Realized P&L (30d)
-$397
Unrealized P&L
-$293
Hit rate
8.6%
Resolved (30d)
46
Trades (30d)
418
31,777 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$33.0K
$570.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$5.59K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Politics
71% 58% -$2,062
Other
15% 56% -$797
Crypto
7% 45% +$6
Sports
4% 59% -$1,040
Tech
2% 50% -$848
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $4,420 42¢ $4.2K -$200 10-25 12:03
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +6,457 $1,485 20¢ $1.3K -$226 10-29 20:37
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? Yes +100 $74 82¢ $82 +$8 10-28 21:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -200 -$38 4¢ $-8 +$30 05-06 16:27
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 07-06 08:38
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 08-16 12:48
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 07-17 22:42
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? Yes +2,104 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 08-26 03:48
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +680 -$2 0¢ $3 +$5 09-29 03:49
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1,700 $5 0¢ $3 -$3 08-14 17:41
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1,700 $5 0¢ $3 -$3 08-24 12:38
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $2 -$2 09-12 17:30
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +0 -$19 74¢ $0 +$19 07-26 23:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 07-02 15:53
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 07-28 09:32
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 09-11 08:57
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$81 0¢ $0 +$81 06-23 15:53