Realized P&L (30d)
+$4.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.47K
Hit rate
90.3%
Resolved (30d)
15
Trades (30d)
277
828 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$13.9K
$258.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$312
Open exposure
$693
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 11-08 13:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
76% 28% +$9,481
Other
23% 13% -$27,796
Sports
1% 20% -$264
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +12,500 $1,000 2¢ $300 -$700 11-02 08:41
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +10,636 $544 2¢ $250 -$294 11-03 22:38
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6,554 $157 2¢ $138 -$19 11-08 13:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? Yes +49 $2 11¢ $6 +$3 10-27 14:21
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +0 $462 6¢ $0 -$462 08-01 18:57