers say underdog during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236635	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x62421e…
07-03 20:33:31	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236640	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9941ca…
07-03 20:32:59	will the announcers say golden boot during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236642	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xac3977…
07-03 20:32:55	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236643	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x984172…
07-03 20:32:55	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236644	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x46f0b8…
07-01 17:41:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe32835…
07-01 17:41:20	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154106	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x831b8a…
07-01 17:40:34	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154125	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9a4a36…
06-30 18:31:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x936274…
06-29 15:43:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x43a145…
06-29 15:43:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf3b6e8…
06-29 15:42:47	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2aa353…
06-29 15:42:13	will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xdb429d…
06-28 15:54:16	will trump say gulf of trump in june	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x83929a…
06-28 15:54:04	will trump say all in all out in june	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x088b27…
06-28 15:50:47	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x887293…
06-27 03:15:47	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x884ffc…
06-27 03:14:58	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xb7c375…
06-27 03:14:46	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1460a4…
06-27 03:14:40	will memphis depay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x334f07…
06-27 03:14:34	will luka modri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x059550…
06-27 03:14:29	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x8a59cc…
06-23 16:21:17	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xc5de75…
06-23 16:19:40	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x54f598…
06-23 16:16:22	will trump say buy dell computer buy a dell computer in june	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x7eb3af…
06-23 03:38:53	btc updown 5m 1782185700	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x32b668…
06-23 03:37:53	btc updown 5m 1782185700	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xddd41e…
06-22 00:08:32	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x59553e…
06-22 00:07:10	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x652a17…
06-19 11:20:58	will trump say gay in june	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xa117b9…
06-19 03:44:37	will the announcers say captain during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914468	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x24e2fe…
06-19 03:44:22	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914482	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x39aec1…
06-19 03:42:49	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xcc14b4…
06-19 03:42:14	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x561a9e…
06-19 03:33:40	will trump say gay in june	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x086668…
06-18 12:38:26	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xfde4a9…
06-16 22:36:31	will romelu lukaku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x0a5a3e…
06-16 15:52:26	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x2a4e9a…
06-16 15:51:53	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf58edc…
06-15 17:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x41c75d…
06-15 17:12:48	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xdcc439…
06-14 02:40:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x426051…
06-12 03:24:25	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x86eea4…
06-11 17:05:36	will trump say polling this week 20260605142537482	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x57679e…
06-11 16:32:54	will trump say sacrifice this week 20260605142537474	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd61a12…
06-11 16:32:45	will trump say six seven this week 20260605142537476	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x916d51…
06-11 16:32:04	will trump say interest rate this week 20260605142537485	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x63c499…
06-11 16:31:57	will trump say maduro this week 20260605142537489	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5b9dcd…
06-11 16:31:43	will trump say uber this week 20260605142537495	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc4fac8…
06-11 16:29:16	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2aa53e…
06-11 16:28:37	world cup scoreless team 20260607162032311	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd08e1e…
06-11 01:41:37	btc updown 5m 1781142000	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf4e170…
06-11 01:40:07	btc updown 5m 1781142000	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9d2e0d…
06-10 21:24:21	btc updown 5m 1781126400	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x8dfdeb…
06-10 21:22:39	btc updown 5m 1781126400	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5303bc…
06-10 21:21:06	btc updown 5m 1781126400	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x739bf1…
06-10 21:20:52	btc updown 5m 1781126400	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcac5e0…
06-10 21:18:45	btc updown 5m 1781126100	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xddd8b4…
06-10 21:18:21	btc updown 5m 1781126100	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x90d7fa…
06-10 21:15:43	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8b416c…
06-10 21:15:18	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2e94dd…
06-10 21:14:57	Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x429ced…
06-10 21:14:31	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6902b0…
06-10 21:14:07	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf7d9e5…
06-10 21:11:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x22eda9…
06-10 21:11:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x38f81b…
06-10 21:08:48	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7c92a8…
06-10 21:08:12	will memphis depay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x340c40…
06-10 21:07:57	will leandro trossard score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9c433a…
06-10 21:07:09	will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x65f3e3…
06-10 21:07:04	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb872d5…
06-10 21:06:46	will jamal musiala score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x856ad5…
06-10 21:06:34	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb83154…
06-08 03:18:51	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf00bad…
06-08 03:14:03	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x750588…
06-08 03:13:58	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7333be…
06-08 03:13:54	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x66d7e4…
06-08 03:13:52	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3482b4…
06-03 23:59:15	will kevin de bruyne score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0c46d8…
06-03 23:59:04	will son heung min score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0627cb…
06-03 23:58:46	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1a06cd…
06-03 23:58:33	will mohamed salah score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa40340…
06-03 23:58:00	will lionel messi score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6d8aaa…
06-03 23:57:36	will virgil van dijk score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x689c77…
06-03 23:57:15	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xdf4e78…
06-03 23:57:03	will memphis depay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x844dd7…
06-03 23:55:45	will luka modri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x872209…
06-03 23:54:39	will rayan cherki score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xed4aa9…