Sparse-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.21K

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

139

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$192.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$453

Open exposure

$218

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 11-12 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

54% 41% -$1,997

Sports

46% 57% +$7,210

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Germany win on 2026-11-13?	Yes		+128	$100	99¢	$127	+$27	11-12 16:56
Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?	Yes		+161	$100	56¢	$91	-$9	11-12 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$26.3K	74,546	75,376	-830	No	+$4,316	07-16 09:23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$23.0K	55,374	43,519	+11,855	Yes	+$4,153	07-19 12:29
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$11.6K	133,230	133,230	+0	No	-$4,177	06-29 21:21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	2	$11.1K	12,171	0	+12,171	Yes	+$1,095	10-31 19:56
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	9	$8.5K	5,777	5,777	+0	Yes	+$682	04-04 21:08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$7.9K	17,030	17,030	+0	No	+$1,793	07-06 12:02
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	8	$7.8K	12,579	0	+12,579	Argentina	+$4,779	07-07 17:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	10	$6.9K	18,960	18,592	+368	No	-$5,049	04-29 14:42
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4.1K	83,379	83,379	+0	No	+$147	07-06 12:02
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	7	$3.6K	4,471	0	+4,471	Yes	+$857	11-08 17:56
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$3.5K	4,481	4,481	+0	No	-$921	03-28 23:08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	3	$3.1K	3,855	0	+3,855	Yes	+$793	11-07 19:35
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	2	$3.0K	10,205	0	+10,205	No	-$2,998	04-08 19:48
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$2.9K	1,887	1,860	+27	Yes	+$885	04-08 20:57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	11	$2.8K	4,345	1,604	+2,741	Yes	+$905	11-08 21:31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	1	$2.3K	2,829	0	+2,829	Yes	+$509	11-01 09:39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	4	$2.2K	4,522	0	+4,522	Yes	+$2,322	11-03 20:45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	2	$2.2K	2,793	0	+2,793	Yes	+$593	11-07 14:27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	2	$2.2K	1,282	1,282	+0	Yes	+$179	11-04 20:27
Will England win on 2026-11-12?	5	$2.2K	2,527	0	+2,527	Yes	+$354	11-12 21:16
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?	5	$2.0K	4,606	0	+4,606	No	-$2,032	06-14 12:47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	3	$2.0K	1,190	1,190	+0	Yes	-$18	11-03 20:46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	6	$2.0K	2,172	1,014	+1,157	Yes	+$437	06-24 23:33
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$1.9K	9,049	8,418	+630	No	+$10	05-31 20:07
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	3	$1.9K	3,054	0	+3,054	Yes	+$1,136	11-04 20:27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	6	$1.7K	1,696	1,696	+0	No	-$60	06-25 20:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	4,986	4,986	+0	open	—	11-01 01:15
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10?	4	$1.6K	3,606	0	+3,606	No	-$1,615	06-10 14:12
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	12	$1.6K	7,245	7,245	+0	Jannik Sinner	-$144	04-29 15:57
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	4	$1.4K	840	840	+0	Yes	+$246	03-18 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 21:16:04	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	1,998	87¢	$1,738	0x31f791…
11-12 21:12:18	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9418a1…
11-12 21:10:04	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	267	86¢	$230	0xc972a1…
11-12 21:09:09	Will France win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	SELL	121	83¢	$100	0x130827…
11-12 21:08:52	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	1,002	14¢	$143	0xa48376…
11-12 21:08:37	Will Spain win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	285	88¢	$250	0x3f198c…
11-12 21:08:19	Will Spain win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	247	88¢	$217	0xdb14c7…
11-12 21:08:03	Will Czechia win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	1,245	0¢	$5	0x5daeaa…
11-12 21:07:40	Will Czechia win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	3,850	1¢	$33	0x5202d2…
11-12 21:07:07	Will Czechia win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	5,096	2¢	$97	0xf8646c…
11-12 20:59:25	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xc565d7…
11-12 20:33:06	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x2b3cc1…
11-12 20:31:58	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6f3ee1…
11-12 19:08:12	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x5aa4b8…
11-12 19:07:54	Will Spain win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x0e62e1…
11-12 17:01:07	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x12a8d9…
11-12 16:57:01	Will France win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xcfe3f0…
11-12 16:56:55	Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x7b2a32…
11-12 16:56:24	Will Germany win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x10405a…
11-12 16:56:04	Will Spain win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x04746c…
11-12 16:55:58	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x2f6e39…
11-12 16:55:46	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xf843b9…
11-08 21:50:33	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xf5e858…
11-08 21:37:28	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x7ed08b…
11-08 21:31:52	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	811	74¢	$600	0xd6dd5f…
11-08 21:29:27	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xb98099…
11-08 21:29:13	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x1f559d…
11-08 21:19:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0xd673e9…
