Sizzling-Hovercraft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

530

lifetime

Volume

$50.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-24 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 67% +$1,329

Other

34% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$3.2K	4,331	2,286	+2,045	open	—	06-15 10:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$2.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-12 03:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	11	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-07 07:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$1.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-17 15:17
starmer out by july 31 2026	3	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-19 18:30
us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	1	$1.7K	0	1,717	-1,717	open	—	01-03 06:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$1.6K	1,853	0	+1,853	open	—	02-06 12:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.5K	2,564	2,920	-356	open	—	05-26 18:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$484	05-04 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$1.5K	1,500	500	+1,000	open	—	05-09 12:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	22	$1.5K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	open	—	04-16 06:50
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	01-05 06:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	23	$1.4K	1,844	672	+1,172	open	—	06-13 08:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-18 14:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	12	$1.2K	1,372	0	+1,372	open	—	04-09 19:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	14	$1.2K	1,584	0	+1,584	open	—	06-26 17:00
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$957	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	03-23 11:23
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$895	500	500	+0	open	—	05-09 13:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	20	$880	500	500	+0	open	—	05-10 18:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$830	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-06 09:31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	14	$822	2,004	0	+2,004	open	—	07-23 11:02
Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?	5	$762	876	0	+876	open	—	01-13 06:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$760	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-21 03:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$740	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-23 03:23
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$722	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-24 02:41
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$690	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-27 01:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$652	750	0	+750	open	—	05-20 05:59
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	4	$644	1,263	763	+500	open	—	04-01 17:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$602	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	03-23 11:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	15	$594	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-26 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 15:15:24	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd6cf19…
07-24 14:48:22	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	BUY	59	65¢	$38	0x1bb1e3…
07-23 11:02:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	41¢	$56	0x8df71c…
07-23 10:48:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x64ba77…
07-23 10:47:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0xe97399…
07-23 10:47:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0xf2201d…
07-23 10:28:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x6dfff1…
07-23 10:28:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	41¢	$19	0x3ed1e5…
07-23 05:11:31	usmca extended in 2026 20260701162719768	No	BUY	237	61¢	$145	0xdac9c2…
07-21 06:23:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x78d21b…
07-21 05:47:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	41¢	$221	0xa88b33…
07-18 12:17:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x3870dd…
07-16 13:17:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf3504…
07-16 13:10:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc10c07…
07-16 12:39:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x33f767…
07-16 03:14:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0xc9f478…
07-15 19:33:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	19¢	$190	0x1d3e7c…
07-15 12:23:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	38¢	$95	0xf4d917…
07-14 11:20:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x004c3e…
07-08 03:25:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	45¢	$180	0xea4789…
07-05 03:52:19	will trump say six seven during tribute to america rally 20260630160620571	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x7c26da…
07-05 03:49:43	will trump say booming during tribute to america rally 20260630160620568	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe57075…
07-05 03:34:01	will trump say hussein during tribute to america rally 20260630160620572	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7c538b…
07-05 02:59:43	will trump say golden dome during tribute to america rally 20260630160620570	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0x193e01…
07-02 16:15:58	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x19cc17…
07-02 14:17:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x863f5d…
07-02 13:48:19	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	260	70¢	$182	0xf8780c…
07-01 05:49:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5e3a04…
07-01 05:42:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x1308c8…
07-01 05:41:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x2128d0…
06-28 14:56:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x679f41…
06-28 14:56:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	68	91¢	$61	0x12e009…
06-27 16:20:44	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xfd994b…
06-27 15:14:44	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd0089e…
06-27 13:54:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x8ef96b…
06-27 13:15:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9d928a…
06-27 09:09:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	59	74¢	$44	0x591768…
06-27 09:06:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xd4e777…
06-27 06:54:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xeeb874…
06-27 01:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0xae05c9…
06-26 17:00:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x005e2f…
06-26 05:15:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x7e733d…
06-24 07:51:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0xfd3ca7…
06-22 12:26:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	285	13¢	$37	0x6f14b6…
06-22 12:10:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x469945…
06-22 12:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x06fca1…
06-22 11:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x50968d…
06-22 11:49:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	360	13¢	$47	0x9c9c36…
06-22 11:10:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x87ba67…
06-22 11:04:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xfd20d1…
06-22 10:46:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x4a5242…
06-22 10:06:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xb1d890…
06-22 09:01:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xeeebc3…
06-20 02:51:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	938	13¢	$122	0x7b1370…
06-20 02:10:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	257	13¢	$33	0x2d5e93…
06-19 18:30:28	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,500	79¢	$1,185	0x492003…
06-16 08:43:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0x455bcc…
06-16 03:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xe12240…
06-16 01:18:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	805	11¢	$89	0x9cd05b…
06-16 01:17:51	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x2ebc7f…
06-15 10:49:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	138	13¢	$18	0x61fec1…
06-15 10:45:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	747	13¢	$97	0xbf27b1…
06-15 10:42:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x28b587…
06-15 10:36:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	102	13¢	$13	0xfeaa21…
06-14 22:46:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xfc515e…
06-14 22:46:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	64	74¢	$47	0xe3433b…
06-14 22:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x612457…
06-14 22:46:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	192	74¢	$142	0xd94ff5…
06-14 22:46:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0xd6a15a…
06-14 22:46:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x7cca73…
06-14 22:46:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x774cb6…
06-14 22:46:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0x5b1281…
06-14 22:31:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	353	31¢	$109	0x66aeea…
06-14 22:31:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	640	31¢	$198	0xda51ec…
06-14 22:31:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x98ddb1…
06-14 22:04:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x9d0ce7…
06-14 21:41:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,000	63¢	$630	0x1a0754…
06-14 21:33:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0xe1bba7…
06-14 21:30:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xff16eb…
06-14 21:29:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x425d01…
06-14 21:23:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	414	48¢	$200	0x554cb5…
06-14 21:22:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc72949…
06-14 21:22:46	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x57c7ca…
06-14 21:21:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0xf3db46…
06-13 18:23:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	640	44¢	$282	0x0c4c69…
06-13 18:16:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	64	75¢	$48	0xa25e80…
06-13 18:16:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	316	75¢	$237	0x57c10a…
06-13 18:15:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xc94676…
06-13 18:13:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4ea9db…
06-13 08:01:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	73	76¢	$56	0x544ee3…
06-12 19:56:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x219b29…
06-12 19:54:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x670898…
06-12 19:54:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x35a351…
06-12 19:54:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	143	76¢	$109	0xa2b784…
06-12 19:54:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	201	76¢	$153	0x9320ef…
06-12 18:58:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0xbd5b7f…
06-12 18:46:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x94968c…
06-12 04:45:03	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xdff6db…
06-11 18:46:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xff4258…
06-09 07:00:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0xd6b30a…