Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$494
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
54,467 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$223.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-31
last 10-23 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
93% 45% +$332
Politics
3% 47% +$152
Crypto
3% 42% +$2
Sports
1% 44% +$20
Tech
0% 57% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 1136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +148 $65 94¢ $140 +$74 08-13 18:58
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +145 $69 95¢ $138 +$69 08-27 07:58
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +150 $92 85¢ $128 +$36 10-05 17:43
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +110 $46 97¢ $107 +$61 10-12 17:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +90 $46 94¢ $84 +$39 09-21 18:14
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +90 $55 94¢ $84 +$29 09-21 16:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +90 $49 88¢ $80 +$31 08-20 23:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +70 $49 98¢ $68 +$19 09-15 17:54
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +50 $18 99¢ $50 +$31 10-04 22:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +80 $19 57¢ $46 +$27 09-28 09:35
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +50 $20 88¢ $44 +$24 10-21 10:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 84¢ $42 +$11 09-05 10:10
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +40 $24 98¢ $39 +$15 09-06 20:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +60 $21 65¢ $39 +$18 10-19 17:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +36 $18 96¢ $35 +$17 10-21 14:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +80 $57 42¢ $34 -$23 09-28 14:43
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +40 $23 85¢ $34 +$11 09-20 16:12
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +60 $12 54¢ $33 +$21 09-28 08:28
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +33 $28 98¢ $32 +$5 10-19 20:10
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +40 $28 74¢ $30 +$2 10-21 19:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +30 $23 98¢ $29 +$6 09-20 17:53
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +30 $18 96¢ $29 +$10 10-13 03:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $45 46¢ $27 -$18 09-28 11:47
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +30 $16 82¢ $25 +$8 10-05 09:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $46 35¢ $24 -$21 10-20 15:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $20 80¢ $24 +$4 09-29 19:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $49 15¢ $23 -$27 10-08 15:54
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +30 $26 76¢ $23 -$3 10-14 13:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +30 $11 68¢ $21 +$10 09-06 19:28
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $10 97¢ $20 +$10 10-21 23:50