Realized P&L
+$3.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
90.7%
Resolved
903
Trades
2,097
lifetime
Volume
$766.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$365
Open exposure
$1.01K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Other
64% 84% +$1,691
Politics
17% 82% +$716
Crypto
16% 90% +$33
Tech
1% 95% +$372
Sports
1% 45% +$312
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$39
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -376 -$321 84¢ $-317 +$3 07-31 21:19
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +600 $201 44¢ $261 +$60 10-24 16:50
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -222 -$204 96¢ $-214 -$10 05-23 12:58
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +600 $114 10¢ $57 -$57 10-24 16:51
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -33 -$30 92¢ $-30 -$1 05-23 16:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -26 -$22 97¢ $-25 -$3 05-25 00:40
US recession by end of 2026? No -26 -$20 92¢ $-24 -$4 05-24 18:36
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No — -20 -$20 100¢ $-20 $0 06-13 07:31
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No -20 -$20 97¢ $-20 +$0 06-13 07:27
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 97¢ $-10 $0 05-23 16:25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -204 -$25 4¢ $-8 +$17 08-30 12:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 05-23 16:25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 09-03 09:05
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -24 -$5 16¢ $-4 +$1 05-23 16:24
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -200 -$16 2¢ $-3 +$13 08-30 12:33
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No -5 -$3 48¢ $-3 $0 05-24 18:36
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -11 -$8 12¢ $-1 +$6 05-23 16:24