Sleepy-Arrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$971

Unrealized P&L

-$723

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

261

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$50.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$532

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 09-11 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

71% 16% +$1,202

Politics

27% 6% -$1,543

Sports

2% 0% -$630

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+6,127	$1,128	8¢	$521	-$607	09-11 08:53
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes		+260	$127	4¢	$11	-$116	08-22 19:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$7.5K	21,391	21,391	+0	Yes	+$2,000	04-08 00:06
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$6.3K	5,550	5,550	+0	Yes	+$4,767	07-18 22:12
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	3	$2.7K	2,081	2,081	+0	Yes	+$1,410	07-19 21:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$2.1K	15,619	0	+15,619	No	-$2,070	03-31 03:43
Trump out as President by June 30?	138	$1.2K	70,000	70,000	+0	No	-$200	06-28 05:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$1.1K	6,127	0	+6,127	open	—	09-11 08:53
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	3	$1.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$720	07-01 21:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$854	1,068	0	+1,068	Yes	+$214	07-29 09:17
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	1	$777	3,238	0	+3,238	Côte d'Ivoire	-$777	06-30 12:48
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?	3	$764	714	714	+0	Yes	+$664	07-01 22:05
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$718	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$90	06-28 00:50
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	2	$712	783	783	+0	Over	-$176	06-27 04:39
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	2	$609	708	708	+0	Under	-$184	06-24 00:26
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	2	$600	2,152	0	+2,152	Under	-$600	06-23 20:25
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$540	29,699	0	+29,699	No	-$540	06-29 07:54
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	3	$524	744	744	+0	Over	+$390	06-14 18:52
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	2	$470	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	-$30	06-22 01:50
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	1	$444	728	0	+728	Over	+$284	06-20 19:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$434	2,098	0	+2,098	No	-$434	07-28 17:44
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?	5	$428	458	457	+0	Yes	+$170	06-18 04:05
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	2	$427	1,092	0	+1,092	Under	-$427	06-30 21:28
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 extra time	2	$422	322	322	+0	Yes	+$222	06-29 22:35
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?	3	$409	900	900	+0	No	+$247	06-21 05:37
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	3	$408	435	435	+0	Yes	+$208	06-15 21:08
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$400	1,834	0	+1,834	Spain	-$400	07-19 21:49
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	2	$373	333	333	+0	Yes	+$293	06-13 21:36
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$338	6,836	0	+6,836	No	-$338	03-14 02:04
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana?	2	$333	300	300	+0	Yes	+$267	06-27 23:01
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	2	$300	400	400	+0	Over	+$140	06-16 23:07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$300	583	0	+583	Yes	+$283	06-20 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 08:53:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,500	16¢	$400	0x72ee70…
09-11 08:43:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,750	16¢	$280	0x7362ac…
09-10 13:16:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x90f309…
09-10 13:16:04	Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,797	4¢	$64	0x56f3da…
09-10 13:12:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb76ad0…
08-22 19:21:09	Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x720fd8…
08-22 14:48:31	Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xec7185…
08-22 14:48:06	Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	121	46¢	$56	0x22cc64…
08-21 20:53:27	Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8f1961…
08-01 19:41:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,021	5¢	$49	0xf1082b…
08-01 19:38:18	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	Yes	BUY	648	3¢	$21	0x155656…
08-01 19:06:42	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	Yes	BUY	3,543	3¢	$111	0x71b98a…
07-29 09:17:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,068	80¢	$854	0x96d0e2…
07-29 09:14:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,500	0¢	$33	0xf25515…
07-29 00:57:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27,000	0¢	$81	0x05cbf1…
07-28 17:44:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,098	21¢	$434	0x1c1270…
07-23 22:25:00	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	Yes	BUY	1,100	7¢	$77	0xb28eb7…
07-23 22:23:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,143	4¢	$47	0x3ea2ed…
07-23 22:21:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,110	30¢	$333	0x0ad9b0…
07-23 22:14:34	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	Yes	BUY	10,184	1¢	$111	0x94fbf6…
07-19 21:53:15	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7da9b7…
07-19 21:49:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	809	8¢	$67	0x7eaba0…
07-19 21:24:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,025	32¢	$333	0xe9d8e9…
07-19 21:23:40	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2,081	100¢	$2,076	0xb86510…
07-19 18:13:00	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,081	32¢	$666	0x1143e8…
07-19 18:11:19	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,788	8¢	$223	0x4cdc10…
07-19 13:23:06	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,833	4¢	$77	0x363dc3…
07-19 13:22:03	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,750	3¢	$77	0x6849bf…
07-19 13:00:58	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	4,885	3¢	$127	0x83051e…
