Imperfect-Handsaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

389

lifetime

Volume

$391

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-31 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	06-26 06:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 02:39
nothing ever happens microstrategy	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-06 09:23
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 08:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-13 01:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 09:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-22 08:23
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 06:52
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-31 07:16
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-10 07:36
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-11 00:09
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	05-30 01:09
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 07:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 09:58
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 07:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-30 09:04
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 09:07
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 01:43
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 06:25
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 06:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 03:11
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-29 02:07
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 03:43
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 08:22
dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 08:23
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 08:51
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:21
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 03:09
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 07:16:59	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b3af6…
07-31 07:16:36	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92c1e4…
07-31 07:05:21	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3a001…
07-31 07:03:59	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f3213…
07-30 09:05:18	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d9319…
07-30 09:04:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdefdf9…
07-30 08:52:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa44d41…
07-30 08:50:53	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd7514…
07-27 07:31:39	taylor travis divorce in 2026 20260706221307677	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x44623b…
07-27 07:01:18	taylor travis divorce in 2026 20260706221307677	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce106a…
07-25 03:09:04	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe7475e…
07-25 02:57:33	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2927e8…
07-24 06:56:55	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x52f2ea…
07-24 06:56:27	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad260d…
07-24 06:37:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf4ec6d…
07-24 06:36:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa83598…
07-22 08:24:27	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ac87c…
07-22 08:23:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x855a64…
07-22 08:00:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x52e122…
07-22 08:00:03	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc43084…
07-21 07:53:37	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdae1f2…
07-21 07:50:15	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46700c…
07-20 09:09:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2fad9d…
07-20 09:03:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d151e…
07-18 08:45:21	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe9f526…
07-18 08:44:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb27038…
07-18 08:15:28	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x64a780…
07-18 08:14:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5b91c…
07-17 06:29:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbfdee6…
07-17 06:25:21	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x022c0a…
07-17 04:52:36	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddd4dc…
07-17 04:51:30	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5734f0…
07-16 03:43:26	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x85669e…
07-16 03:12:20	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37931f…
07-15 08:23:35	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb591d2…
07-15 08:22:59	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfda7ee…
07-15 08:06:35	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc34a4…
07-15 08:05:49	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x865212…
07-14 06:48:59	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3bf4fa…
07-14 06:16:40	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b413e…
07-13 09:17:56	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1ae671…
07-13 09:17:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88ff15…
07-13 09:05:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x685090…
07-13 09:05:20	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf05884…
07-11 08:23:31	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x165b2d…
07-11 08:23:05	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x00ff53…
07-11 08:17:58	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa41525…
07-11 08:17:25	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x16cae8…
07-10 07:36:20	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5dfc97…
07-10 07:35:58	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5e4c7b…
07-10 07:23:25	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2023f9…
07-10 07:22:46	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x43ecbf…
07-09 03:34:47	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xabf0b1…
07-09 03:34:07	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9a83b3…
07-09 03:20:14	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe63ba2…
07-09 03:19:47	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x71c74b…
07-08 06:46:41	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5d3af0…
07-08 06:46:10	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xed5ad3…
07-08 06:36:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2dfdc6…
07-08 06:35:11	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x32a900…
07-07 06:20:10	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x880ee4…
07-07 04:56:41	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf16cb7…
07-06 07:58:32	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x462325…
07-06 07:57:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa72fd7…
07-06 07:45:29	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c3525…
07-06 07:44:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0736e0…
07-04 06:09:22	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xffd782…
07-04 06:06:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c7af5…
07-04 04:41:52	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe44cd2…
07-04 04:39:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x601728…
07-03 07:04:13	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7a29a5…
07-03 06:54:34	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec0eab…
07-02 07:11:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2fad35…
07-02 07:03:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0a3d4f…
07-01 03:44:23	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2f78b5…
07-01 03:43:35	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1c0107…
07-01 03:38:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb954cc…
07-01 03:37:41	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43f5ce…
06-30 07:21:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf71d23…
06-30 07:20:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x141190…
06-30 07:12:55	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55884d…
06-30 07:11:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2907a2…
06-29 08:12:32	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0aa2c5…
06-29 08:11:49	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe64a48…
06-29 08:03:17	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1baa7…
06-29 08:01:35	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x10964a…
06-27 04:41:59	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa5564e…
06-27 04:33:29	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb2658…
06-26 06:18:44	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xae2e8c…
06-26 06:18:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5d97a…
06-26 04:11:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12d3ac…
06-26 03:41:32	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x094a11…
06-24 02:00:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbf80c…
06-24 01:57:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1104a5…
06-23 03:12:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdb6b10…
06-23 02:46:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcebe4…
06-22 01:40:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x486da6…
06-22 01:33:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x314e00…
06-21 03:40:49	will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x563a61…
06-21 03:27:52	will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce70f3…