Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$180

Unrealized P&L

+$56

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$2.47K

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 11-07 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

90% 80% +$95

Other

6% 100% +$66

Tech

4% 100% +$16

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,843	$1,554	86¢	$1.6K	+$22	10-24 20:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	+453	$416	96¢	$433	+$17	10-24 20:13
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+195	$177	91¢	$177	+$0	11-07 07:14
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+166	$154	93¢	$155	+$1	11-07 07:17
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	+130	$113	100¢	$130	+$16	10-19 10:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.6K	1,843	0	+1,843	open	—	10-24 20:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$55	11-01 19:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	5	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	No	+$42	10-26 15:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	4	$416	453	0	+453	open	—	10-24 20:13
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$177	195	0	+195	open	—	11-07 07:14
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	4	$159	200	15	+185	No	+$50	10-09 09:01
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$154	166	0	+166	open	—	11-07 07:17
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	3	$113	130	0	+130	open	—	10-19 10:32
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	2	$98	110	0	+110	Yes	+$12	06-07 13:41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$37	41	0	+41	No	+$4	06-17 18:53
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	2	$33	40	0	+40	No	+$7	06-15 18:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$30	39	0	+39	No	+$9	06-12 14:51
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	06-12 14:51
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	10-09 08:48
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-24 14:26
Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-24 14:30
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	09-24 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:17:36	Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x77351d…
11-07 07:17:30	Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x236c3f…
11-07 07:14:28	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	195	91¢	$177	0x78b73c…
11-01 19:15:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xba61a3…
11-01 19:15:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	477	95¢	$453	0x1f63b8…
11-01 19:14:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xd9e5aa…
11-01 19:14:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x12db77…
10-26 15:39:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	334	98¢	$328	0xd5ef9c…
10-24 20:13:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	512	79¢	$404	0x89c0aa…
10-24 20:13:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xe61e48…
10-24 20:13:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	334	92¢	$308	0xd68e77…
10-24 20:12:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x37c968…
10-20 21:36:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	259	96¢	$250	0xc05ea7…
10-19 10:32:21	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xfc8c89…
10-19 10:32:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xcb14d0…
10-19 10:32:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x4c67d6…
10-11 15:12:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	84¢	$173	0xe56b06…
10-11 15:12:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	91¢	$55	0xdedc7c…
10-11 15:12:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0c4f87…
10-10 20:13:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	85¢	$106	0x9a6914…
10-09 11:36:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	285	96¢	$272	0x924e66…
10-09 09:01:19	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x87166e…
10-09 08:54:52	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x6285fd…
10-09 08:54:07	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0xa8af60…
10-09 08:53:03	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	150	74¢	$110	0x778da5…
10-09 08:48:22	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x3bbf2b…
10-08 16:48:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	87¢	$296	0xb3f17e…
10-08 12:11:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	660	87¢	$574	0x01d0f4…
09-24 14:30:50	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x084bea…
09-24 14:30:15	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x77fd4e…
09-24 14:26:45	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x106621…
09-10 12:29:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	91¢	$127	0xb55fea…
06-17 18:53:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x6973bb…
06-15 18:24:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xafbb34…
06-15 17:08:54	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x7c116d…
06-12 14:51:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x67c5c4…
06-12 14:51:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x2a75b2…
06-07 13:41:25	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	BUY	99	89¢	$88	0x629c41…
06-07 13:38:15	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xec04b1…