Imperfect-Handsaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$317

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

14% 0% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-1	$-1	95¢	$-1	$-0	06-15 03:52
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		-1	$-1	87¢	$-1	+$0	05-30 01:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	06-26 06:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 02:39
nothing ever happens microstrategy	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-06 09:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-13 01:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 09:22
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 06:52
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-11 00:09
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	05-30 01:09
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 07:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 09:58
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 07:16
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 09:07
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 01:43
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 06:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 03:11
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-29 02:07
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 08:51
gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:21
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:26
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 01:56
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-13 01:53
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 02:22
Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 00:26
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 02:44
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-30 04:13
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 07:44
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-18 03:47
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:04
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-22 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:44:23	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2f78b5…
07-01 03:43:35	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1c0107…
07-01 03:38:19	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb954cc…
07-01 03:37:41	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x43f5ce…
06-30 07:21:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf71d23…
06-30 07:20:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x141190…
06-30 07:12:55	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55884d…
06-30 07:11:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2907a2…
06-29 08:12:32	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0aa2c5…
06-29 08:11:49	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe64a48…
06-29 08:03:17	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1baa7…
06-29 08:01:35	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x10964a…
06-27 04:41:59	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa5564e…
06-27 04:33:29	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb2658…
06-26 06:18:44	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xae2e8c…
06-26 06:18:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5d97a…
06-26 04:11:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12d3ac…
06-26 03:41:32	will solana reach 150 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x094a11…
06-24 02:00:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbf80c…
06-24 01:57:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1104a5…
06-23 03:12:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdb6b10…
06-23 02:46:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcebe4…
06-22 01:40:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x486da6…
06-22 01:33:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x314e00…
06-21 03:40:49	will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x563a61…
06-21 03:27:52	will the announcers say verizon during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419627	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce70f3…
06-18 03:47:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1ecfd1…
06-18 03:47:08	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4d47d…
06-18 03:36:26	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ca2d7…
06-18 03:31:50	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7192f8…
06-17 03:12:49	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4ea451…
06-17 03:11:58	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3b8a98…
06-17 03:05:57	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe35f90…
06-17 03:05:00	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde3bb0…
06-16 02:04:16	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7f5346…
06-16 02:03:12	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x62b4dc…
06-16 01:54:37	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce99ca…
06-16 01:51:37	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e88c7…
06-15 03:52:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe96092…
06-13 01:53:07	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x35cd53…
06-13 01:52:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcfc601…
06-13 01:49:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe42385…
06-12 03:21:30	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x03f9bd…
06-12 03:21:06	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3520f0…
06-12 03:08:30	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb58e86…
06-12 03:07:12	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45ddb4…
06-11 03:00:31	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x46de99…
06-11 02:59:52	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x12c8a6…
06-11 02:50:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x43e226…
06-11 02:48:42	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x622433…
06-10 03:06:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7987b0…
06-10 02:52:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x759c13…
06-09 03:21:52	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x92e32f…
06-09 02:45:13	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd757ea…
06-08 03:22:34	Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc5b7be…
06-08 03:16:04	Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e8935…
06-06 02:34:52	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x60cb0d…
06-06 02:34:06	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61f954…
06-06 02:28:00	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d0665…
06-06 02:25:36	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f4ea3…
06-05 02:09:12	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdac692…
06-05 02:02:18	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc1a30…
06-04 03:41:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec6328…
06-04 03:31:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69e26c…
06-03 04:45:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3a8986…
06-03 04:08:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbceb75…
06-02 02:06:49	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x28c84a…
06-02 01:44:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0f6b0…
06-01 03:19:20	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x43c9b7…
06-01 03:10:56	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x306df1…
06-01 03:09:55	Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x540ba9…
05-30 01:10:04	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x24916b…
05-30 01:09:06	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x17cb25…
05-29 02:07:51	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa67266…
05-29 02:07:09	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x91db52…
05-29 01:57:30	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18812d…
05-29 01:56:41	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3658a8…
05-29 01:55:38	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47618e…
05-29 01:54:42	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd75e5…
05-28 02:11:31	SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	SpaceX	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x37e2ee…
05-28 02:11:05	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc1b658…
05-28 02:00:24	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb840f1…
05-28 01:59:00	SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	SpaceX	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4f85ca…
05-26 03:11:33	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcefb66…
05-26 02:51:54	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfcb79b…
05-19 09:08:40	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe5aff0…
05-19 09:07:42	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18b2fd…
05-19 08:35:39	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x741910…
05-19 08:21:55	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9afaf6…
05-18 09:24:56	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3e14b9…
05-18 09:22:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x15a9db…
05-18 09:06:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd383b…
05-18 09:04:36	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd84bd8…
05-14 06:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb0cc44…
05-14 06:45:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9f8c0…
05-13 08:53:28	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x371891…
05-13 08:47:29	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97a19d…
05-12 08:12:37	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x469b58…
05-12 08:00:22	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1437d…
05-11 09:26:37	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0b4a07…