Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$630

Unrealized P&L

-$297

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$4.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$63

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-15

last 09-15 16:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

58% 14% -$347

Politics

42% 21% -$267

Sports

1% 33% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+841	$34	2¢	$17	-$17	09-11 18:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+62	$10	18¢	$12	+$2	07-09 16:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+77	$10	14¢	$10	+$0	07-09 16:46
russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	+358	$42	3¢	$9	-$33	06-26 20:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	+328	$34	2¢	$8	-$26	07-26 20:35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	+166	$225	4¢	$6	-$219	09-01 02:21
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+45	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	07-09 16:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	17	$486	2,647	2,480	+166	open	—	09-01 02:21
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	2	$420	4,436	0	+4,436	No	-$420	07-23 11:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$395	579	579	+0	Yes	+$195	06-19 02:12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	17	$342	10,455	0	+10,455	No	-$342	06-27 12:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$270	27,016	0	+27,016	Yes	-$270	06-17 04:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	8	$243	6,185	5,069	+1,116	No	-$36	07-26 20:37
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	3	$203	367	367	+0	Yes	+$63	06-24 09:38
will wti reach 105 in august 2026	6	$132	1,252	1,252	+0	No	-$34	08-21 14:34
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	2	$122	100	100	+0	Yes	+$10	08-10 19:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	7	$114	1,598	757	+841	open	—	09-11 18:27
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	9	$111	1,852	0	+1,852	No	-$111	07-24 07:11
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	5	$102	483	432	+51	Yes	+$30	07-21 12:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$102	1,351	1,351	+0	No	+$2	06-20 05:47
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	1	$100	1,012	0	+1,012	Yes	+$912	07-08 08:33
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	3	$84	429	429	+0	No	-$56	07-21 08:48
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	9	$83	444	0	+444	No	-$83	07-15 10:44
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$69	1,008	1,008	+0	No	-$18	06-27 12:16
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	4	$69	996	249	+747	No	-$51	06-23 18:12
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$60	250	250	+0	open	—	06-27 12:14
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$58	2,396	0	+2,396	No	-$58	07-23 15:42
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	2	$56	715	715	+0	No	-$14	06-21 18:35
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	9	$55	125	125	+0	open	—	06-27 12:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	2	$54	437	109	+328	open	—	07-26 20:35
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$53	130	130	+0	No	+$33	07-14 21:14
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	1	$50	137	0	+137	No	-$50	08-05 13:52
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	4	$46	683	0	+683	No	-$46	06-27 11:52
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$45	349	0	+349	No	-$45	08-24 04:54
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	3	$45	267	0	+267	No	-$45	07-26 01:36
russia coup attempt in 2026	4	$42	358	0	+358	open	—	06-26 20:19
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$36	9,200	0	+9,200	No	-$36	07-23 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 16:22:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x41a37f…
09-11 18:29:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x13b92e…
09-11 18:28:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x71b278…
09-11 18:28:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27d2ea…
09-11 18:27:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	4¢	$11	0x551f59…
09-01 02:21:51	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	409	1¢	$4	0xca6446…
09-01 02:21:21	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	7¢	$4	0xf303d4…
08-24 04:54:31	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	349	13¢	$45	0x8a3c00…
08-21 14:34:22	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,252	4¢	$49	0x2cc884…
08-10 19:22:37	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	434	7¢	$30	0x49ce15…
08-10 19:21:12	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x663f7a…
08-10 19:21:10	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	466	7¢	$32	0x76988c…
08-10 19:20:19	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x349473…
08-10 19:03:19	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0xb18e67…
08-10 15:29:13	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x52f86b…
08-10 15:29:12	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	137	8¢	$11	0x3a5837…
08-10 14:02:52	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x88a757…
08-10 12:51:46	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x0c096c…
08-10 12:06:43	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	342	6¢	$20	0x2c2aff…
08-10 12:05:34	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,922	5¢	$96	0xeef949…
08-05 13:52:02	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	137	36¢	$50	0xc2f529…
07-26 20:37:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	698	1¢	$10	0xf99d50…
07-26 20:35:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	109	9¢	$10	0x524efc…
07-26 15:54:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x4c9ca2…
07-26 09:53:15	will gas hit 4pt25 high by july 31 20260630204749449	Yes	BUY	141	8¢	$11	0x44cbfd…
07-26 09:53:09	will gas hit 4pt25 high by july 31 20260630204749449	Yes	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x3336b3…
07-26 01:36:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	195	23¢	$44	0x13f01e…
