Royal-Dogwood 0xce0cee…092945 Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$704
Unrealized P&L
+$694
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved (7d)
15
Trades (7d)
235
2,731 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.89K
$149.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$7.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 11-08 23:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
53% 60% -$9,963
Other
43% 35% +$637
Tech
2% 38% -$96
Sports
1% 0% -$12
Crypto
1% 0% -$103
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +789 $269 74¢ $588 +$319 11-04 23:22
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +504 $411 94¢ $471 +$61 10-21 22:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +397 $273 98¢ $388 +$115 11-02 14:53
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +505 $391 76¢ $387 -$5 10-30 18:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +434 $306 84¢ $367 +$61 11-04 23:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +346 $260 97¢ $337 +$76 11-01 05:41
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +520 $340 62¢ $325 -$14 11-02 18:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +344 $316 92¢ $318 +$2 10-15 17:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +376 $253 82¢ $306 +$53 10-26 12:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +420 $219 68¢ $285 +$66 10-19 08:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +506 $111 52¢ $266 +$155 10-28 04:02
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +273 $209 97¢ $264 +$55 10-23 20:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +356 $230 69¢ $246 +$16 10-20 19:26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +375 $164 66¢ $246 +$82 11-01 15:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +506 $397 48¢ $240 -$156 10-30 13:22
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +236 $178 97¢ $229 +$51 11-06 07:09
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +303 $226 74¢ $223 -$3 10-23 11:49
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +341 $271 64¢ $218 -$53 10-18 05:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +786 $522 26¢ $201 -$322 11-05 16:14
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +520 $198 38¢ $195 -$3 11-04 01:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +242 $134 78¢ $190 +$56 10-29 22:51
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +200 $97 82¢ $164 +$67 11-08 22:33
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +181 $100 78¢ $141 +$41 11-02 20:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +405 $227 34¢ $140 -$87 11-01 21:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +171 $103 80¢ $136 +$33 11-04 04:14
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +420 $203 32¢ $135 -$68 10-19 14:07
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +151 $110 83¢ $126 +$16 10-30 07:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $80 84¢ $125 +$46 10-29 17:24
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +341 $93 36¢ $123 +$30 10-18 05:27
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +504 $113 24¢ $119 +$6 10-30 19:18