Realized P&L
+$485
Unrealized P&L
-$81
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
173
Trades
368
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$510
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-25 11:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
53% 80% +$108
Politics
35% 77% +$373
Sports
6% 90% +$30
Crypto
6% 89% -$26
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +230 $90 72¢ $166 +$76 09-15 22:22
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +130 $129 100¢ $130 +$0 10-25 11:16
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +80 $66 91¢ $73 +$7 09-15 15:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +900 $204 6¢ $50 -$154 09-20 20:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +50 $48 99¢ $49 +$1 04-29 10:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +50 $18 46¢ $23 +$4 07-10 09:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 09-14 09:44
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +760 $10 1¢ $4 -$6 05-23 22:05
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -530 -$4 1¢ $-4 $0 08-21 22:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +57 $11 5¢ $3 -$8 05-09 20:27