Beneficial-Jailhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$628

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-01 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$9

Politics

22% 100% +$2

Crypto

8% 100% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+639	$627	98¢	$628	+$1	11-01 12:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$1.2K	640	640	+0	open	—	11-01 04:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	637	637	+0	open	—	10-13 14:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$627	639	0	+639	open	—	11-01 12:34
Trump out as President by September 30?	2	$265	133	133	+0	No	+$1	09-22 04:04
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	2	$258	137	137	+0	open	—	09-11 13:37
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	3	$251	127	127	+0	No	+$2	08-18 17:30
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	8	$243	122	122	+0	No	+$0	06-24 16:54
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$242	123	123	+0	No	+$0	05-18 11:51
will nflx reach 455 in march	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	+$1	03-25 03:27
will nflx reach 368 in march	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	+$0	03-26 04:24
trump out as president by march 31	3	$235	121	121	+0	No	+$0	02-09 02:23
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 700 719	2	$234	117	117	+0	No	+$0	01-30 00:44
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$132	133	0	+133	No	+$1	09-23 00:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	09-15 12:16
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	07-12 07:38
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$123	125	0	+125	No	+$2	07-05 12:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	05-27 07:57
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 18?	1	$121	121	0	+121	Yes	+$0	05-18 11:52
will solana dip to 60 april 13 19	2	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	04-18 11:16
will xrp dip to 0pt7 march 9 15	1	$118	118	0	+118	No	+$0	03-11 04:47
pltr above 130 on march 6 2026	3	$117	118	0	+118	Yes	+$1	03-06 14:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$117	117	0	+117	No	+$0	01-31 12:22
nflx above 30 on february 13 2026	4	$117	117	0	+117	Yes	+$0	02-13 10:29
will msft dip to 338 in january	1	$117	117	0	+117	No	+$0	01-30 00:49
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 640 659	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	01-21 07:15
nflx above 50 on january 9 2026	1	$116	116	0	+116	Yes	+$0	01-08 08:41
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	01-14 03:24
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	2	$114	116	0	+116	No	+$2	01-05 08:21
msft above 480 on march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 01:10
will hood dip to 50 in june 2026	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	06-25 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:34:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	639	98¢	$627	0xe36ab1…
11-01 04:43:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	640	98¢	$627	0xacce66…
10-19 11:12:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	640	97¢	$623	0xec5fef…
10-13 14:17:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	637	98¢	$622	0x94229b…
10-07 12:33:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	637	97¢	$618	0x08d024…
09-23 00:11:50	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x6da416…
09-22 04:04:07	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x1da3dd…
09-17 12:55:04	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xc67ec2…
09-15 12:16:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x18cd0e…
09-11 13:37:15	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	SELL	137	96¢	$132	0x8e3371…
08-27 01:52:03	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	137	92¢	$127	0x57d622…
08-18 17:30:22	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0x34d4aa…
07-24 16:36:21	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x015ce8…
07-24 15:53:36	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0xa47703…
07-12 07:38:07	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfc5dd0…
07-05 12:50:50	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0x8cc3b0…
06-25 12:59:59	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x175b09…
06-25 12:59:41	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x276ee6…
06-25 12:58:53	will hood dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa35d70…
06-24 16:54:04	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x87ec10…
06-24 16:51:44	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xe90232…
06-24 16:50:29	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xaae415…
06-24 16:45:43	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0e92c2…
06-24 16:42:11	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd9bbb2…
06-24 16:28:44	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0300b1…
06-11 07:11:19	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x4aaafc…
06-11 07:09:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x3669b1…
06-05 13:36:19	will hood reach 110 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf0f757…
06-05 13:35:40	aapl above 345 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xa9d8d2…
05-27 07:57:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x431d49…
05-18 11:52:25	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xcaa229…
05-18 11:51:36	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	123	98¢	$121	0xe5049b…
05-06 14:49:11	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x14228d…
04-18 11:16:56	will solana dip to 60 april 13 19	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1fe553…
04-18 11:16:40	will solana dip to 60 april 13 19	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x5a61e0…
03-28 01:17:23	msft above 465 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc766b6…
03-28 01:10:47	msft above 480 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd001cc…
03-26 04:24:31	will nflx reach 368 in march	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x893efd…
03-25 06:01:11	will nflx reach 368 in march	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x6dfcfa…
03-25 03:27:15	will nflx reach 455 in march	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xa3f16b…
03-17 06:14:25	will nflx reach 455 in march	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x439684…
03-11 04:47:39	will xrp dip to 0pt7 march 9 15	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x9856cb…
03-06 14:36:19	pltr above 130 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6c11b9…
03-06 10:40:41	pltr above 130 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x2463bd…
03-06 10:40:25	pltr above 130 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x863b04…
02-14 08:41:59	will nflx reach 228 in february	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x006c5b…
02-14 08:41:31	will nflx reach 175 in february	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb9e376…
02-13 10:29:13	nflx above 30 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x8868b1…
02-11 21:35:21	nflx above 30 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x284cdf…
02-11 07:08:41	nflx above 30 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5cf9a2…
02-10 04:06:01	nflx above 30 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb5959f…
02-09 02:23:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	121	97¢	$117	0xb33fac…
02-04 10:51:22	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0xa17800…
02-04 10:50:20	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf742f3…
01-31 12:22:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x174c21…
01-30 00:49:12	will msft dip to 338 in january	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x7f88dd…
01-30 00:44:10	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 700 719	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x893ad6…
01-25 08:47:12	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 700 719	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf7501b…
01-21 07:15:02	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 640 659	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x263935…
01-14 03:24:32	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xff2566…
01-08 08:41:59	nflx above 50 on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x9d51d5…
01-05 08:21:19	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe7003a…
01-05 07:01:05	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0xbd4ad8…