Splendid-Grade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$201

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

113

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

$259

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-24 03:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

65% 97% +$140

Crypto

20% 100% +$20

Politics

9% 100% +$14

Tech

6% 100% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No		+260	$259	100¢	$259	+$0	10-22 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	2	$1.6K	795	795	+0	No	+$1	03-09 17:28
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18 game2	2	$1.2K	680	680	+0	BNK FEARX	+$122	03-18 17:03
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18 game1	7	$1.0K	558	558	+0	BNK FEARX	+$100	03-18 16:17
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	1	$928	929	0	+929	No	+$1	05-01 00:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$904	930	0	+930	Yes	+$26	04-09 18:25
xrp above 1pt7 on april 8	1	$899	900	0	+900	No	+$1	04-06 07:15
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	4	$780	786	0	+786	No	+$6	03-06 10:13
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game2	2	$748	388	388	+0	Gen.G	+$11	03-19 14:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$455	239	239	+0	open	—	10-19 11:45
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	1	$412	463	0	+463	Gen.G	+$51	03-16 11:50
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game3	4	$405	300	300	+0	G2 Esports	-$3	03-20 14:00
trump out as president by march 31	4	$404	409	0	+409	No	+$5	03-11 07:58
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	3	$401	201	201	+0	No	+$1	09-02 14:16
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	2	$361	187	187	+0	No	+$12	03-16 11:34
open above 1 on august 21 2026	1	$351	351	0	+351	Yes	+$0	08-18 06:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	05-17 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$329	330	0	+330	No	+$1	05-16 09:49
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $172 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$325	335	0	+335	No	+$10	05-02 03:12
will nvda dip to 136 in march	1	$309	313	0	+313	No	+$4	03-23 07:43
xrp above 1pt6 on august 5 2026	1	$306	306	0	+306	No	+$0	08-02 07:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$259	260	0	+260	open	—	10-22 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$236	236	0	+236	No	+$0	05-25 10:50
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $142 in May?	1	$235	239	0	+239	No	+$4	05-26 07:48
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$223	223	0	+223	No	+$0	08-08 04:39
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$222	223	0	+223	No	+$1	07-03 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$218	220	0	+220	No	+$2	06-21 03:45
open above 5pt5 on august 14 2026	1	$217	217	0	+217	No	+$0	08-12 06:17
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 15?	2	$215	215	0	+215	No	+$0	07-12 23:33
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game1	1	$207	300	0	+300	G2 Esports	-$207	03-20 05:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 16, 2026?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	06-16 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:20:53	Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xab4649…
10-23 22:19:54	will ng reach 3 70 by october 26 2026	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x757515…
10-23 21:20:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x998568…
10-22 16:19:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xab328b…
10-19 11:45:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	239	98¢	$233	0x1a989f…
10-19 07:04:56	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 19 above $120?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd62240…
10-19 07:03:35	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd59476…
10-09 23:41:55	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x112d8a…
10-09 23:41:32	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xdeb921…
10-09 23:41:20	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x989568…
10-09 23:41:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xb51016…
09-10 05:53:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	239	93¢	$222	0x213d37…
09-03 06:25:25	Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x90dc8d…
09-03 06:21:45	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0xdb56c7…
09-02 14:16:21	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x66d4a5…
09-02 11:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc966be…
09-02 10:26:58	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x04d818…
09-02 08:56:07	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x867cae…
08-22 07:10:34	will trump meet with keir starmer in august 2026 20260731154202613	No	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0x511e2f…
08-22 07:07:19	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x595bc7…
08-18 06:19:36	open above 1 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	351	100¢	$351	0x033aa9…
08-12 06:17:13	open above 5pt5 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x3d0742…
08-11 03:34:39	will ng dip to 2 00 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x88ee4e…
08-08 04:39:06	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x91d093…
08-06 06:12:38	will ng reach 3 30 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5cfad4…
08-06 06:10:20	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 7?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x4e3271…
08-06 06:08:47	xrp above 1pt6 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x965b60…
08-02 07:09:17	xrp above 1pt6 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x9a0b58…
08-02 07:08:36	xrp above 1pt6 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x0446a6…
07-27 15:13:51	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7b7e49…
07-27 15:12:03	spcx above 200 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x054bbf…
