Trustworthy-Champagne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.49K

Unrealized P&L

-$365

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$226.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$467

Open exposure

$635

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-20 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 0% $-2,491

Other

22% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes		+3,846	$1,000	16¢	$635	$-365	05-31 17:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	50	$62.0K	61,579	85,368	-23,789	open	—	06-15 06:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	12	$26.8K	123,045	43,018	+80,028	open	—	05-17 15:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	10	$21.3K	17,469	17,469	+0	open	—	04-21 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$10.5K	188,596	101,260	+87,336	open	—	05-27 12:25
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$10.2K	30,856	13,594	+17,262	open	—	05-25 17:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	123	$8.4K	34,322	34,322	+0	open	—	05-20 08:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	23	$8.3K	7,545	7,545	+0	open	—	06-19 13:02
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$6.3K	5,405	5,405	+0	open	—	04-21 20:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	17	$5.0K	73,678	46,277	+27,401	open	—	05-29 14:59
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	18	$4.6K	146,553	2,476	+144,077	open	—	05-15 18:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	20	$4.3K	43,990	0	+43,990	open	—	06-04 19:22
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	5	$3.4K	4,965	4,965	+0	open	—	05-15 18:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	12	$3.4K	20,190	20,190	+0	open	—	05-24 14:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$3.0K	7,293	0	+7,293	open	—	06-14 22:08
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	6	$2.9K	20,699	0	+20,699	open	—	07-20 19:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	4	$2.4K	26,388	26,388	+0	open	—	05-18 11:46
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	2	$2.1K	15,715	0	+15,715	open	—	06-18 06:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$2.1K	10,527	20,527	-10,000	open	—	06-11 15:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	5	$2.0K	20,475	20,475	+0	open	—	05-23 00:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$2.0K	12,006	0	+12,006	open	—	05-25 21:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2.0K	39,161	0	+39,161	open	—	05-19 10:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$1.8K	9,128	9,128	+0	open	—	05-25 21:44
iran closes its airspace by june 15	3	$1.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-07 19:11
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	2	$1.7K	1,684	1,684	+0	open	—	07-20 10:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$1.7K	9,766	0	+9,766	No	$-1,700	05-06 09:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.7K	11,791	0	+11,791	open	—	05-20 14:45
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$1.6K	11,106	0	+11,106	open	—	05-21 12:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$1.5K	40,074	0	+40,074	open	—	05-14 14:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$1.4K	11,603	11,603	+0	open	—	05-24 14:27
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	2	$1.3K	2,219	2,219	+0	open	—	05-15 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 19:07:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xe3c579…
07-20 19:06:37	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	3,309	15¢	$500	0x0c883f…
07-20 17:20:07	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	4,990	4¢	$200	0x19dcf9…
07-20 14:30:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	5,000	10¢	$500	0xafe9c4…
07-20 13:23:00	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	4,327	5¢	$216	0x17b7ce…
07-20 13:19:42	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	5,263	5¢	$263	0x606f77…
07-20 12:49:21	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xe1fbbc…
07-20 12:43:13	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6dec42…
07-20 12:43:07	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdbd1be…
07-20 11:36:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	3,750	15¢	$562	0x44b425…
07-20 11:34:15	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x72e4e9…
07-20 11:34:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x29e03d…
07-20 11:33:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x62ddc4…
07-20 11:33:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x3bec62…
07-20 11:33:01	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x37b84c…
07-20 11:33:01	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x20a0a5…
07-20 11:32:57	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0c5c9c…
07-20 11:32:55	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x08afd4…
07-20 10:33:36	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	4,628	10¢	$463	0xaaaa2f…
07-20 10:23:33	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	4,315	7¢	$300	0x9037da…
07-20 10:23:24	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	3,152	10¢	$300	0x08c545…
07-20 10:16:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe47059…
07-20 10:15:48	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x3368fb…
07-20 10:15:28	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x0183a8…
07-20 10:13:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x95f9f1…
07-20 10:12:15	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	90	15¢	$14	0xa12e88…
07-20 10:10:48	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	1,684	42¢	$712	0xd8c54f…
07-20 10:04:33	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe9b16b…
07-20 09:56:00	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	352	10¢	$35	0x6bf5ad…
07-20 09:48:18	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,918	5¢	$100	0xab163d…
07-20 09:46:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	6,532	15¢	$1,000	0xb3ceb4…
07-20 09:45:06	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	6,700	6¢	$400	0xa0b7fd…
