Sparse-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

381 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$33.5K

$181.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$476

Open exposure

$191

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 11-07 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

52% 41% -$3,365

Sports

48% 57% +$7,210

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes		+149	$100	66¢	$99	-$1	11-06 08:16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes		+185	$100	50¢	$92	-$8	11-06 08:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$26.3K	74,546	75,376	-830	No	+$4,316	07-16 09:23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$23.0K	55,374	43,519	+11,855	Yes	+$4,153	07-19 12:29
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$11.6K	133,230	133,230	+0	No	-$4,177	06-29 21:21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	2	$11.1K	12,171	0	+12,171	Yes	+$1,095	10-31 19:56
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	9	$8.5K	5,777	5,777	+0	Yes	+$682	04-04 21:08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$7.9K	17,030	17,030	+0	No	+$1,793	07-06 12:02
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	8	$7.8K	12,579	0	+12,579	Argentina	+$4,779	07-07 17:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	10	$6.9K	18,960	18,592	+368	No	-$5,049	04-29 14:42
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4.1K	83,379	83,379	+0	No	+$147	07-06 12:02
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$3.5K	4,481	4,481	+0	No	-$921	03-28 23:08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	3	$3.1K	3,855	0	+3,855	Yes	+$793	11-07 19:35
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	2	$3.0K	10,205	0	+10,205	No	-$2,998	04-08 19:48
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$2.9K	1,887	1,860	+27	Yes	+$885	04-08 20:57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	1	$2.3K	2,829	0	+2,829	Yes	+$509	11-01 09:39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	4	$2.2K	4,522	0	+4,522	Yes	+$2,322	11-03 20:45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	2	$2.2K	2,793	0	+2,793	Yes	+$593	11-07 14:27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	2	$2.2K	1,282	1,282	+0	Yes	+$179	11-04 20:27
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?	5	$2.0K	4,606	0	+4,606	No	-$2,032	06-14 12:47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	3	$2.0K	1,190	1,190	+0	Yes	-$18	11-03 20:46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	6	$2.0K	2,172	1,014	+1,157	Yes	+$437	06-24 23:33
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$1.9K	9,049	8,418	+630	No	+$10	05-31 20:07
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	3	$1.9K	3,054	0	+3,054	Yes	+$1,136	11-04 20:27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	6	$1.7K	1,696	1,696	+0	No	-$60	06-25 20:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	4,986	4,986	+0	open	—	11-01 01:15
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?	4	$1.6K	3,606	0	+3,606	No	-$1,615	06-10 14:12
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	12	$1.6K	7,245	7,245	+0	Jannik Sinner	-$144	04-29 15:57
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	4	$1.4K	840	840	+0	Yes	+$246	03-18 19:16
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$1.3K	1,017	1,017	+0	Yes	+$20	06-23 21:33
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09?	8	$1.3K	2,608	2,402	+206	No	+$207	06-09 20:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$1.2K	1,692	1,659	+33	No	-$526	04-12 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 19:35:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1,828	80¢	$1,462	0xa18a5e…
11-07 19:02:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1,899	79¢	$1,500	0xc1090e…
11-07 16:12:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	175	57¢	$100	0xf80bf0…
11-07 16:11:52	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	145	71¢	$103	0x27d441…
11-07 16:09:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5c131c…
11-07 14:27:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	2,527	79¢	$2,000	0xfba572…
11-07 14:25:49	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	723	2¢	$14	0x524761…
11-07 13:00:49	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0xcff489…
11-06 08:16:58	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x2f3d07…
11-06 08:16:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x268d6d…
11-06 08:15:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x7d1c45…
11-06 08:15:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x519c92…
11-06 08:15:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd4c5df…
11-06 08:14:31	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x0688e4…
11-06 08:14:07	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5a1d11…
11-04 20:27:58	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,645	71¢	$1,168	0xf31b3e…
11-04 20:27:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	1,282	92¢	$1,179	0xf7d115…
11-04 20:10:00	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0xaa1629…
11-04 07:31:28	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,200	50¢	$600	0x6ddaaa…
11-04 07:30:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x5ef087…
11-03 20:46:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	595	83¢	$494	0x3fdaeb…
11-03 20:45:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x5f3fd5…
11-03 20:41:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x120c52…
11-03 20:41:13	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	595	82¢	$488	0xe63844…
11-03 20:33:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,023	49¢	$500	0xbf0c35…
11-03 20:13:07	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0xfc560d…
11-03 20:10:51	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0xf9a511…
11-01 20:19:52	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	377	60¢	$227	0x9f10e4…
11-01 20:18:55	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	577	55¢	$315	0x71a63d…
11-01 20:09:34	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	1,035	12¢	$121	0x388ef9…