11-08 21:14:43	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x5053ad…
11-08 21:11:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	641	47¢	$300	0x213b6d…
11-08 20:29:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	1,604	29¢	$464	0xa1954d…
11-08 20:14:01	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xc4e719…
11-08 20:13:43	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xa7251b…
11-08 19:09:04	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xffe731…
11-08 17:56:10	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	1,837	98¢	$1,800	0x443fd7…
11-08 17:55:00	Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	769	1¢	$11	0x603d1a…
11-08 17:51:31	Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x1063f1…
11-08 16:53:39	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	120	69¢	$83	0x0c8e46…
11-08 15:39:57	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	704	70¢	$492	0x679727…
11-08 15:38:51	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	346	69¢	$239	0x7f8d49…
11-08 15:34:28	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	580	69¢	$400	0x84afe6…
11-08 14:06:28	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	735	68¢	$500	0x82d144…
11-08 09:29:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x523a0e…
11-07 19:35:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1,828	80¢	$1,462	0xa18a5e…
11-07 19:02:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1,899	79¢	$1,500	0xc1090e…
11-07 16:12:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	175	57¢	$100	0xf80bf0…
11-07 16:11:52	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	145	71¢	$103	0x27d441…
11-07 16:09:45	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5c131c…
11-07 14:27:06	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	2,527	79¢	$2,000	0xfba572…
11-07 14:25:49	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	723	2¢	$14	0x524761…
11-07 13:00:49	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0xcff489…
11-06 08:16:58	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x2f3d07…
11-06 08:16:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x268d6d…
11-06 08:15:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x7d1c45…
11-06 08:15:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x519c92…
11-06 08:15:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd4c5df…
11-06 08:14:31	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x0688e4…
11-06 08:14:07	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5a1d11…
11-04 20:27:58	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,645	71¢	$1,168	0xf31b3e…
11-04 20:27:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	1,282	92¢	$1,179	0xf7d115…
11-04 20:10:00	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0xaa1629…
11-04 07:31:28	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,200	50¢	$600	0x6ddaaa…
11-04 07:30:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x5ef087…
11-03 20:46:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	595	83¢	$494	0x3fdaeb…
11-03 20:45:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x5f3fd5…
11-03 20:41:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x120c52…
11-03 20:41:13	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	595	82¢	$488	0xe63844…
11-03 20:33:04	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,023	49¢	$500	0xbf0c35…
11-03 20:13:07	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0xfc560d…
11-03 20:10:51	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0xf9a511…
11-01 20:19:52	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	377	60¢	$227	0x9f10e4…
11-01 20:18:55	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	577	55¢	$315	0x71a63d…
11-01 20:09:34	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	1,035	12¢	$121	0x388ef9…
11-01 20:07:13	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	373	23¢	$86	0xffb3ad…
11-01 18:00:34	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x2b9495…
11-01 17:58:34	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	577	69¢	$398	0x0e4f10…
11-01 17:57:27	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	373	54¢	$200	0x32fece…
11-01 17:55:49	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1,035	36¢	$370	0x0f76ec…
11-01 17:48:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1,337	62¢	$829	0x71e24c…
11-01 17:43:04	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x65eceb…
11-01 09:39:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	2,829	82¢	$2,320	0x48b7f8…
11-01 01:15:12	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,986	3¢	$174	0xd253d4…
10-31 19:56:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1,289	91¢	$1,173	0x4b4c04…
10-31 19:53:55	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10,882	91¢	$9,903	0x30e437…
09-15 07:50:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,986	29¢	$1,460	0x4960d1…
09-13 12:20:30	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe4ccfc…
09-13 12:19:34	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x709f2b…
09-06 15:45:21	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	957	40¢	$383	0x3b8d26…
08-27 18:47:40	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	459	80¢	$368	0x6785b5…
08-27 18:46:52	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,667	16¢	$267	0xbadb94…
08-19 18:50:40	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xc690f5…
08-19 18:49:39	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	179	74¢	$133	0x24537d…
07-29 07:50:36	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	179	74¢	$133	0x8933a2…
07-29 07:49:59	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,667	12¢	$200	0x53762a…
07-28 15:51:16	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x0929b3…
07-19 12:29:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,570	59¢	$1,519	0xb6820a…
07-19 12:26:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,455	59¢	$1,451	0x00b6e9…
07-17 06:11:45	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x117f6e…
07-17 06:11:28	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x3bd55b…
07-17 06:10:48	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	SELL	952	42¢	$400	0x089d9a…