Realized P&L (7d)
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
107
114 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$393
$541 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$148
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 11-09 00:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
69% 25% -$5
Politics
26% 0% -$7
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027? No +11 $4 71¢ $8 +$4 11-05 18:54
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31? No +8 $4 78¢ $6 +$3 11-09 00:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $4 88¢ $6 +$3 11-05 18:54
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 97¢ $6 +$2 11-07 00:30
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +11 $4 52¢ $6 +$2 11-07 00:30
Will 215-219 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? No +6 $4 99¢ $6 +$2 11-09 00:28
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October? No +6 $4 94¢ $5 +$2 11-09 00:28
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +8 $4 66¢ $5 +$2 11-05 18:54
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? No +7 $4 76¢ $5 +$1 11-07 00:30
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? No +7 $4 73¢ $5 +$1 11-07 00:30
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? No +10 $4 50¢ $5 +$1 11-09 00:28
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +7 $4 64¢ $5 +$1 11-07 00:30
Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +9 $4 53¢ $5 +$1 11-09 00:28
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +8 $4 57¢ $5 +$1 11-07 00:30
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? No +8 $4 55¢ $5 +$1 11-07 00:30
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +7 $4 66¢ $5 +$1 11-07 00:30
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by November 30? No +9 $4 54¢ $5 +$1 11-05 18:54
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 24? No +10 $4 44¢ $4 +$1 11-06 00:11
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +7 $4 66¢ $4 +$1 11-08 00:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 11-04 12:36
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +6 $4 68¢ $4 +$1 11-05 18:54
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No +9 $4 47¢ $4 +$1 11-05 18:54
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? No +7 $4 65¢ $4 +$1 11-09 00:28
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? No +7 $4 62¢ $4 +$1 11-05 18:54
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30? No +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$1 11-05 18:54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027? No +11 $4 40¢ $4 +$1 11-07 00:30
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? No +10 $4 44¢ $4 +$1 11-08 00:11
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 11-06 00:11
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? No +6 $4 69¢ $4 +$1 11-06 00:11
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026? No +7 $4 61¢ $4 +$1 11-06 00:11