Realized P&L
+$3.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.56K
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
234
Trades
1,197
lifetime
Volume
$66.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$1.77K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 10-25 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
88% 29% +$2,358
Politics
9% 54% +$2,114
Tech
2% 50% -$471
Sports
1% 0% -$410
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +9,364 $811 3¢ $309 -$502 08-31 01:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,782 $676 16¢ $276 -$399 08-15 08:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +6,480 $304 4¢ $249 -$55 08-26 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,670 $501 12¢ $192 -$309 08-22 15:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes +631 $119 22¢ $142 +$23 06-28 20:33
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +5,000 $90 3¢ $140 +$50 08-27 22:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +200 $100 55¢ $109 +$9 09-01 08:26
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +4,425 $263 2¢ $104 -$159 08-27 22:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +290 $102 36¢ $103 +$1 09-01 20:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765 Yes +960 $202 6¢ $62 -$139 08-22 23:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,180 $201 3¢ $38 -$162 08-16 04:00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +290 $206 4¢ $12 -$194 05-24 12:56
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +7,732 $39 0¢ $12 -$27 09-13 02:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,180 $400 1¢ $9 -$391 06-09 18:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 Yes +1,500 $315 0¢ $5 -$310 08-14 19:03
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +2,968 $6 0¢ $4 -$2 09-13 02:21