07-27 15:10:45	aapl above 240 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82d4ea…
07-27 15:08:34	will open dip to 1 00 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf286b…
07-27 15:08:16	will open reach 7 00 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b11df…
07-27 15:07:21	tsla above 420 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x4d0344…
07-26 07:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xf0209f…
07-23 03:13:52	will xrp reach 1pt8 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x03894d…
07-23 03:13:27	will xrp dip to 0pt4 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46f6b2…
07-23 03:13:13	will xrp dip to 0pt5 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x5516a6…
07-17 22:42:49	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcce96a…
07-17 22:42:27	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x0bd9bc…
07-17 22:40:48	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe337c2…
07-16 05:37:07	Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa9ee5a…
07-16 05:36:55	Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x97298b…
07-16 05:36:41	Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2ee1bc…
07-16 05:34:23	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0be8b6…
07-12 23:34:37	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 17?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x723e9f…
07-12 23:34:19	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 17?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x80a9d4…
07-12 23:33:50	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7aaca4…
07-12 23:33:04	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 15?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x75aa7a…
07-12 23:32:50	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa171d…
07-09 06:14:35	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d8211…
07-09 06:12:23	will open reach 6 25 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc15eca…
07-07 06:18:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xd4b60e…
07-07 06:17:37	will ng dip to 2 60 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x3f5c11…
07-07 06:15:58	open above 7pt5 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd5a36f…
07-07 06:15:38	open above 2pt5 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0c1f4a…
07-03 07:25:47	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0xf685a6…
07-03 07:24:50	xrp above 1pt6 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xfabdc0…
06-24 01:39:05	will nvda reach 248 in june 2026	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x1f8ca1…
06-24 01:38:08	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	134	98¢	$131	0x736f8a…
06-23 03:29:05	will tsla reach 480 in june 2026	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x3260c2…
06-23 02:44:52	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x43c3af…
06-23 01:57:46	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0x2d6bb5…
06-23 01:50:10	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0201d0…
06-23 01:50:01	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x64a659…
06-23 01:48:26	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x60d67f…
06-23 01:38:20	open above 7pt5 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3b5de…
06-21 03:45:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x8396a6…
06-21 03:45:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xe1bc7f…
06-17 06:24:05	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x982f3b…
06-16 21:15:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xefcd07…
06-15 09:01:34	will xrp reach 1pt9 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x01dfdc…
06-13 02:56:04	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x590a83…
06-13 02:55:19	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x41a6e0…
06-13 02:15:04	will ng dip to 2 50 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x366fe5…
06-13 02:14:25	will ng dip to 2 50 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f63e4…
06-12 10:24:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x221f35…
06-12 10:02:09	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x123949…
06-08 21:26:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x6c6226…
06-08 11:34:43	xrp above 1pt7 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x87c64d…
06-08 01:17:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x204611…
06-08 00:50:31	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc6b30a…
06-02 09:15:36	open above 8 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf24b4…
06-02 09:15:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x7bb54b…
06-02 09:13:44	Will Solana reach $150 June 1-7?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xbc60f2…
05-31 09:21:10	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xda0afb…
05-31 09:20:38	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xa8d14a…
05-30 08:13:08	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x549054…
05-26 07:48:19	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $142 in May?	No	BUY	239	98¢	$235	0x2b801c…
05-26 07:45:19	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x53cf49…
05-25 10:51:21	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5370d1…
05-25 10:50:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x632596…
05-20 09:52:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe04256…
05-20 09:52:45	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 23?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb0f181…
05-19 08:14:57	Will XRP reach $2.00 May 18-24?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa28e4f…
05-19 08:14:16	Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 18-24?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x56f12d…
05-18 13:16:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xe20ef0…
05-18 13:15:05	Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x94cd9a…
05-18 12:04:04	Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7ed5c…