Realized P&L
+$485
Unrealized P&L
+$120
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,917
lifetime
Volume
$173.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.07K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
84% 33% +$456
Other
14% 50% +$29
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +1,000 $938 100¢ $999 +$61 06-15 15:22
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -183 $-83 15¢ $-27 +$56 06-30 06:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +45 $12 24¢ $11 $-1 06-26 12:03
Megaquake by June 30? Yes -526 $-339 $-9 +$330 06-08 00:59
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +250 $72 $9 $-63 06-01 22:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,047 $55 $8 $-47 06-17 15:16
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +678 $167 $6 $-160 06-11 17:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +125 $45 $1 $-44 06-19 05:36
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $12 $0 $-12 05-29 14:08