Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

111

111 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$733

$733 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$109

11 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 11-11 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

67% 40% +$33

Crypto

32% 46% -$12

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	+375	$7	5¢	$20	+$13	11-11 00:29
Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	Yes	+25	$15	76¢	$19	+$4	10-05 21:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+58	$16	26¢	$15	-$1	11-04 22:42
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	+20	$15	72¢	$14	$0	11-04 22:16
Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+60	$10	22¢	$14	+$3	11-10 14:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+45	$8	17¢	$8	$0	11-05 02:09
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	+10	$5	52¢	$5	$0	10-05 18:51
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+5	$4	100¢	$5	+$1	11-04 03:02
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+73	$3	5¢	$4	+$1	11-04 13:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+20	$10	18¢	$4	-$6	11-05 19:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+10	$2	18¢	$2	$0	11-05 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	10	$123	158	158	+0	Yes	+$44	11-04 06:11
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	5	$98	55	55	+0	open	—	11-04 02:54
Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	7	$58	100	0	+100	open	—	10-05 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$45	34	34	+0	Down	-$5	10-05 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$43	41	41	+0	Up	+$3	10-05 21:23
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	5	$43	65	0	+65	open	—	10-05 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$27	25	25	+0	Up	-$1	10-05 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$22	292	292	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 20:22
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	3	$20	18	10	+8	open	—	11-10 20:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$16	58	0	+58	open	—	11-04 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$15	18	18	+0	Down	-$5	10-05 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$15	136	0	+136	Down	-$4	10-05 21:48
Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	3	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	10-05 21:10
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	2	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	11-04 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	10-05 21:07
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	3	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	10-05 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	10-05 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-05 22:12
Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	4	$10	60	0	+60	open	—	11-10 14:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	11-05 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	-$1	10-05 22:05
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	4	$9	29	0	+29	open	—	10-05 18:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	11-04 02:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$8	45	0	+45	open	—	11-05 02:09
Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	10-05 18:48
Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	2	$7	375	0	+375	open	—	11-11 00:29
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	1	$6	81	0	+81	No	-$6	11-04 19:06
Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	2	$6	25	0	+25	open	—	10-05 19:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	5	$6	185	0	+185	No	-$6	11-04 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 00:29:36	Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0xe6bd3f…
11-10 20:32:49	Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2da864…
11-10 14:47:40	Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xa39723…
11-10 04:11:09	Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	235	1¢	$3	0x1ce72a…
11-09 22:08:52	Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x49fd74…
11-06 11:51:09	Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xd02f5b…
11-05 20:10:51	Will PSOE receive 30% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xf80de0…
11-05 19:59:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd32eef…
11-05 19:57:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0756c9…
11-05 02:09:48	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xf5b125…
11-04 22:42:57	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xca50e4…
11-04 22:16:28	Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xd6bb6e…
11-04 19:11:12	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x3b7cb8…
11-04 19:06:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0x385392…
11-04 13:51:48	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x34e866…
11-04 13:51:33	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x8ffe79…
11-04 06:11:36	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	72¢	$66	0x619fb9…
11-04 05:57:22	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2b15a1…
11-04 05:51:42	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xc2e941…
11-04 05:43:34	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x09b4e8…
11-04 05:42:49	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	27¢	$18	0xe328ba…
11-04 05:42:30	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x3a8bbb…
11-04 05:42:18	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x435148…
11-04 05:42:13	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x4d4538…
11-04 05:38:49	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xfacec6…
11-04 05:38:15	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x86cb6f…
11-04 05:07:01	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe6aeff…
11-04 03:08:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xf54274…
11-04 03:08:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xef2a6b…
11-04 03:08:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x932e82…
11-04 03:03:42	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x6d2080…
11-04 03:02:25	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x013578…
11-04 02:59:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x074cd8…
11-04 02:59:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe19c2b…
11-04 02:54:49	Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xe64c7c…
11-04 02:37:52	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x8217bd…
11-04 02:36:25	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c915d…
10-05 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb73cb6…
10-05 22:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xde77e2…
10-05 22:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x04e6c9…
10-05 22:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xc7226d…
10-05 22:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x97f473…
10-05 22:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xff3570…
10-05 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4dfffc…
10-05 22:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe82750…
10-05 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x169c69…
10-05 22:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x19114d…
10-05 22:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8de3ce…
10-05 22:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x0f1d95…
10-05 22:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3e6464…
10-05 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xfe5b02…
10-05 21:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xfc8265…
10-05 21:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2f02f0…
10-05 21:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x08e2ed…
10-05 21:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x95113e…
10-05 21:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb0ce5e…
10-05 21:42:43	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1ca460…
10-05 21:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x13c43b…
10-05 21:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb9bdd5…
10-05 21:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x789bfc…
10-05 21:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb7a201…
10-05 21:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc89320…
10-05 21:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xd41962…
10-05 21:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7f9a3a…
10-05 21:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4a9001…
10-05 21:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x67208f…
10-05 21:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3d0d1d…
10-05 21:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0xee5755…
10-05 21:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x185f96…
10-05 21:10:58	Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4e327a…
10-05 21:08:35	Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xedfc00…
10-05 21:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xe53ed9…
10-05 21:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc2a23…
10-05 20:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0cdff8…
10-05 20:53:25	Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5a435d…
10-05 20:44:01	Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf05d36…
10-05 20:34:07	Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa18992…
10-05 20:32:19	Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x6d9bba…
10-05 20:30:20	Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x7a8fd8…
10-05 20:30:19	Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc0d81f…
10-05 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xdea01d…
10-05 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xadc199…
10-05 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	232	4¢	$9	0x79ff6f…
10-05 20:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x86b436…
10-05 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x127703…
10-05 19:20:20	Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x0689d5…
10-05 18:58:32	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x07b7e0…
10-05 18:56:16	Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd7aa32…
10-05 18:53:37	Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xc2272e…
10-05 18:51:23	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x29e08d…
10-05 18:49:31	Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x70d081…
10-05 18:48:46	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x85f18f…
10-05 18:46:58	Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xab0582…
10-05 18:43:52	Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2f1cb3…
10-05 18:43:07	Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x5815f8…
10-05 18:43:07	Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x003158…
10-05 18:42:53	Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8233ed…
10-05 18:33:17	Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xfd7e6f…
10-05 18:25:28	Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2eb1b0…
10-05 18:22:04	Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x958c92…