Realized P&L
+$440
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
214
Trades
583
lifetime
Volume
$83.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$3.69K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 11-02 15:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Politics
47% 62% +$1,584
Other
42% 54% -$1,653
Tech
4% 64% -$46
Sports
4% 57% -$91
Crypto
2% 100% +$647
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,000 $768 74¢ $745 -$23 11-02 15:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +999 $717 74¢ $744 +$27 11-02 15:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +700 $476 88¢ $612 +$136 08-30 19:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +467 $391 82¢ $385 -$6 08-02 03:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No -254 -$240 98¢ $-247 -$7 09-29 15:27
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $214 72¢ $218 +$4 11-02 15:31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +301 $216 72¢ $215 $0 11-02 15:32
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $168 62¢ $184 +$16 11-02 15:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +300 $210 62¢ $184 -$26 10-17 02:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +200 $146 60¢ $120 -$26 10-20 06:01
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +340 $50 6¢ $22 -$28 10-31 01:02
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +200 $56 6¢ $12 -$44 09-05 01:32