Physical-Radar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$99

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,187 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$25

$9.87K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$438

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-10 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 79% -$29

Other

7% 80% -$24

Politics

5% 45% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-218	-$201	99¢	$-216	-$15	06-04 04:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-172	-$30	66¢	$-113	-$83	06-05 19:23
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	+62	$60	97¢	$60	$0	11-10 22:56
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	+52	$50	96¢	$50	$0	11-04 22:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$525	606	1,047	-441	Yes	+$125	01-21 03:17
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	7	$525	284	284	+0	No	+$25	03-30 05:16
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$285	194	100	+94	No	+$9	03-30 19:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in september 2026	2	$203	108	108	+0	No	+$3	09-04 17:58
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$201	0	218	-218	open	—	06-04 04:28
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	1	$200	417	0	+417	Yes	-$200	06-04 04:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	6	$200	257	0	+257	No	+$57	02-17 22:15
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	3	$186	148	46	+102	No	+$7	01-22 23:40
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$174	166	166	+0	$80k	+$1	03-13 15:58
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$162	84	84	+0	No	+$4	05-18 02:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$158	137	102	+35	Yes	-$42	04-08 05:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	7	$155	85	85	+0	No	+$3	02-16 16:30
will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 1	2	$151	85	85	+0	No	+$12	07-01 14:29
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	6	$145	133	31	+103	No	+$18	03-30 19:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$124	669	0	+669	Yes	-$124	02-05 19:05
will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	07-11 21:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$101	111	0	+111	No	+$10	09-08 20:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?	1	$88	91	0	+91	Yes	-$88	06-01 20:08
bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	1	$86	86	0	+86	Yes	+$0	07-07 05:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$83	88	0	+88	No	+$5	05-18 02:31
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	2	$82	50	34	+16	Yes	+$2	02-10 05:32
bitcoin above 58k on july 2 2026	1	$81	86	0	+86	Yes	+$4	07-01 19:39
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	06-09 22:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	7	$81	48	48	+0	Down	+$1	07-12 20:34
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	1	$80	117	0	+117	No	+$36	08-02 22:05
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	1	$77	82	0	+82	No	+$5	07-16 19:59
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	2	$77	38	38	+0	Yes	+$0	01-08 15:24
bitcoin above 96k on january 7	2	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	01-07 09:55
bitcoin above 96k on january 16	1	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$1	01-16 15:52
will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 30	1	$62	69	0	+69	No	+$8	06-30 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 22:56:04	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xacabad…
11-04 22:24:48	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x819bf3…
11-04 22:24:43	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6c7a57…
10-23 20:21:50	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xdaa7b9…
10-23 20:21:06	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x706cdb…
10-23 20:17:20	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x02b448…
10-23 20:17:15	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x501aa0…
09-08 20:37:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0xdf6e0f…
09-04 17:58:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in september 2026	No	SELL	108	96¢	$103	0xc1eec3…
09-03 21:20:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5915e3…
08-02 22:05:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	117	69¢	$80	0x440876…
07-24 22:14:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x9a3547…
07-24 22:14:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x705fd7…
07-24 22:13:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x6d5bee…
07-24 22:13:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd6e1cd…
07-24 22:13:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x3941fb…
07-24 22:12:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x288f5e…
07-24 22:12:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xb8834c…
07-24 22:11:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x36306d…
07-24 22:08:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xa45f50…
07-24 22:08:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x08e6cd…
07-24 22:07:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xccb1d9…
07-24 22:07:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x134c09…
07-24 22:07:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x547713…
07-24 22:04:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x804b04…
07-24 22:03:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x66b5f0…
07-24 22:03:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x54bb15…
07-24 22:03:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x2f8410…
07-24 22:03:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xcd0dfc…
07-24 22:02:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xfa8cb2…
07-24 22:02:00	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfb1c6a…
07-24 21:58:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98c5f0…
07-24 21:58:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x186140…
07-18 22:48:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe74f22…
07-18 22:44:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5cb934…
07-18 22:43:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbad6ff…
07-18 22:43:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0x1b26b6…
07-18 22:40:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x10bf40…
07-18 22:40:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x39f3a7…
07-18 20:11:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xda35ba…
07-18 20:07:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x02ee49…
07-18 20:04:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0xa42b93…
07-18 20:04:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc8c924…
07-18 19:07:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc01167…
07-18 19:06:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeb2f2e…
07-18 19:06:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x51ff92…
07-18 19:06:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbcdd9f…
07-18 19:04:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x132034…
07-18 19:02:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x5b10e7…
07-18 19:02:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x958a71…
07-18 19:01:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x290266…
07-18 19:01:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x794c62…
07-18 18:59:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0793ff…
07-18 18:58:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x3bd440…
07-18 18:57:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2c4d47…
07-18 18:54:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83e11e…
07-18 18:54:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8660e7…
07-16 19:59:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0xd4f3e2…
07-12 20:34:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x20555b…
07-12 20:33:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6033f4…
07-12 20:33:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x5970f5…
07-12 20:33:17	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf1b4d7…
07-12 20:32:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0xefc2da…
07-12 20:31:56	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x45529d…
07-12 20:31:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8deca2…
07-12 20:29:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x0973af…
07-12 20:27:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf2b99c…
07-12 20:24:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x88891c…
07-12 20:21:38	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x275725…
07-12 20:20:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdd4edf…
07-12 20:19:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfc9a95…
07-12 20:19:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x2abc88…
07-12 20:15:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf31019…
07-12 20:15:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x52eef2…
07-11 21:59:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x08f325…
07-11 21:58:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x24ebc9…
07-11 21:54:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xab0838…
07-11 21:52:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x862079…
07-11 21:52:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd1cdd1…
07-11 21:49:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0e65a6…
07-11 21:48:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd35e83…
07-11 21:47:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x4aa79a…
07-11 21:46:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd6acd2…
07-11 21:45:28	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x81174b…
07-09 04:12:19	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0567c6…
07-07 05:00:22	bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	86	99¢	$86	0x830d02…
07-02 22:23:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa5b846…
07-02 22:22:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x539892…
07-02 22:21:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x65979e…
07-02 22:19:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xf22378…
07-02 22:19:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xf3871b…
07-02 22:19:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xbf8ad9…
07-02 22:18:47	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7eec64…
07-02 22:13:44	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x2b394f…
07-02 22:09:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7817e7…
07-02 22:09:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x26be60…
07-02 22:08:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x555706…
07-02 22:08:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x110430…
07-02 22:08:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x774777…
07-02 21:36:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x703490…