Sizzling-Hovercraft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

-$32

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

434

lifetime

Volume

$38.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$326

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-12 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% 67% +$1,329

Other

27% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+200	$168	84¢	$167	$-1	05-31 12:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	+250	$135	36¢	$91	$-44	06-04 20:29
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+500	$55	14¢	$68	+$12	05-29 14:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$2.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-12 03:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	11	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-07 07:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$1.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-17 15:17
us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	1	$1.7K	0	1,717	-1,717	open	—	01-03 06:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$1.6K	1,853	0	+1,853	open	—	02-06 12:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.5K	2,564	2,920	-356	open	—	05-26 18:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$484	05-04 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$1.5K	1,500	500	+1,000	open	—	05-09 12:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	22	$1.5K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	open	—	04-16 06:50
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	01-05 06:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	22	$1.4K	1,844	599	+1,245	open	—	06-12 19:56
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-18 14:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$1.2K	1,372	0	+1,372	open	—	04-09 19:18
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$957	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	03-23 11:23
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$895	500	500	+0	open	—	05-09 13:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	20	$880	500	500	+0	open	—	05-10 18:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$830	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-06 09:31
Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?	5	$762	876	0	+876	open	—	01-13 06:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$760	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-21 03:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$740	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-23 03:23
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$722	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-24 02:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$652	750	0	+750	open	—	05-20 05:59
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$644	1,263	763	+500	open	—	04-01 17:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$602	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	03-23 11:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	16	$583	1,040	0	+1,040	open	—	05-28 03:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$571	684	0	+684	open	—	01-23 09:55
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	4	$550	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-27 07:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$524	1,223	0	+1,223	open	—	03-23 11:26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$504	700	0	+700	open	—	02-06 08:58
us forces enter iran by march 7	13	$490	3,001	0	+3,001	open	—	03-05 11:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:56:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x219b29…
06-12 19:54:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x670898…
06-12 19:54:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x35a351…
06-12 19:54:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	143	76¢	$109	0xa2b784…
06-12 19:54:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	201	76¢	$153	0x9320ef…
06-12 18:58:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0xbd5b7f…
06-12 18:46:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x94968c…
06-12 04:45:03	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xdff6db…
06-11 18:46:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xff4258…
06-09 07:00:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0xd6b30a…
06-09 07:00:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0xb4b3b6…
06-09 06:56:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0xed2681…
06-09 06:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0xda0efd…
06-09 06:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	63	57¢	$36	0xaa3cec…
06-09 06:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0x6971d4…
06-09 06:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0x578586…
06-09 06:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	68	57¢	$39	0x328008…
06-09 06:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0x2d48aa…
06-08 05:43:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	115	39¢	$45	0x928903…
06-08 05:43:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	390	39¢	$152	0x5b09eb…
06-08 04:35:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xe233a4…
06-08 04:34:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	153	39¢	$59	0x8545bc…
06-06 06:39:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	672	58¢	$390	0x92bc3f…
06-04 22:59:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x65c313…
06-04 22:14:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x3bab35…
06-04 22:13:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x95fcb4…
06-04 22:11:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x40c379…
06-04 21:48:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x412b5c…
06-04 21:31:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	210	75¢	$158	0x7b0a16…
06-04 21:04:55	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x9f1c33…
06-04 20:49:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0x00287c…
06-04 20:29:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x153ec3…
06-04 20:27:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	217	54¢	$117	0x10d661…
06-04 20:27:03	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x9876fa…
06-04 19:33:55	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x00edb7…
06-04 19:04:07	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x465c71…
06-04 05:06:36	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2a5a0a…
06-04 04:55:39	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb5824d…
06-04 04:28:54	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa70d45…
06-04 04:23:30	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3cb7f5…
06-04 04:07:58	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x5c5129…
06-04 04:07:58	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2617e6…
06-04 04:06:45	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd25385…
06-04 04:02:06	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb8499e…
06-04 03:57:03	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1b2ca0…
06-04 03:55:42	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xd0ea02…
06-03 17:39:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	174	86¢	$149	0xbe8c74…
06-03 03:42:58	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0xc1c0bb…
05-31 12:35:09	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xcd4bec…
05-29 14:07:20	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	497	11¢	$55	0x645c04…
05-29 11:15:28	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xf092f5…
05-28 03:52:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x8e2d16…
05-28 03:51:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf411fc…
05-28 03:51:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x97da54…
05-26 18:52:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	295	26¢	$77	0x548cd2…
05-26 18:51:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x078f09…
05-26 18:51:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	26¢	$21	0x0448c6…
05-26 18:50:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x50573b…
05-26 18:34:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,612	26¢	$419	0x5fc7d7…
05-26 17:12:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0x95fd7c…
05-26 13:15:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x1bf099…
05-26 12:50:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xbc10a5…
05-25 19:09:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	36¢	$151	0xbb2965…
05-24 14:20:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x3e4f8b…
05-24 10:24:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x086b42…
05-24 04:50:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x6f22cc…
05-23 03:23:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0xfc0867…
05-20 05:59:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	750	87¢	$652	0x746509…
05-14 14:45:36	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	28¢	$196	0xb39896…
05-10 18:00:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	500	89¢	$445	0xcdc7f4…
05-09 19:12:31	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x5dfae9…
05-09 13:40:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0x3c96d5…
05-09 12:42:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	500	77¢	$385	0xb76a20…
05-09 11:44:27	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xd6d0a7…
05-09 11:42:30	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xc43ba9…
05-07 07:44:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$454	0xaa976b…
05-06 11:36:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0x4780bc…
05-06 08:51:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	721	78¢	$562	0x12d7da…
05-06 07:47:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	911	17¢	$155	0x1ada86…
05-06 07:44:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x2e84fc…
05-06 07:42:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xb157c2…
05-06 07:41:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0xc79178…
05-04 16:23:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	127	57¢	$72	0x8ccc1b…
05-04 16:23:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeeae19…
05-04 16:23:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0x1101b5…
05-04 16:12:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	113	65¢	$74	0x2ad896…
05-04 16:01:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x514c4c…
05-04 15:37:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0xaab254…
05-04 15:02:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x9effb0…
05-04 13:32:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	355	50¢	$177	0x8181c3…
05-04 13:31:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa01ae6…
05-04 13:30:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xb208ab…
05-04 13:29:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x976cdd…
05-04 13:29:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x85f2a3…
05-04 13:28:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4b6b3b…
05-04 13:16:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xdd6da2…
05-04 13:13:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x81cfac…
05-04 13:12:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb8bfc4…
05-04 13:12:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfcc158…
05-04 13:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	270	78¢	$210	0xbcf659…