Pastel-Rehospitalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

470

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-27 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 32% -$53

Other

8% 28% -$48

Sports

4% 29% -$4

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-18 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 08:39
will india win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	4	$33	33	33	+0	Yes	+$10	03-08 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$31	36	22	+14	Down	+$0	05-09 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$27	30	19	+11	Up	+$11	10-02 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:30 UTC	3	$24	26	20	+6	Down	+$16	09-25 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	3	$21	27	0	+27	Up	+$3	05-09 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$20	18	13	+5	Up	+$6	10-02 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-09 08:24
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-23 12:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 13:09
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 2am et	6	$16	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	06-18 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$15	17	10	+7	Down	+$5	10-02 19:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 09:45 UTC	6	$14	19	19	+0	Up	+$2	02-28 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 09:00 UTC	2	$14	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	03-13 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$14	12	10	+2	Up	+$6	10-02 19:24
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$14	22	18	+4	Yes	+$2	05-04 04:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:15 UTC	4	$13	13	9	+3	Up	+$5	07-30 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	8	$13	42	0	+42	Up	+$8	10-03 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$13	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	05-09 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 06:30 UTC	2	$12	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	07-11 06:33
bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 2am et	4	$12	26	22	+4	Up	+$0	07-11 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$12	19	8	+11	Up	+$4	09-26 10:58
will australia win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	3	$11	35	5	+30	No	-$9	01-26 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:30 UTC	2	$11	14	0	+14	Down	$0	07-10 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$11	16	8	+8	Down	+$5	09-26 11:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$11	13	8	+5	open	—	08-18 11:41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?	2	$10	11	11	+0	No	+$8	10-08 17:12
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-28 09:43
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 4	3	$10	80	80	+0	Yes	+$8	03-11 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$10	13	8	+4	Down	+$6	09-05 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe19bcd…
10-27 06:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd268b7…
10-27 06:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3cbd52…
10-27 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xacedd7…
10-27 05:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x333323…
10-27 05:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x08dbb7…
10-27 05:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x607c69…
10-27 05:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xef3ab2…
10-27 05:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3976a4…
10-27 05:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc78ebe…
10-09 19:15:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4f67c2…
10-09 19:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x18b6bd…
10-09 19:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf71680…
10-09 19:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe2dc23…
10-09 19:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd33d83…
10-09 19:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xce26a2…
10-09 19:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ff213…
10-09 18:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x558121…
10-09 18:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6e99c6…
10-09 18:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x2beb9f…
10-09 18:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xec3dbc…
10-09 18:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x5ec9ad…
10-09 18:47:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6b28b7…
10-09 18:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x43d712…
10-09 18:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x02acfc…
10-09 18:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xc5bccb…
10-09 18:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1ebf82…
10-08 17:12:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x96eed1…
10-08 04:58:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x14a76b…
10-08 04:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x7568d6…
10-08 04:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x18c999…
10-08 04:51:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xca74e4…
10-08 04:50:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xd30051…
10-08 03:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2ff0e2…
10-08 03:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x20a2aa…
10-08 03:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4fc9e9…
10-08 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x625365…
10-08 03:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x77bd00…
10-08 03:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6e8fc1…
10-08 03:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2a6b33…
10-08 03:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa13846…
10-08 03:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8591e3…
10-08 03:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1c3425…
10-08 03:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x224937…
10-08 03:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x115150…
10-08 03:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x952c2d…
10-08 03:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x80cc64…
10-08 03:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x54e867…
10-08 03:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0982eb…
10-08 02:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x08c24e…
10-08 02:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xac5354…
10-08 02:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd00bd2…
10-08 02:50:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5f59cd…
10-07 05:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x2d287f…
10-07 05:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8f68e0…
10-07 05:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8a54ef…
10-07 05:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc7f2c7…
10-07 05:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd82247…
10-05 09:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6808d1…
10-04 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xc0d923…
10-04 08:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb8a3bb…
10-03 18:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x481724…
10-03 18:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7b331f…
10-03 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0847c7…
10-03 18:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1ac7e3…
10-03 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf4465a…
10-03 18:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x994ad6…
10-03 18:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4d8b78…
10-03 18:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x469581…
10-03 18:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5aeb04…
10-03 18:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbb765e…
10-03 18:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe06934…
10-03 18:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x58c4d9…
10-03 18:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9e2bde…
10-03 18:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd92c3c…
10-03 18:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x053a58…
10-03 18:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2fddb2…
10-03 17:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x386953…
10-03 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x122b44…
10-03 17:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb50adf…
10-03 17:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe9bbbc…
10-03 17:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5d10f1…
10-03 17:47:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1a1ccf…
10-03 17:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xe179fa…
10-03 17:40:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9ac4bd…
10-03 17:37:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x500939…
10-03 17:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x27ddb6…
10-03 17:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x34d9e9…
10-03 17:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc24e57…
10-03 17:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1a26a5…
10-03 17:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc94276…
10-03 17:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1d90d2…
10-03 17:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5a824e…
10-03 17:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x032963…
10-03 17:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1a62c2…
10-03 17:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x16f867…
10-03 17:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21945e…
10-03 17:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x31dbf1…
10-03 17:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9c2a28…
10-03 17:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe43dbb…