Simple-Reprocessing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$55.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-23 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% 50% +$55

Other

37% 100% +$1

Tech

5% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$1.9K	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	02-18 01:05
another us government shutdown by february 14	11	$1.7K	2,415	2,415	+0	open	—	02-14 04:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	06-01 17:07
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	7	$1.4K	781	781	+0	open	—	06-25 04:48
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	6	$1.4K	769	769	+0	open	—	02-12 21:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$1.3K	717	717	+0	open	—	05-26 02:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$1.2K	1,400	400	+1,000	open	—	06-27 05:51
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$1.0K	533	533	+0	Yes	+$1	03-19 03:41
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$960	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-25 04:43
will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	2	$924	547	547	+0	open	—	03-24 02:17
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$923	502	502	+0	open	—	02-12 16:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$896	500	500	+0	open	—	07-07 02:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$856	471	471	+0	open	—	04-12 02:52
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	3	$825	463	463	+0	open	—	05-30 02:17
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	6	$764	900	675	+225	open	—	06-27 05:49
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	3	$727	809	0	+809	open	—	04-12 02:53
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$713	539	269	+269	open	—	05-07 18:58
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$702	462	462	+0	open	—	02-10 22:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$684	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-06 21:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$613	334	334	+0	open	—	04-11 02:48
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$612	356	356	+0	open	—	04-28 03:36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	10	$582	600	400	+200	open	—	06-12 13:57
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$574	526	526	+0	open	—	04-02 04:26
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$573	455	455	+0	open	—	04-02 04:26
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$568	600	300	+300	open	—	07-07 18:32
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	4	$555	360	360	+0	open	—	03-03 03:36
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$554	293	293	+0	open	—	03-17 19:49
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	3	$548	750	750	+0	open	—	03-21 19:47
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	4	$543	721	721	+0	open	—	02-14 04:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$541	275	439	-164	open	—	06-17 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 23:45:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x9c7902…
07-23 21:58:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0x7ef09e…
07-23 21:07:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	47	65¢	$31	0xf1b983…
07-23 15:32:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xa0c860…
07-22 21:03:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	581	71¢	$412	0x286a39…
07-22 02:07:33	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0x079d7a…
07-08 13:21:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	288	75¢	$216	0x768ae9…
07-08 13:20:02	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x4c4046…
07-08 13:19:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x976ccc…
07-07 18:32:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	300	69¢	$208	0xc8b7a1…
07-07 04:11:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	183	72¢	$132	0xee7c5b…
07-07 03:21:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x979909…
07-07 03:17:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x35eb15…
07-07 02:39:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xa03cc3…
07-07 02:37:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xb51d21…
07-07 02:36:59	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x41fb12…
07-07 00:57:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x7e0201…
07-06 21:26:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x29c458…
07-06 03:53:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x17fe9f…
07-05 03:47:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	191	67¢	$128	0x2a5e79…
07-05 03:46:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0x1304ff…
07-05 02:58:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	209	67¢	$140	0x60f1c4…
07-05 02:56:28	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x78f712…
07-01 14:13:55	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xa113e6…
06-30 17:36:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	57	82¢	$47	0x8221c0…
06-30 17:35:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	143	82¢	$118	0x9e3491…
06-27 05:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x571161…
06-27 05:49:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	675	43¢	$290	0xd6f2b8…
06-27 05:46:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0xf3d154…
06-27 01:06:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	470	46¢	$216	0xa6c7bb…
06-27 00:50:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1744a2…
06-27 00:27:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x05ed86…
06-26 04:51:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xe64157…
06-26 04:50:41	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xe5f4e9…
06-26 04:48:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	310	61¢	$189	0x18dd82…
06-25 21:31:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0x7fb921…
06-25 13:31:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x7d3f52…
06-25 13:08:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	400	55¢	$221	0x470d7b…
06-25 04:48:11	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	SELL	781	100¢	$780	0xece43e…
06-25 04:43:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	600	80¢	$480	0xd2eadb…
06-24 15:07:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	600	80¢	$480	0x826ccc…
06-24 09:21:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xd084d3…
06-23 22:37:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7fa812…
06-23 22:37:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0xe6e287…
06-23 22:37:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	46	68¢	$31	0xaee6d9…
06-23 22:27:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	104	68¢	$71	0xaf9b84…
06-23 22:26:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	139	77¢	$106	0xe33a50…
06-23 22:24:23	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x945122…
06-23 22:24:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x91f4e9…
06-23 22:19:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x4fecfa…
06-23 22:18:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xec0afe…
06-23 21:15:41	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xd0eebe…
06-23 21:15:01	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xdc9c64…
06-23 16:23:53	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x975254…
06-18 03:35:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	88	77¢	$68	0xf20dda…
06-18 03:29:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x370ef5…
06-17 16:22:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	492	100¢	$492	0x686a07…
06-17 16:22:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xe1b2e9…
06-17 16:22:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	439	100¢	$439	0x1ee443…
06-17 16:22:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0x046ee9…
06-16 12:20:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x81302c…
06-16 12:15:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	342	59¢	$202	0x7bc854…
06-16 04:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0xc04a1a…
06-14 16:51:54	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	80¢	$152	0xfaa070…
06-14 16:05:57	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x01620f…
06-14 04:15:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x2b5530…
06-14 03:59:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0x3c3469…
06-14 03:59:03	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xa4d3b5…
06-14 01:39:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	95	62¢	$59	0x00d8e3…
06-14 01:03:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xdf78fa…
06-12 13:57:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	191	57¢	$109	0xf05e4c…
06-12 13:57:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfedf6a…
06-12 13:57:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	130	57¢	$74	0x08ec37…
06-12 13:57:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x74a9be…
06-12 13:57:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb4bc21…
06-12 13:57:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x2cbefa…
06-12 13:57:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x2a9e3a…
06-12 13:56:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x0ceff8…
06-12 13:55:18	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	444	97¢	$429	0x552ec2…
06-12 13:42:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xbf0fa5…
06-12 13:24:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x8cfba2…
06-12 05:26:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	77	64¢	$49	0xa1807b…
06-12 05:10:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x189ca9…
06-12 05:09:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xf782c3…
06-12 05:07:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x733d9c…
06-12 05:00:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	423	99¢	$417	0xb0429a…
06-11 23:29:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	35¢	$26	0x6359a3…
06-11 03:40:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xcfd491…
06-11 03:40:04	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x883020…
06-11 03:38:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	118	91¢	$107	0xac146e…
06-10 21:41:10	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	123	94¢	$115	0x15aef1…
06-10 21:41:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	195	87¢	$170	0x0c867e…
06-10 21:39:27	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	77	94¢	$72	0x9ea0ea…
06-10 03:06:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x6f6a69…
06-10 02:48:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xd3a773…
06-09 15:31:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xb47f2e…
06-09 15:29:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x87a660…
06-09 15:27:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x56e7ff…
06-09 15:17:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	130	91¢	$118	0x091160…
06-09 15:14:06	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	226	88¢	$200	0xe8abbb…