Tasty-Naturalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$533

Unrealized P&L

+$83

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$413

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-14 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

52% 40% +$1,650

Other

47% 26% -$2,186

Tech

0% 50% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-1,692	-$334	20¢	$-330	+$4	05-29 17:12
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-2,628	-$154	3¢	$-79	+$75	06-14 14:20
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-143	-$9	3¢	$-4	+$5	05-16 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$3.2K	2,917	2,917	+0	No	+$1,438	04-26 15:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$1.5K	2,300	3,992	-1,692	open	—	05-29 17:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	17	$921	4,588	4,588	+0	No	-$571	05-10 05:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$756	7,601	7,601	+0	No	-$564	05-25 12:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	15	$735	2,796	0	+2,796	No	-$735	06-01 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$637	384	384	+0	No	+$105	04-23 16:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$440	400	400	+0	No	+$56	05-11 17:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$417	891	337	+554	No	+$759	04-25 04:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	5	$393	14,844	0	+14,844	No	-$393	05-16 18:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$362	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$50	05-07 19:39
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	9	$340	402	402	+0	Yes	+$233	05-31 23:26
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$293	1,040	3,668	-2,628	open	—	06-14 14:20
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	11	$279	2,257	2,400	-143	open	—	05-16 18:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$262	196	196	+0	No	+$14	05-09 08:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$203	167	167	+0	No	+$13	05-19 19:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$195	1,436	1,436	+0	open	—	05-16 13:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$191	4,600	0	+4,600	No	-$191	06-07 17:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	3	$150	500	500	+0	Yes	+$40	05-26 19:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	5	$141	5,975	0	+5,975	No	-$141	05-18 12:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$140	0	500	-500	No	+$140	05-07 07:00
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	13	$140	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-24 18:10
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$132	3,762	3,762	+0	open	—	05-11 17:45
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$126	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	05-13 13:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$118	1,209	1,209	+0	No	-$54	04-26 06:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	1	$100	500	0	+500	No	-$100	05-13 15:46
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$100	588	0	+588	Yes	-$100	04-16 11:53
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$97	83	83	+0	No	+$1	03-22 12:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	4	$84	444	444	+0	No	-$4	05-10 18:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$84	760	0	+760	No	-$84	05-21 13:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$82	6,467	0	+6,467	No	-$82	05-18 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 14:21:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	Yes	BUY	483	13¢	$63	0xc18c01…
06-14 14:20:54	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,040	6¢	$68	0x486042…
06-12 07:48:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	130	16¢	$21	0xbcb9d8…
06-08 07:02:13	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,040	7¢	$70	0xfb9e45…
06-07 17:24:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	84	31¢	$26	0x69a22b…
06-07 17:23:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,600	3¢	$101	0xd92a1e…
06-01 16:59:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	257	31¢	$80	0x392775…
05-31 23:26:16	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	103	78¢	$80	0x909f33…
05-30 21:25:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	280	19¢	$53	0x54b4c3…
05-30 19:45:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x34ec02…
05-30 05:08:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	81	20¢	$16	0xe67329…
05-29 23:48:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xe9ebbf…
05-29 20:24:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	900	20¢	$180	0x10451a…
05-29 19:06:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x4e9080…
05-29 17:12:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,600	17¢	$272	0x884b7f…
05-28 07:37:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	91	31¢	$28	0x33053a…
05-28 07:36:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x4066f6…
05-26 20:04:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0xbde0dc…
05-26 19:14:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	SELL	408	19¢	$77	0x7e3983…
05-26 18:23:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	SELL	92	19¢	$18	0x7c7364…
05-25 15:18:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x4d8635…
05-25 15:17:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x0c1403…
05-25 15:12:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x9535b6…
05-25 12:24:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7,601	1¢	$96	0xef2d6d…
05-25 12:21:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x27da2e…
05-25 11:18:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x759319…
05-25 11:00:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xf04ced…
05-25 10:22:49	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xc4f9be…
05-25 10:16:10	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x5e9bd8…
05-25 10:10:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	193	33¢	$64	0x5ee60b…
