Grimy-Trolley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

134

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$34.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 97% -$36

Other

8% 84% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	3	$677	339	339	+0	No	+$0	04-08 10:16
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	4	$459	232	232	+0	No	+$0	02-25 01:32
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	2	$458	230	230	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 16:27
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	2	$458	229	229	+0	No	+$0	02-20 05:50
bitcoin above 74k on february 19	2	$456	229	229	+0	No	+$1	02-18 23:36
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	4	$453	230	230	+0	No	+$0	02-13 18:17
bitcoin above 74k on february 11	2	$446	226	226	+0	No	+$5	02-11 02:01
bitcoin above 82k on february 10	2	$441	221	221	+0	No	+$0	02-10 13:41
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	4	$440	228	228	+0	No	+$7	07-13 04:53
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	2	$434	220	220	+0	No	+$2	02-02 07:11
bitcoin above 88k on february 1	2	$429	215	215	+0	No	+$1	02-01 04:45
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$428	214	214	+0	No	+$0	01-31 11:52
bitcoin above 96k on january 30	2	$427	214	214	+0	No	+$1	01-30 05:01
bitcoin above 96k on january 28	2	$426	213	213	+0	No	+$0	01-28 07:06
bitcoin above 96k on january 22	4	$423	212	212	+0	No	+$0	01-22 02:03
bitcoin above 98k on january 21	2	$420	211	211	+0	No	+$2	01-21 01:11
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	2	$416	210	210	+0	No	+$2	01-20 06:47
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	2	$412	207	207	+0	Yes	+$1	01-14 13:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	2	$411	206	206	+0	No	+$1	05-20 05:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$410	206	206	+0	No	+$0	05-27 00:52
bitcoin above 96k on january 12	2	$407	205	205	+0	No	+$3	01-12 07:50
bitcoin above 96k on january 9	2	$400	202	202	+0	No	+$3	01-09 08:03
bitcoin above 90k on january 4	3	$390	207	207	+0	Yes	+$1	01-04 10:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$372	187	187	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 13:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 10	1	$338	339	0	+339	No	+$0	04-09 00:15
will bitcoin reach 76k march 30 april 5	1	$337	338	0	+338	No	+$1	04-04 00:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	1	$337	339	0	+339	No	+$3	04-22 02:15
bitcoin above 84k on april 21	1	$336	337	0	+337	No	+$0	04-20 01:32
bitcoin above 76k on april 3	1	$336	337	0	+337	No	+$1	04-02 01:14
bitcoin above 66k on april 18	1	$336	336	0	+336	Yes	+$0	04-17 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 11:54:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe65857…
11-08 01:53:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x516d5c…
11-04 10:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$102	0x874734…
11-03 13:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xf22b4b…
10-31 21:55:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x69a8a9…
10-30 12:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x021aec…
10-30 04:57:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0xc4e258…
10-29 08:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x01a8d3…
10-28 14:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x4835cc…
10-28 09:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x0e7f50…
10-27 04:05:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x6ea92f…
10-25 05:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	165	96¢	$159	0x814729…
10-25 05:12:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x9befe0…
10-23 21:56:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x371d03…
10-22 00:19:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x66c91f…
10-21 06:06:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4fc3a7…
10-21 06:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa550dd…
10-21 06:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x386af6…
10-21 06:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x368028…
10-20 10:27:29	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0xe31eac…
10-19 23:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$154	0x856350…
10-15 12:37:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0x4c0f3b…
10-15 00:03:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0xdb738d…
10-13 00:13:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xe2044f…
10-09 04:42:52	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf8a089…
10-06 01:44:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x6f1e2e…
10-03 02:18:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0xced65b…
10-01 05:37:14	bitcoin above 76k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xc62a0f…
09-26 01:30:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0xdb031c…
09-23 01:53:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x37e1f4…
09-21 05:02:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x764a3f…
09-18 23:49:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x989045…
09-17 01:47:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0xd93192…
09-15 00:12:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xac247a…
09-13 04:00:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 7-13?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xb3487f…
09-11 13:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xddaf01…
09-06 23:56:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x211023…
09-02 23:46:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xbd0777…
08-30 00:02:03	will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x1818dd…
08-27 11:29:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0x99ef73…
08-25 02:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x97cbad…
08-18 00:54:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0x7a821d…
08-17 04:23:51	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xf7ee25…
08-15 16:29:42	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xcaa95f…
08-14 08:36:45	ethereum above 2000 on august 15 2026	No	BUY	237	98¢	$233	0xf4d4ce…
08-13 08:37:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x9bc64a…
08-11 00:09:16	ethereum above 2000 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	233	99¢	$232	0x2d28f4…
08-08 00:14:43	will bitcoin dip to 56k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x542fdd…
08-05 22:17:11	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xfc900a…
08-05 05:26:51	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xaa7b13…
08-03 04:24:56	ethereum above 1600 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x03a6a9…
08-01 10:26:15	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x6b712d…
07-14 04:36:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	229	97¢	$223	0xd4717f…
07-13 04:53:28	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	195	98¢	$191	0x68f5b6…
07-13 04:49:53	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xf8ab38…
07-04 19:03:10	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x6a21ad…
07-04 13:46:47	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	174	95¢	$165	0x748c36…
07-03 09:19:53	ethereum above 1600 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x955ea6…
07-01 06:39:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x5a0981…
06-21 11:18:19	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0xd31f60…
06-19 05:54:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	215	98¢	$212	0xdcad86…
06-14 23:40:48	bitcoin above 60k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x69a65d…
06-13 01:55:54	bitcoin above 58k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x466ba3…
06-10 01:49:07	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xff2dba…
06-05 11:53:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xeca7da…
06-05 11:53:30	bitcoin above 80k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0xe39f2e…
06-03 14:14:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xb01910…
06-03 05:01:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x619580…
05-27 04:02:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	208	98¢	$205	0x43a730…
05-27 00:52:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x2aaba8…
05-22 04:23:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x07d626…
05-21 02:05:44	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcb1dab…
05-20 10:40:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0xf09b59…
05-20 05:42:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x7d2d78…
05-19 14:03:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0x7c7543…
05-18 00:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x266e1c…
05-16 10:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x08dd50…
05-16 10:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x557fbd…
05-16 10:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x30e954…
05-16 10:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0x182d56…
05-16 09:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x026039…
05-15 13:42:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	187	100¢	$186	0x59051a…
05-15 00:36:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0xcbc26c…
05-08 00:28:20	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0xb3c964…
05-05 03:00:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0xd21868…
05-02 00:59:50	Ethereum above 2,305 on May 1, 9PM ET?	Yes	BUY	234	65¢	$152	0x33b92c…
05-02 00:59:34	Ethereum above 2,275 on May 1, 9PM ET?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xfba9c2…
04-22 02:15:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	339	99¢	$337	0x22a0ab…
04-20 01:32:56	bitcoin above 84k on april 21	No	BUY	337	100¢	$336	0x1e8ce6…
04-17 00:56:14	bitcoin above 66k on april 18	Yes	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0xd5f2e6…
04-15 00:25:28	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	Yes	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0x583164…
04-13 01:36:47	bitcoin above 60k on april 14	Yes	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x9559e4…
04-11 23:52:59	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x682d79…
04-11 23:51:21	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	495	1¢	$4	0xaedceb…
04-11 23:49:13	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	178	1¢	$2	0xbf2dd2…
04-11 23:49:11	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xd121f4…
04-11 23:48:43	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x895c5d…
04-11 23:48:09	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4fc730…
04-11 23:48:05	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcbd210…
04-11 23:48:05	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	187	1¢	$2	0x5a66ef…