Afraid-Retrospect 0xd7f15d…ef73cd
whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$45
Unrealized P&L
-$949
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
44
5,173 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.71K
$215.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$3.89K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 01:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Politics
82% 43% +$18,349
Other
15% 26% -$2,622
Crypto
3% 7% -$2,628
Tech
0% 0% -$159
Sports
0% 0% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,400 $1,133 97¢ $1.4K +$225 10-21 20:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +4,000 $520 14¢ $540 +$20 10-27 16:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,000 $580 18¢ $370 -$210 07-24 13:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,639 $775 4¢ $269 -$506 08-25 05:45
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +3,480 $253 8¢ $261 +$8 10-29 01:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +2,000 $355 12¢ $250 -$105 09-05 19:15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +204 $67 100¢ $203 +$136 10-27 19:53
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +1,300 $120 13¢ $169 +$49 10-21 15:26
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +1,200 $135 10¢ $114 -$21 09-01 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $165 6¢ $98 -$68 08-24 15:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +800 $160 8¢ $68 -$92 07-04 21:56
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +200 $76 18¢ $36 -$40 08-20 03:35
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +750 $26 4¢ $34 +$8 10-17 23:34
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +900 $49 4¢ $32 -$17 10-05 23:20
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,207 $132 1¢ $26 -$106 10-21 19:00
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +150 $50 12¢ $19 -$32 10-25 02:02
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +3,721 $73 0¢ $13 -$60 10-14 14:51
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +200 $12 6¢ $13 +$1 10-28 07:16
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +110 $14 9¢ $10 -$4 08-18 05:10
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $54 2¢ $9 -$44 10-20 01:21
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +400 $77 1¢ $3 -$74 10-02 05:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +45 $12 1¢ $0 -$11 06-26 12:03
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +36 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 09-13 09:44