07-25 15:10:16	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	15¢	$14	0xdd269b…
07-25 15:10:09	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	171	15¢	$26	0x181111…
07-25 15:09:45	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0xe50c47…
07-25 15:09:36	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	389	14¢	$54	0x6efb06…
07-25 15:09:28	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	229	13¢	$30	0x3c7ab1…
07-25 11:45:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	299	4¢	$11	0x26e0ea…
07-25 11:45:48	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	537	4¢	$20	0xcf191d…
07-25 11:42:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	437	10¢	$44	0x085467…
07-24 07:11:03	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	369	6¢	$23	0xe02084…
07-24 07:10:42	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	208	6¢	$13	0x14335a…
07-24 07:10:34	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xdd8a5b…
07-24 07:10:21	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	215	5¢	$12	0xbff700…
07-23 16:18:15	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	4¢	$13	0x2bd90d…
07-23 15:42:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,011	3¢	$26	0x2d1d3b…
07-23 15:40:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,588	0¢	$30	0xa48e2c…
07-23 15:38:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,372	0¢	$4	0x7f4d7f…
07-23 15:35:39	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	345	17¢	$59	0x6c3f57…
07-23 15:28:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd49638…
07-23 15:24:43	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xda2392…
07-23 15:23:57	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x233c54…
07-23 15:23:39	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	74	16¢	$12	0x98a597…
07-23 15:21:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x78f332…
07-23 15:21:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	811	2¢	$20	0xd13bc1…
07-23 15:20:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0xa290a3…
07-23 15:20:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	553	4¢	$22	0x393f8b…
07-23 15:20:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	4¢	$14	0x1cf2fe…
07-23 15:18:48	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xf32a25…
07-23 11:31:09	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x5b8ced…
07-23 11:28:57	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	213	6¢	$13	0x7dc776…
07-23 11:28:46	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	319	6¢	$19	0x27fa1f…
07-23 11:28:00	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	319	6¢	$19	0x8175f5…
07-23 11:25:09	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xef0b85…
07-23 11:22:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0xcee620…
07-21 12:45:57	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?	Yes	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x93767a…
07-21 08:50:51	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	215	2¢	$5	0x3dd871…
07-21 08:48:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	429	3¢	$14	0x5d0824…
07-20 14:34:34	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	163	2¢	$3	0x2616b5…
07-18 16:20:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0xa8ff5f…
07-18 16:20:27	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	432	9¢	$40	0x9baaf7…
07-18 14:44:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	206	15¢	$30	0xb291ba…
07-18 14:44:21	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xfc14f5…
07-15 10:44:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	47	14¢	$7	0x2b0203…
07-15 10:42:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0xbc48cf…
07-15 10:42:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x93c52b…
07-15 10:42:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x82bb2d…
07-14 23:18:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x05ce0a…
07-14 21:14:59	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	318	13¢	$40	0x4125fc…
07-14 21:14:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	130	33¢	$43	0x232d49…
07-14 21:13:31	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x293af8…
07-14 17:26:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x20a598…
07-14 14:06:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	218	1¢	$2	0x23f769…
07-14 14:06:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	218	1¢	$2	0x4290ef…
07-14 12:04:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x2d824b…
07-14 12:04:32	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8da01c…
07-14 02:09:53	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x1f76d7…
07-13 20:10:35	will aapl dip to 292 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	461	6¢	$28	0x4a16cf…
07-13 17:45:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	187	18¢	$33	0xe62895…
07-13 17:45:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x1433a2…
07-13 16:57:02	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xe6428d…
07-13 16:17:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xbc004f…
07-13 16:06:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x3bbe64…
07-13 16:06:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0x255870…
07-13 16:06:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x24502e…
07-12 02:18:35	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x1845af…
07-10 12:07:34	wti closes above 76 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$5	0xd62c92…
07-10 09:31:01	wti closes above 74 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa6bf61…
07-09 19:55:05	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe04788…
07-09 17:43:07	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xe79255…
07-09 16:55:28	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8b6404…
07-09 16:54:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0xd7a793…
07-09 16:53:59	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x9b2036…
07-09 16:48:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	117	26¢	$30	0xa9d265…
07-09 16:46:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x5ab8fe…