Afraid-Retrospect 0xd7f15d…ef73cd
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$5.81K
Unrealized P&L
-$880
Hit rate
32.8%
Resolved (90d)
91
Trades (90d)
521
5,132 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$21.2K
$214.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$3.96K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 01:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Politics
82% 43% +$18,349
Other
15% 26% -$2,622
Crypto
3% 7% -$2,628
Tech
0% 0% -$159
Sports
0% 0% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,400 $1,133 96¢ $1.3K +$204 10-21 20:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +4,000 $520 15¢ $600 +$80 10-27 16:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,000 $580 18¢ $350 -$230 07-24 13:46
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +3,480 $253 8¢ $296 +$42 10-29 01:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,639 $775 4¢ $262 -$512 08-25 05:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +2,000 $355 12¢ $230 -$125 09-05 19:15
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +204 $67 100¢ $203 +$136 10-27 19:53
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +1,300 $120 13¢ $169 +$49 10-21 15:26
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +1,200 $135 13¢ $156 +$21 09-01 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $165 8¢ $113 -$52 08-24 15:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +800 $160 8¢ $60 -$100 07-04 21:56
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,207 $132 2¢ $43 -$89 10-21 19:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +750 $26 5¢ $38 +$12 10-17 23:34
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +900 $49 3¢ $30 -$19 10-05 23:20
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +200 $76 15¢ $30 -$46 08-20 03:35
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +200 $12 6¢ $13 +$1 10-28 07:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +150 $50 6¢ $10 -$41 10-25 02:02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +110 $14 8¢ $9 -$5 08-18 05:10
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +3,721 $73 0¢ $9 -$63 10-14 14:51
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +400 $77 1¢ $4 -$73 10-02 05:55
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $54 1¢ $2 -$51 10-20 01:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +45 $12 1¢ $0 -$11 06-26 12:03
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +36 $7 1¢ $0 -$7 09-13 09:44