07-20 09:42:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	2,070	14¢	$300	0xdde475…
07-19 22:46:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	3,138	16¢	$500	0x9cec7a…
07-19 18:21:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	3,126	16¢	$500	0xd9f0bf…
07-19 12:29:06	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	T1	BUY	252	6¢	$15	0xd6c494…
07-19 11:13:00	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	T1	BUY	1,087	23¢	$250	0x7fb66a…
07-19 10:32:39	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	T1	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0x29ada9…
07-19 10:31:01	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	T1	BUY	94	41¢	$38	0xd5cda6…
07-19 10:21:54	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	T1	BUY	257	33¢	$85	0x649379…
07-18 18:19:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	1,684	59¢	$1,000	0x5a1555…
07-18 17:46:03	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	2,439	4¢	$100	0xdc1fc3…
07-18 17:29:30	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	11,113	4¢	$400	0xef1269…
06-21 07:08:37	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	22,124	2¢	$500	0x4ffcd2…
06-19 13:12:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x2855a9…
06-19 13:02:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,742	23¢	$643	0x155356…
06-19 13:02:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	3,678	52¢	$1,900	0x7850ce…
06-19 13:01:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0x01b77f…
06-19 13:01:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	86	67¢	$57	0xb10046…
06-19 12:16:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	167	88¢	$147	0x9a9ea1…
06-19 12:09:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	441	88¢	$388	0xd3865e…
06-19 12:09:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	104	88¢	$91	0x2b7511…
06-19 12:05:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	144	88¢	$127	0x57acba…
06-19 12:02:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	1,501	88¢	$1,321	0x697078…
06-19 11:49:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xffbe76…
06-19 11:48:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	189	88¢	$166	0x253f24…
06-19 11:43:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	151	88¢	$133	0x992c85…
06-19 11:42:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	134	88¢	$118	0xffd29e…
06-19 11:38:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x29b88e…
06-19 11:38:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x26802d…
06-19 11:38:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	654	88¢	$576	0xc1c4c4…
06-19 11:36:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0xfd869e…
06-19 11:22:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x18611b…
06-19 11:22:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xede8ea…
06-18 18:34:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	2,678	33¢	$884	0xb90482…
06-18 18:22:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x967eab…
06-18 18:21:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	283	33¢	$93	0x16ecdb…
06-18 17:53:05	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	10,028	5¢	$505	0x83a473…
06-18 17:49:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	2,191	46¢	$1,000	0xa50998…
06-18 17:45:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	2,354	42¢	$1,000	0xa5ad34…
06-18 17:44:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,742	18¢	$500	0xd7b092…
06-18 06:44:34	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	10,189	11¢	$1,100	0x9d0af8…
06-15 07:21:25	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	5,526	18¢	$1,000	0xcb11d9…
06-15 06:58:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	3,124	1¢	$24	0xad2399…
06-14 22:08:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3,867	26¢	$1,000	0xe2c7cc…
06-14 20:03:18	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	6,913	5¢	$361	0x08ce73…
06-11 20:39:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3,426	58¢	$2,000	0x1443e8…
06-11 15:08:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20,527	7¢	$1,459	0x751a02…
06-08 10:14:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	12,198	43¢	$5,233	0x537d96…
06-08 10:07:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x41e3e1…
06-08 10:07:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x5ffbc6…
06-08 10:02:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xd245ed…
06-08 09:58:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	20,000	52¢	$10,420	0x9e7b0a…
06-07 21:05:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	215	94¢	$201	0x403f8e…
06-07 20:33:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	4,633	27¢	$1,266	0x0f3332…
06-07 19:46:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3,539	57¢	$2,000	0x24ed77…
06-07 19:23:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,939	70¢	$1,357	0xf9bca9…
06-07 19:23:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xb48449…
06-07 19:22:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	2,085	70¢	$1,460	0xd7e995…
06-07 19:21:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xcf9f9d…
06-07 19:21:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	115	70¢	$80	0x70040f…
06-07 19:21:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	333	70¢	$233	0x691d03…
06-07 19:21:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	480	70¢	$336	0x9b2636…
06-07 19:21:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x053022…
06-07 19:20:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	4,869	70¢	$3,408	0x6e9689…
06-07 19:20:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	85	70¢	$59	0x3e5d47…
06-07 19:20:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	47	70¢	$33	0xbca686…
06-07 19:16:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	14,052	71¢	$10,000	0x50617d…
06-07 19:12:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	10,020	52¢	$5,210	0x210298…
06-07 19:11:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	3,000	50¢	$1,501	0x9fd70e…