Outlying-Wasabi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.72K

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

614

Trades

31,807

lifetime

Volume

$572.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$4.28K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Politics

71% 58% -$2,062

Other

15% 56% -$771

Crypto

7% 45% +$6

Sports

4% 59% -$1,040

Tech

2% 50% -$848

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+10,000	$4,420	42¢	$4.2K	-$220	10-25 12:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+200	$46	24¢	$48	+$2	10-30 13:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	-200	-$38	3¢	$-7	+$31	05-06 16:27
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+2,500	$5	0¢	$4	-$1	07-06 08:38
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+2,500	$5	0¢	$4	-$1	08-16 12:48
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+2,500	$5	0¢	$4	-$1	07-17 22:42
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+2,104	$4	0¢	$3	-$1	08-26 03:48
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+1,700	$5	0¢	$3	-$3	08-14 17:41
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+1,700	$5	0¢	$3	-$3	08-24 12:38
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+2,500	$5	0¢	$2	-$2	09-12 17:30
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+680	-$2	0¢	$2	+$5	09-29 03:49
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	+0	-$19	74¢	$0	+$19	07-26 23:07
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	-$3	0¢	$0	+$3	07-28 09:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	07-02 15:53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+0	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	09-11 08:57
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+0	-$81	0¢	$0	+$81	06-23 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	115	$57.8K	151,728	130,352	+21,376	No	-$2,428	05-27 08:25
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	395	$37.1K	75,259	75,259	+0	No	+$915	06-19 20:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	27	$36.0K	41,471	41,471	+0	Yes	+$37	05-27 18:33
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	163	$35.6K	44,705	44,701	+4	No	+$819	06-07 22:01
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	494	$35.5K	72,154	72,154	+0	Yes	+$707	06-21 14:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	149	$33.4K	124,000	126,000	-2,000	Yes	-$595	06-07 20:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	104	$22.0K	21,826	21,826	+0	Yes	-$166	09-10 14:20
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	150	$21.6K	28,700	28,700	+0	Yes	+$251	06-07 18:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	103	$20.4K	34,343	34,343	+0	Yes	+$125	06-07 19:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	67	$20.1K	22,713	22,713	+0	open	—	10-29 20:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	166	$16.9K	107,575	103,815	+3,760	No	-$1,509	06-06 22:11
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$14.3K	12,000	12,000	+0	Pistons	+$120	05-01 17:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$13.4K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	open	—	10-25 12:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	83	$12.4K	18,912	18,912	+0	No	+$494	06-14 21:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	46	$11.6K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$445	06-19 05:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	35	$11.1K	27,500	27,500	+0	No	+$350	05-25 19:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$9.9K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	+$20	05-31 15:55
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	88	$8.9K	9,766	9,766	+0	No	+$175	07-19 02:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	10	$7.4K	4,950	4,950	+0	No	+$74	05-29 08:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	14	$6.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$10	06-06 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$6.5K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$150	05-09 17:16
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	64	$5.3K	6,494	6,494	+0	open	—	07-02 21:32
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	17	$4.5K	12,639	12,639	+0	No	+$253	05-29 14:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$4.4K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$0	05-28 14:19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	23	$4.0K	4,000	3,395	+605	No	-$90	10-25 23:08
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	95	$3.9K	7,649	7,649	+0	No	+$56	07-10 15:28
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	29	$3.8K	1,985	1,985	+0	Yes	+$152	06-19 10:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	3	$3.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$40	05-28 14:18
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$3.1K	1,669	1,669	+0	No	+$179	04-30 09:57
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	64	$3.0K	6,457	6,457	+0	open	—	10-30 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:44:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x97e048…
10-30 13:16:25	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0xdd6a03…
10-30 13:16:24	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0x83721c…
10-30 13:16:24	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0x4127a7…
10-30 13:16:24	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	160	25¢	$40	0x3be230…
10-30 13:16:24	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0x23625e…
10-30 13:16:24	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0x0fcb89…
10-30 13:05:31	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x509953…
10-30 13:04:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xfa195b…
10-30 13:04:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xba32ec…
10-30 13:04:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x96ac3a…
10-30 13:04:01	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x235280…
10-30 13:03:57	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xf1987b…
10-30 13:03:54	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xf59f68…
10-30 13:03:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xd37fdd…
10-30 13:03:49	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x231c41…
10-30 13:03:49	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x13a5eb…
10-30 13:03:48	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,010	24¢	$242	0xe4e67e…
10-30 13:03:48	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	24¢	$480	0x72c18b…
10-30 13:03:48	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x527fc6…
