Frosty-Highland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

170

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$382

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-17 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

40% 65% +$92

Politics

36% 81% -$185

Crypto

18% 62% -$7

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+204	$190	98¢	$200	+$11	05-25 15:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+178	$165	98¢	$175	+$10	06-18 15:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	+204	$14	2¢	$4	-$11	06-05 13:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+178	$11	2¢	$3	-$8	06-22 08:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	25	$4.4K	2,372	2,175	+197	No	$0	01-24 01:21
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	7	$2.7K	1,344	1,344	+0	No	+$1	04-19 01:52
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$1.9K	975	975	+0	No	+$1	01-10 08:32
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$1.8K	1,089	734	+355	Yes	+$4	01-25 12:08
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	9	$1.4K	720	720	+0	No	-$10	02-06 05:58
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	6	$1.4K	703	703	+0	No	$0	02-13 12:59
trump out as president by march 31	4	$1.4K	711	711	+0	No	+$2	02-10 06:54
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	5	$1.3K	643	643	+0	No	+$1	01-09 16:41
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	1	$1.2K	1,236	0	+1,236	Yes	+$10	04-19 07:56
will sex be said at the oscars	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$1	03-16 06:10
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	4	$983	493	493	+0	No	+$0	01-03 06:53
will trump say favored nation during no tax on tips roundtable	16	$976	262	722	-460	No	+$6	04-17 04:20
will edgex launch a token in 2025	3	$893	311	583	-272	Yes	$0	01-02 03:29
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	4	$868	511	363	+148	Yes	-$1	03-02 13:15
iran strike on us military by february 28	2	$727	367	367	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 10:28
will competent be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	4	$726	729	0	+729	No	+$2	04-18 03:03
will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	5	$723	364	364	+0	No	+$4	04-18 02:26
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	2	$707	359	359	+0	No	+$1	02-03 08:18
will trump say job 12 times during no tax on tips roundtable	7	$706	418	300	+118	No	+$11	04-17 08:12
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$705	354	354	+0	Yes	+$2	02-21 08:33
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	3	$705	353	353	+0	No	+$0	02-19 10:07
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$701	353	353	+0	No	+$0	02-13 06:26
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	6	$700	351	351	+0	No	+$0	01-09 05:57
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$699	350	350	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 09:26
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	6	$698	350	350	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 12:34
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$697	351	351	+0	No	+$0	01-13 13:01
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$695	350	350	+0	No	+$0	02-08 13:16
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$692	349	349	+0	No	+$1	02-06 17:40
Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	20	$649	1,486	1,444	+42	open	—	09-17 04:21
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$624	313	313	+0	No	+$0	01-05 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:21:52	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xa6dab8…
09-17 04:21:52	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x12e1af…
09-17 04:21:19	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x114d7b…
09-17 04:21:10	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x2326f6…
09-17 04:18:10	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	476	20¢	$95	0x11e2f2…
09-17 04:14:46	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x11af34…
09-17 04:13:40	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	56	29¢	$16	0x6082bd…
09-17 04:13:30	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	126	31¢	$39	0x3a5676…
09-17 03:55:00	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x38ebf0…
09-17 03:37:15	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x7d5911…
09-17 03:37:06	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	167	33¢	$56	0x143055…
09-17 03:18:57	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x892106…
09-17 03:18:46	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	260	24¢	$63	0xc58dbb…
09-17 03:14:24	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3947ce…
09-17 03:13:28	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0xe1b193…
09-17 03:10:19	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1f5eeb…
09-17 03:10:10	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	70	33¢	$23	0xbc3a8f…
09-17 03:09:54	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	160	33¢	$53	0x8d2f2d…
09-17 03:09:54	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x479c21…
09-17 03:08:13	Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,332	16¢	$216	0xdca2eb…
09-14 08:34:48	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	41¢	$45	0x3f2751…
09-14 08:01:13	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0xc2b6a5…
09-14 08:00:40	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x176941…
09-14 07:59:46	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	45¢	$83	0x77eee4…
09-14 07:32:33	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x1e8509…
09-14 07:29:25	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xeefee7…
09-14 07:00:33	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	52¢	$40	0xcc2653…
09-14 07:00:33	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x04347f…
09-14 06:44:03	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	45¢	$76	0x251307…
09-14 06:42:25	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0xd8bf74…
