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Realized P&L (7d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
32
106 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$250
$712 lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$48
8 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 11-06 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 33% -$5
Crypto
33% 46% -$12
Other
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +58 $16 26¢ $15 -$1 11-04 22:42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +45 $8 18¢ $8 $0 11-05 02:09
Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +40 $6 18¢ $7 +$2 11-06 11:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +20 $10 32¢ $6 -$3 11-05 19:57
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 11-04 03:02
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +73 $3 5¢ $4 +$1 11-04 13:51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $2 19¢ $2 $0 11-05 19:59
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +81 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 11-04 19:06