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Realized P&L (30d)
+$33
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
37
111 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$272
$733 lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$94
10 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 11-11 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
67% 40% +$33
Crypto
32% 46% -$12
Other
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes +375 $7 5¢ $20 +$13 11-11 00:29
Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election? Yes +25 $15 76¢ $19 +$4 10-05 21:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +58 $16 26¢ $15 -$1 11-04 22:42
Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +60 $10 22¢ $14 +$3 11-10 14:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +45 $8 17¢ $8 $0 11-05 02:09
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes +10 $5 52¢ $5 $0 10-05 18:51
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 11-04 03:02
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +73 $3 5¢ $4 +$1 11-04 13:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +20 $10 16¢ $3 -$7 11-05 19:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $0 11-05 19:59