Needy-Deathwatch 0xc8cd29…deed53
bot hot 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
1,745
Trades
4,007
lifetime
Volume
$21.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$131
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-26 22:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
92% 55% +$4,073
Sports
3% 54% -$33
Crypto
3% 67% +$14
Politics
1% 47% -$33
Tech
0% 43% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 506 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-28 17:25
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-28 17:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 08-20 06:31
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 08-12 16:54
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-01 08:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$1 09-17 05:19
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 08-11 03:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-24 17:34
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-12 15:04
US recession by end of 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 09-16 05:08
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 09-18 10:46
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$2 08-10 21:39
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 08-29 10:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 09-07 08:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $3 88¢ $5 +$2 08-11 19:54
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 09-19 11:53
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 08-18 18:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 08-25 13:45
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $0 09-18 09:54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 10-08 14:41
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 09-11 10:35
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 08-11 19:49
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +5 $4 77¢ $4 $0 10-08 08:08
No one announced as next James Bond? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 $0 09-08 07:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 09-30 14:11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 09-22 14:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 09-13 22:52
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $5 72¢ $4 -$1 08-24 12:57
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $0 09-19 20:46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 09-20 01:23