09-14 06:42:22	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x593682…
09-14 06:42:22	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	33¢	$154	0x412b04…
09-14 06:42:22	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x0dbe75…
09-14 06:09:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$86	0x7ee811…
09-05 20:35:54	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4d118a…
08-20 15:51:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0x5c4941…
07-23 15:13:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9e7492…
07-22 03:22:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdb664a…
07-22 03:21:52	will wti dip to 55 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x070f3b…
07-16 02:41:26	will wti dip to 55 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfd1182…
07-16 02:40:47	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9f666b…
07-16 02:40:04	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe3a5c4…
07-08 13:12:43	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3c915a…
06-29 14:54:46	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x907e6f…
06-25 13:00:23	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xfa08d4…
06-25 12:59:40	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x7ff1ec…
06-25 12:59:23	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	BUY	120	38¢	$46	0xa02132…
06-25 11:53:13	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	125	62¢	$78	0xc37de0…
06-25 11:53:01	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xa803aa…
06-25 11:51:32	Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xad02e1…
06-25 10:21:32	Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	12¢	$18	0x5d3c1b…
06-25 10:19:43	Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	350	78¢	$273	0xcec26d…
06-25 09:41:11	Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0xf58728…
06-25 09:41:02	Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	9¢	$28	0xb92700…
06-25 09:39:50	Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	8¢	$13	0xff33a9…
06-25 09:13:31	Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x29d38f…
06-25 09:11:14	Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xec71df…
06-25 09:07:10	Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x4b4267…
06-25 09:02:26	Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x20c958…
06-25 08:45:43	Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	280	55¢	$154	0x56df78…
06-25 03:35:44	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xe5f3d8…
06-25 03:34:44	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d78c0…
06-25 02:51:13	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x8e6038…
06-25 02:51:13	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x4a33f9…
06-25 02:40:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa11e88…
06-23 12:40:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	196	99¢	$194	0x98315a…
06-22 08:35:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	6¢	$11	0x7b24c7…
06-18 15:34:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	178	93¢	$165	0x3302f2…
06-14 11:39:00	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x6ad815…
06-12 04:07:31	Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x1cf1c1…
06-12 04:02:33	Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 10–20%?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0xba8554…
06-12 04:01:52	Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x8327ec…
06-11 16:37:15	Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x0eae3d…
06-11 16:35:18	Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 40–50%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1ae587…
06-11 01:05:03	Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd1c59a…
06-10 14:53:48	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	460	0¢	$0	0x8babe8…
06-10 14:53:27	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	1,039	0¢	$1	0x14ea90…
06-10 14:53:13	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	249	0¢	$0	0xd0b5bd…
06-10 14:51:10	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	460	0¢	$0	0x18e42e…
06-10 14:46:10	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	540	0¢	$1	0x82f682…
06-10 14:25:31	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x0e10c0…
06-10 14:20:52	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xc1fbb2…
06-10 14:19:01	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x9f8dc2…
06-10 14:18:19	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	260	0¢	$0	0x76af92…
06-10 14:17:49	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	260	0¢	$0	0xfacecb…
06-10 14:16:42	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xb5211a…
06-10 14:16:25	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x5643b2…
06-10 12:05:36	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 250 high 20260608191407795	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xb03f75…
06-10 12:01:21	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 250 high 20260608191407795	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x4d589b…
06-10 07:43:31	Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x484af7…
06-10 07:18:03	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x351911…
06-10 07:01:04	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb1f599…
06-10 06:50:07	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x406ede…
06-10 06:35:34	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xa3d9c2…
06-10 06:33:34	Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x2ee329…
06-10 06:14:49	Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd33e46…
06-10 05:29:49	Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 10–20%?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5d4896…
06-10 05:25:43	Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 10–20%?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x24842d…
06-10 05:23:19	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2652dd…
06-10 05:17:25	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x46c850…