Israel military action against Lebanon on November 24?
open
Total volume
$673
Trades
56
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$828
Latest YES mid
57¢
Latest NO mid
43¢
End date
2026-11-25
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-06 16:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.2¢
(top1%: 83% YES on $36
vs crowd: 77% YES on $523)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $108 | $70 | +$38 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $190 | $43 | +$148 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $72 | $6 | +$67 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $30 | $4 | +$26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $29 | $6 | +$23 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Below median | 4 | $88 | $10 | +$79 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $120 | $43 | +$77 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $89 | $64 | +$25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limp-Drawer 0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | +109 | $74 | $74 | 3 | 11-06 16:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +105 | $35 | $35 | 5 | 11-06 16:29 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | +81 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 11-05 15:59 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | +55 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 11-05 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x02e5…98aa | No | +55 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 11-05 15:49 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +49 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 11-05 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +47 | $32 | $33 | 4 | 11-05 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +47 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 11-05 18:23 |
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | +40 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 11-06 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-05 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-05 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c14…5783 | Yes | +17 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-05 19:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +17 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-05 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xcda7…67b4 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-06 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-05 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x17bd…6550 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-05 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | +2 | $3 | $114 | 8 | 11-06 03:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 16:29:31 | Limp-Drawer 0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xbd0f76… |
| 11-06 16:29:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbd0f76… |
| 11-06 16:05:39 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 74¢ | $29 | 0x54a7bd… |
| 11-06 16:05:39 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x54a7bd… |
| 11-06 16:05:39 | (anonymous) 0x5dbe…d631 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x54a7bd… |
| 11-06 10:44:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x035fc0… |
| 11-06 10:44:28 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x035fc0… |
| 11-06 04:23:34 | (anonymous) 0xc808…fffe | Yes | SELL | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0x61808a… |
| 11-06 04:23:34 | Limp-Drawer 0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0x61808a… |
| 11-06 03:31:31 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x21f800… |
| 11-06 03:31:31 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 13 | 68¢ | $9 | 0x21f800… |
| 11-06 03:31:31 | Limp-Drawer 0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 69¢ | $50 | 0x21f800… |
| 11-06 01:07:51 | (anonymous) 0xc808…fffe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x0baa24… |
| 11-06 01:07:51 | (anonymous) 0x1a86…ee61 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x0baa24… |
| 11-06 00:11:03 | (anonymous) 0xc808…fffe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xabfe97… |
| 11-06 00:11:03 | (anonymous) 0xcda7…67b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xabfe97… |
| 11-05 23:49:57 | (anonymous) 0x17bd…6550 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xf3c7fb… |
| 11-05 23:49:57 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xf3c7fb… |
| 11-05 19:28:33 | (anonymous) 0x7c14…5783 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 64¢ | $11 | 0xf9d835… |
| 11-05 19:28:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 17 | 36¢ | $6 | 0xf9d835… |
| 11-05 18:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…98aa | Yes | BUY | 0 | 62¢ | $0 | 0x8a0425… |
| 11-05 18:23:15 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 62¢ | $0 | 0x8a0425… |
| 11-05 18:23:10 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 18 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x27c637… |
| 11-05 18:23:10 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 18 | 64¢ | $12 | 0x27c637… |
| 11-05 18:23:09 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 65¢ | $12 | 0x72d645… |
| 11-05 18:23:09 | (anonymous) 0xc808…fffe | Yes | SELL | 40 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x72d645… |
| 11-05 18:23:09 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 22 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x72d645… |
| 11-05 17:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x5dbe…d631 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x3de837… |
| 11-05 17:37:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x3de837… |
| 11-05 17:28:57 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | SELL | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x467bc5… |
| 11-05 17:28:57 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x467bc5… |
| 11-05 17:28:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 69¢ | $20 | 0x4b8c4e… |
| 11-05 17:28:52 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x4b8c4e… |
| 11-05 17:28:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x87d694… |
| 11-05 17:28:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 9 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x4b8c4e… |
| 11-05 17:28:52 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 9 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x87d694… |
| 11-05 17:22:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x10c305… |
| 11-05 17:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x10c305… |
| 11-05 16:39:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x972bf6… |
| 11-05 16:39:33 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x972bf6… |
| 11-05 16:35:03 | (anonymous) 0xf51b…2377 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xc8183d… |
| 11-05 16:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xc8183d… |
| 11-05 16:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | BUY | 22 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x1efa11… |
| 11-05 16:29:52 | (anonymous) 0xf51b…2377 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x1efa11… |
| 11-05 16:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $37 | 0x1efa11… |
| 11-05 16:29:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x1efa11… |
| 11-05 16:11:42 | (anonymous) 0xc808…fffe | Yes | BUY | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0xe48586… |
| 11-05 16:11:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0xe48586… |
| 11-05 15:59:19 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 21 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xd0acb0… |
| 11-05 15:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x1a86…ee61 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 57¢ | $12 | 0xd0acb0… |
| 11-05 15:54:49 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 60 | 28¢ | $17 | 0x84ca52… |
| 11-05 15:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x84ca52… |
| 11-05 15:54:49 | (anonymous) 0xf51b…2377 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x84ca52… |
| 11-05 15:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x84ca52… |
| 11-05 15:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…98aa | No | BUY | 55 | 40¢ | $22 | 0x3033c3… |
| 11-05 15:49:01 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 60¢ | $33 | 0x3033c3… |