05-25 09:59:22	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0xd3dc73…
05-25 08:18:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x586ba1…
05-25 08:08:11	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	36	69¢	$25	0xb0e357…
05-25 08:04:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x001d06…
05-25 06:36:05	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x389c9c…
05-24 18:27:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	647	34¢	$220	0x344602…
05-24 18:10:38	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x0918de…
05-24 18:10:30	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,628	6¢	$156	0xde1c2a…
05-21 13:37:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	760	11¢	$84	0x48b080…
05-20 14:27:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x6d1176…
05-20 13:31:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	351	1¢	$5	0xa9b75c…
05-20 06:26:59	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	309	6¢	$19	0x7a532f…
05-19 19:00:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	167	65¢	$108	0x6f3f72…
05-19 15:00:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	28¢	$84	0x52c8e2…
05-19 13:46:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x75827f…
05-18 13:48:11	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0xbc4b7f…
05-18 12:45:18	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,258	2¢	$54	0xe52347…
05-18 07:55:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,521	1¢	$30	0x098390…
05-18 06:56:46	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	566	1¢	$4	0x99213a…
05-18 05:04:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	931	3¢	$24	0xbd196c…
05-16 18:51:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	464	2¢	$9	0xd1c237…
05-16 18:49:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	865	0¢	$3	0x4bd7ea…
05-16 18:45:43	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,400	6¢	$144	0x7cb711…
05-16 13:40:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,485	2¢	$26	0xcae6d9…
05-16 13:39:36	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	960	2¢	$22	0x996665…
05-16 13:39:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,436	6¢	$92	0x2391b5…
05-16 10:16:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$86	0x8f0ec8…
05-15 13:45:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	167	57¢	$95	0xda8531…
05-15 09:03:07	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	6¢	$21	0x9c4540…
05-15 09:02:58	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0xe2a6a1…
05-15 08:38:20	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0xd59a9f…
05-15 08:34:13	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x9db344…
05-15 08:34:13	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x3b7677…
05-15 08:34:13	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x345757…
05-15 08:34:13	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x31737f…
05-15 08:34:13	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0x2d59e9…
05-15 07:51:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0xc19d46…
05-15 06:39:42	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	6¢	$16	0x616e1a…
05-15 05:44:52	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x3b0b24…
05-15 05:32:06	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x600f41…
05-15 05:31:22	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x03cb53…
05-14 05:37:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,436	7¢	$103	0x324c37…
05-14 04:41:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,092	27¢	$565	0xd3c090…
05-13 16:26:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,946	1¢	$51	0x6983e1…
05-13 15:46:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x94954c…
05-13 13:56:28	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,100	3¢	$63	0xacfabe…
05-12 18:52:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0x231e21…
05-12 18:42:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	128	6¢	$7	0x3511a2…
05-12 18:38:14	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	209	3¢	$6	0x37a85c…
05-12 03:57:49	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,100	3¢	$63	0x1512cd…
05-11 19:00:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$12	0xd3a01f…
05-11 18:28:20	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	357	5¢	$17	0x640c92…
05-11 18:06:29	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	243	7¢	$17	0xfabce4…
05-11 17:45:19	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,762	2¢	$64	0x5c92b8…
05-11 17:44:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	400	62¢	$248	0x9be038…
05-11 13:56:28	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xc8bba7…
05-11 12:26:59	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,200	1¢	$11	0x4acda0…
05-11 11:15:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,027	6¢	$59	0xc04059…
05-10 19:27:10	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,762	2¢	$68	0xc05573…
05-10 18:06:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	444	9¢	$40	0xb61fc5…
05-10 05:29:41	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x7acaa5…
05-10 05:22:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4,588	4¢	$175	0xafd67e…
05-09 14:43:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	321	48¢	$154	0x4b6098…
05-09 12:57:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xd9a9bf…
05-09 12:52:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	79	48¢	$38	0xdc11ca…
05-09 12:41:16	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	834	2¢	$19	0x0ca9f0…
05-09 08:50:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	196	70¢	$138	0x268a42…
05-08 23:12:01	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	346	6¢	$21	0xb22c4a…
05-08 15:11:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xba214d…
05-08 14:25:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc5c118…