10-30 12:58:18	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xda7a9e…
10-30 12:57:03	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	208	24¢	$50	0x513b85…
10-30 12:56:36	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	125	24¢	$30	0x76effe…
10-30 12:54:48	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0xae99fb…
10-30 12:54:48	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xa6aa19…
10-30 12:49:12	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	110	24¢	$26	0xa9d180…
10-30 12:49:10	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x9a81a6…
10-30 12:49:10	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	57	24¢	$14	0x8f44b1…
10-30 12:49:10	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x8748b6…
10-30 12:49:09	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	289	24¢	$69	0xa69ad9…
10-29 20:37:52	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	23¢	$46	0x501532…
10-29 20:37:46	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	23¢	$46	0x5596a2…
10-29 20:37:40	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	23¢	$46	0xf43713…
10-29 20:37:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	23¢	$46	0x00af43…
10-29 20:37:28	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	23¢	$46	0x470b0f…
10-29 20:37:22	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	198	23¢	$45	0x411668…
10-29 20:37:16	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	197	23¢	$45	0x810ce9…
10-29 20:37:10	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	201	23¢	$46	0x74450e…
10-29 20:37:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	192	23¢	$44	0x96a8a0…
10-29 20:36:58	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	172	23¢	$40	0xb33f13…
10-29 20:36:52	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	251	23¢	$58	0x74ceeb…
10-29 20:36:46	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	186	23¢	$43	0xbcbb9d…
10-29 20:36:40	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	223	23¢	$51	0xc2a01e…
10-29 20:36:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	149	23¢	$34	0x99ee57…
10-29 20:36:28	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0xc7031a…
10-29 20:36:22	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	149	23¢	$34	0xc24350…
10-29 20:36:16	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0xc472e3…
10-29 20:36:10	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0x0dd8e4…
10-29 20:36:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0xe28a8e…
10-29 20:35:58	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0xb2c8b6…
10-29 20:35:52	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x93e1c9…
10-29 20:35:46	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	195	23¢	$45	0x1b4d04…
10-29 20:35:40	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	204	23¢	$47	0xbf1d6b…
10-29 20:35:34	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	186	23¢	$43	0x79b69a…
10-29 20:35:28	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	223	23¢	$51	0xc977ee…
10-29 20:35:24	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	149	23¢	$34	0x2e6911…
10-29 20:35:16	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	297	23¢	$68	0xc84edd…
10-29 20:35:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xb36ee7…
10-29 20:35:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	215	23¢	$49	0x4dcffd…
10-29 20:35:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	252	23¢	$58	0xf66248…
10-29 20:35:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xef1391…
10-29 20:35:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0xd3ac3b…
10-29 20:35:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x801a59…
10-29 20:35:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	61	23¢	$14	0x73d0c4…
10-29 20:35:04	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x04de3d…
10-29 20:00:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,898	30¢	$1,162	0x4eff87…
10-29 19:02:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xfe866b…
10-29 19:02:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xc15146…
10-29 17:56:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	126	30¢	$38	0x26f018…
10-29 17:51:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	102	30¢	$30	0xc9ed8f…
10-29 17:49:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	662	30¢	$197	0x69e12e…
10-29 04:07:14	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc332c6…
10-29 04:06:19	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x505f0e…
10-29 04:06:19	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x006574…
10-29 04:06:17	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x606a1b…
10-29 03:46:08	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xde41c7…
10-29 03:45:31	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x6b3710…
10-29 01:27:46	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x80a1f9…
10-28 21:33:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x39cd08…
10-28 16:01:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,000	30¢	$1,485	0x797f27…
10-27 12:37:26	Will the Detroit Red Wings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,227	0¢	$9	0x651660…
10-26 20:29:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	103	76¢	$78	0xad1c4f…
10-26 19:58:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x8b4068…
10-26 16:08:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xe0ae03…
10-26 16:08:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x409968…
10-26 16:08:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x1c382c…
10-26 01:32:44	Will the Calgary Flames be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfb61f2…
10-26 01:32:44	Will the Detroit Red Wings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe139da…
10-25 23:08:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$17	0x14c5b0…
10-25 23:03:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x3c4238…
10-25 22:55:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0x65c3f8…
10-25 22:49:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x034df9…
10-25 22:47:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7032fa…
10-25 22:47:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xf22fa0…
10-25 22:47:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xc62388…
10-25 22:47:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0xb55076…
10-25 22:47:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x92deb1…
10-25 22:47:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x725e47…
10-25 22:47:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x40c975…
10-25 22:47:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xedbccf…