Realized P&L (30d)
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$230
Hit rate
7.4%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
49
1,783 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.80K
$265.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$320
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-06 01:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
95% 28% +$13,690
Other
5% 25% -$1,475
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +431 -$469 24¢ $102 +$570 11-05 18:09
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -3,368 $116 2¢ $-69 -$185 11-05 23:39
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +954 $100 6¢ $62 -$38 11-05 18:27
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? No +713 $109 6¢ $39 -$70 11-06 01:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -240 -$9 12¢ $-30 -$21 08-02 08:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +412 $30 4¢ $19 -$11 11-05 23:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +44 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 11-03 09:13
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -0 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 20:55