11-01 20:07:13	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	373	23¢	$86	0xffb3ad…
11-01 18:00:34	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x2b9495…
11-01 17:58:34	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	577	69¢	$398	0x0e4f10…
11-01 17:57:27	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	373	54¢	$200	0x32fece…
11-01 17:55:49	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1,035	36¢	$370	0x0f76ec…
11-01 17:48:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1,337	62¢	$829	0x71e24c…
11-01 17:43:04	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x65eceb…
11-01 09:39:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	2,829	82¢	$2,320	0x48b7f8…
11-01 01:15:12	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,986	3¢	$174	0xd253d4…
10-31 19:56:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1,289	91¢	$1,173	0x4b4c04…
10-31 19:53:55	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10,882	91¢	$9,903	0x30e437…
09-15 07:50:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,986	29¢	$1,460	0x4960d1…
09-13 12:20:30	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe4ccfc…
09-13 12:19:34	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x709f2b…
09-06 15:45:21	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	957	40¢	$383	0x3b8d26…
08-27 18:47:40	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	459	80¢	$368	0x6785b5…
08-27 18:46:52	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,667	16¢	$267	0xbadb94…
08-19 18:50:40	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xc690f5…
08-19 18:49:39	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	179	74¢	$133	0x24537d…
07-29 07:50:36	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	179	74¢	$133	0x8933a2…
07-29 07:49:59	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,667	12¢	$200	0x53762a…
07-28 15:51:16	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x0929b3…
07-19 12:29:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,570	59¢	$1,519	0xb6820a…
07-19 12:26:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,455	59¢	$1,451	0x00b6e9…
07-17 06:11:45	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x117f6e…
07-17 06:11:28	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x3bd55b…
07-17 06:10:48	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	SELL	952	42¢	$400	0x089d9a…
07-17 06:01:18	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,505	58¢	$1,463	0x8cf26c…
07-17 05:59:51	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,993	58¢	$3,500	0xbf8650…
07-16 20:19:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	426	58¢	$249	0xa82e5b…
07-16 14:53:38	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,185	58¢	$688	0x70160a…
07-16 09:36:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,034	58¢	$600	0x6eb7b3…
07-16 09:34:58	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x40f78c…
07-16 09:27:17	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x57a926…
07-16 09:26:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	862	58¢	$500	0xeeb5f2…
07-16 09:24:22	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb2f5f8…
07-16 09:23:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,330	42¢	$967	0x5636fa…
07-15 22:13:05	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,291	58¢	$748	0xc862fc…
07-15 22:08:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,330	42¢	$976	0xf0f7f3…
07-15 22:07:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,659	42¢	$1,952	0x4c072b…
07-15 08:11:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	499	20¢	$100	0xb727b9…
07-15 08:11:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x6c4ee0…
07-15 07:19:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	432	46¢	$200	0x419dd7…
07-15 07:19:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	630	32¢	$200	0x364ac7…
07-14 20:20:52	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x9f9649…
07-14 19:14:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	457	44¢	$200	0xfde631…
07-14 19:02:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	851	24¢	$200	0xcd6e62…
07-14 18:59:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	304	44¢	$135	0xbc2508…
07-14 17:35:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	231	26¢	$60	0x3d1cfd…
07-14 17:35:01	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x1c3acc…
07-14 17:34:52	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xb1b207…
07-14 17:34:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	441	23¢	$100	0xd709bd…
07-13 09:41:41	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9,318	17¢	$1,621	0x6d98d8…
07-13 09:41:20	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18,636	17¢	$3,243	0xd6868a…
07-13 09:41:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,500	21¢	$1,552	0xde321c…
07-13 08:45:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	37,273	17¢	$6,485	0x9ddd5c…
07-13 08:45:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,500	21¢	$1,552	0x11a764…
07-07 17:30:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,569	51¢	$800	0x0c1f8e…
07-07 17:24:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,818	55¢	$1,000	0x5cdb61…
07-07 17:12:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0x7ee0ad…
07-07 17:07:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,406	64¢	$900	0xe189cb…
07-07 17:07:02	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,719	64¢	$1,100	0xf3e905…
07-07 16:51:16	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0x9fb4cc…
07-07 16:40:11	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,493	67¢	$1,000	0x431e69…
07-07 16:38:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0xb91e0f…
07-06 15:59:55	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15,000	13¢	$1,885	0xeed76a…
07-06 12:02:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12,703	32¢	$4,092	0x40774d…
07-06 12:02:31	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	83,379	3¢	$2,148	0x9d1adc…
07-06 12:01:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3b3c0b…
06-29 21:22:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15,464	19¢	$3,000	0x311059…