Actual-Pickup 0xcd76d7…8e22eb
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$42
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved (90d)
27
Trades (90d)
62
189 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$611
$2.34K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$50
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-29 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Sports
60% 28% -$140
Other
29% 34% -$92
Politics
10% 56% +$1
Crypto
1% 0% -$14
Tech
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +64 $10 16¢ $10 +$0 08-18 18:32
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,500 $18 1¢ $10 -$8 07-15 22:39
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +48 $10 16¢ $8 -$2 10-13 16:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 $5 33¢ $7 +$2 10-29 15:53
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30 $5 16¢ $5 $0 10-29 15:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-26 19:08
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? Yes +67 -$25 4¢ $3 +$28 09-22 19:19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +53 $1 2¢ $1 $0 09-18 18:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +34 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 09-18 16:06
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +19 $0 3¢ $1 +$0 09-18 16:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -6 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-14 16:49
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -4 -$3 4¢ $-0 +$3 05-21 16:58