07-19 13:00:09	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,567	3¢	$77	0xb2cff6…
07-18 22:12:36	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	5,550	100¢	$5,544	0x6ea28c…
07-18 22:06:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	Yes	BUY	1,771	4¢	$77	0xa615db…
07-18 14:08:15	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0x9496c9…
07-18 14:07:19	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	5,550	14¢	$777	0x557dfb…
07-07 15:02:35	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x66e277…
07-07 00:35:59	Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	117	11¢	$13	0x95bb93…
07-07 00:35:38	Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	328	11¢	$36	0xcb1e98…
07-06 22:54:26	Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x005d07…
07-06 22:54:11	Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	1,440	10¢	$144	0xf27d11…
07-06 22:53:25	Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	1,156	3¢	$37	0xa538a4…
07-06 22:53:13	Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	1,424	3¢	$47	0x520419…
07-06 22:52:58	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	959	5¢	$47	0xb14709…
07-06 14:36:41	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	392	12¢	$47	0x1d410b…
07-06 14:36:19	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	489	9¢	$44	0x2190d2…
07-06 14:35:44	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	330	10¢	$33	0x5f4032…
07-06 14:35:34	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	471	7¢	$33	0x55a064…
07-06 01:27:19	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xb57fb2…
07-06 01:26:59	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	1,389	4¢	$50	0x48df7a…
07-05 23:38:40	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x119702…
07-05 23:38:31	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x9235ff…
07-05 18:26:41	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	1,048	4¢	$44	0x75c8fe…
07-05 18:26:02	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xef96a5…
07-05 18:25:05	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	1,684	2¢	$33	0x0ac6ad…
07-05 18:24:07	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	1,333	2¢	$32	0xdec10b…
07-04 22:21:59	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	627	7¢	$47	0xf6b6c8…
07-04 20:43:56	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	550	14¢	$77	0xb92223…
07-04 17:11:47	Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x08071c…
07-04 17:05:26	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	160	14¢	$22	0x4476e5…
07-03 19:34:52	Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	700	7¢	$47	0x3d7bbc…
07-03 17:03:43	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	427	11¢	$47	0x4faff8…
07-03 17:03:20	Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	470	10¢	$47	0x3dc6ce…
07-03 04:21:44	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	416	22¢	$93	0x8b2356…
07-03 03:11:16	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	524	38¢	$200	0x7b6461…
07-03 03:10:01	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	2,101	2¢	$50	0x06e5e4…
07-03 03:09:35	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	1,987	2¢	$47	0xc3473e…
07-03 00:55:59	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	No	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xf34007…
07-03 00:34:37	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xe98bca…
07-03 00:32:58	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	267	7¢	$20	0xdb48fc…
07-03 00:32:20	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	342	7¢	$25	0xf43994…
07-03 00:29:53	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0xfe74af…
07-03 00:27:11	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	933	2¢	$14	0x5f56d0…
07-03 00:26:50	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1,750	0¢	$7	0xb636cf…
07-03 00:25:02	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	478	5¢	$22	0x48c04b…
07-03 00:22:26	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	680	1¢	$5	0x4ab8a3…
07-03 00:21:56	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0x1a546c…
07-03 00:19:41	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	680	2¢	$16	0xf47b15…
07-02 23:47:25	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x0ff643…
07-02 23:46:07	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	2,520	0¢	$6	0xa1a746…
07-02 23:45:55	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	2,821	1¢	$20	0x1dcf65…
07-02 22:33:52	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1,981	1¢	$25	0x096f37…
07-02 22:33:25	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	2,520	2¢	$47	0xfce3c0…
07-02 22:33:05	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	750	8¢	$60	0x26130c…
07-02 22:32:44	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	2,821	4¢	$100	0xb406da…
07-02 19:02:20	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,333	8¢	$107	0xfffe72…
07-02 19:02:04	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xce709a…
07-02 19:02:04	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	632	8¢	$51	0xb63238…
07-02 19:02:04	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0x069eb3…
07-02 19:01:58	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc59dec…
07-02 00:05:34	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x9f94b1…
07-02 00:04:55	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	393	12¢	$47	0x6fb99c…
07-01 23:57:43	Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	3,030	3¢	$100	0xb778e7…
07-01 22:44:08	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	743	4¢	$30	0x8cac19…
07-01 22:05:32	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7fd12b…
07-01 22:05:20	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	SELL	714	100¢	$713	0xf5e120…
07-01 21:51:49	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	469	7¢	$33	0xcfd257…
07-01 21:49:35	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	SELL	1,000	66¢	$660	0x481f4a…
07-01 21:35:44	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x98c387…
07-01 21:20:08	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	SELL	1,000	22¢	$220	0x765e88…
07-01 18:31:49	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x6a8539…
07-01 03:33:16	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	372	27¢	$100	0x397aec…